The effect of a carbon tax rise on Iceland's economy:
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Bibliographische Detailangaben
Beteilige Person: Blöchliger, Hansjörg (VerfasserIn)
Weitere beteiligte Personen: Johannesson, Sigurdur (MitwirkendeR), Gestsson, Marias Halldor (MitwirkendeR)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: Paris OECD Publishing 2022
Schriftenreihe:OECD Economics Department Working Papers no.1708
Schlagwörter:
Links:https://doi.org/10.1787/76a7eaed-en
Abstract:This paper studies the potential impact of higher carbon taxation - to reach the government's emission targets by 2030 - on Iceland's economy. The paper is divided into two parts. First, a DSGE modelling exercise suggests that the equivalent of an oil price hike of between 30% and 55% is needed to reach the 2030 target, implying a GDP decline of between 0.3% and 0.6% by 2030. The impact on inflation would be very small. Second, a panel regression for the fishing industry reveals that a 40-50% oil price hike would be sufficient to reduce the entire fishing fleet's emissions by 10%, raising total factor costs for the fishing companies by 4-5%. Such a cost hike would hardly threaten the competitiveness of the fishing industry. Both approaches assume that a carbon tax rise would have no effect on production technology
Umfang:1 Online-Ressource (18 Seiten) 21 x 28cm
DOI:10.1787/76a7eaed-en