A comparison of economic indicator analysis and Markov switching methods concerning the cycle phase dynamics: report

This paper compares the dating of growth rate cycles obtained from a Markov switching approach with the reference chronologies based on Economic Indicator Analysis (EIA) given by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), focusing on a set of developed and emerging economies. The developed countr...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
Beteilige Person: Dua, Pami (VerfasserIn)
Weitere beteiligte Personen: Sharma, Vineeta (MitwirkendeR)
Format: Elektronisch Buchkapitel
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: Paris OECD Publishing 2016
Schlagwörter:
Links:https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp
Zusammenfassung:This paper compares the dating of growth rate cycles obtained from a Markov switching approach with the reference chronologies based on Economic Indicator Analysis (EIA) given by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), focusing on a set of developed and emerging economies. The developed countries include US, UK, Germany and Japan, which are compared with an emerging economy, India. Using a univariate Markov regime switching model we characterise growth rate cycle phenomena for these countries by identifying turning points and distinct economic regimes, employing data on the growth rate of the coincident index given by ECRI.
Umfang:1 Online-Ressource (27 Seiten) 21 x 28cm
DOI:10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm22pfhmhlp