Assessing Bias and Accuracy in the World Bank-IMF's Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries:
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| 100 | 1 | |a Berg, Andrew |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Assessing Bias and Accuracy in the World Bank-IMF's Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries |c Berg, Andrew |
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| 520 | 3 | |a The World Bank and the IMF have adopted a debt sustainability framework (DSF) to evaluate the risk of debt distress in Low Income Countries (LICs). At the core of the DSF are empirically-based thresholds for each of five different measures of the debt burden (the "debt threshold approach" DTA). The DSF contains a rule for aggregating the information contained in these five different variables which we label the "worst-case aggregator" (WCA) in view of the fact that the DSF considers a breach of any one of the thresholds sufficient to indicate a high risk of debt distress. However, neither the DTA nor the WCA has heretofore been subject to empirical testing. We find that: (1) the DTA loses information relative to a simple proposed alternative; (2) the WCA is too conservative (predicting crises too often) in terms of the loss function used in the DSF; and (3) the WCA is less accurate than some simple proposed alternative aggregators as a predictor of debt distress | |
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| id | DE-604.BV048354614 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-12-20T19:42:28Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 1475579772 9781475579772 |
| language | English |
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| physical | 1 Online-Ressource (39 p) |
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| publishDate | 2014 |
| publishDateSearch | 2014 |
| publishDateSort | 2014 |
| publisher | International Monetary Fund |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | IMF Working Papers |
| spellingShingle | Berg, Andrew Assessing Bias and Accuracy in the World Bank-IMF's Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries |
| title | Assessing Bias and Accuracy in the World Bank-IMF's Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries |
| title_auth | Assessing Bias and Accuracy in the World Bank-IMF's Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries |
| title_exact_search | Assessing Bias and Accuracy in the World Bank-IMF's Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries |
| title_full | Assessing Bias and Accuracy in the World Bank-IMF's Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries Berg, Andrew |
| title_fullStr | Assessing Bias and Accuracy in the World Bank-IMF's Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries Berg, Andrew |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessing Bias and Accuracy in the World Bank-IMF's Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries Berg, Andrew |
| title_short | Assessing Bias and Accuracy in the World Bank-IMF's Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries |
| title_sort | assessing bias and accuracy in the world bank imf s debt sustainability framework for low income countries |
| url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/21235-9781475579772/21235-9781475579772/21235-9781475579772.xml |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT bergandrew assessingbiasandaccuracyintheworldbankimfsdebtsustainabilityframeworkforlowincomecountries AT berkesenrico assessingbiasandaccuracyintheworldbankimfsdebtsustainabilityframeworkforlowincomecountries AT pattillocatherinea assessingbiasandaccuracyintheworldbankimfsdebtsustainabilityframeworkforlowincomecountries AT presbiteroandrea assessingbiasandaccuracyintheworldbankimfsdebtsustainabilityframeworkforlowincomecountries AT yakhshilikovyorbol assessingbiasandaccuracyintheworldbankimfsdebtsustainabilityframeworkforlowincomecountries |