Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index:
Body-mass index (BMI) tends to follow a typical trajectory over the life-course of an individual, increasing in early life while decreasing after middle age. To be able to reflect these trends in the OECD Strategic Public Health Planning for Non-Communicable Diseases (SPHeP-NCDs) model, this paper a...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | Englisch |
Veröffentlicht: |
Paris
OECD Publishing
2021
|
Schriftenreihe: | OECD Health Working Papers
|
Schlagwörter: | |
Links: | https://doi.org/10.1787/0425d231-en |
Zusammenfassung: | Body-mass index (BMI) tends to follow a typical trajectory over the life-course of an individual, increasing in early life while decreasing after middle age. To be able to reflect these trends in the OECD Strategic Public Health Planning for Non-Communicable Diseases (SPHeP-NCDs) model, this paper analyses longitudinal BMI data from 22 countries to build a mixed, autoregressive model predicting an individual's BMI based on their sex, age and previous BMI. The resulting model shows how young people are likely to see an increase in BMI year-on-year, even if they already have overweight or obesity. It also shows that that a healthy weight in childhood does not protect against future overweight, as BMI continues to increase well into adulthood even for children who start off with a healthy weight. The results of this analysis will be incorporated in the OECD SPHeP NCDs model, to better simulate the longer-term impact of interventions, in particular interventions targeting childhood obesity |
Umfang: | 1 Online-Ressource (29 Seiten) 21 x 28cm |
DOI: | 10.1787/0425d231-en |
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indexdate | 2025-01-11T15:45:07Z |
institution | BVB |
language | English |
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physical | 1 Online-Ressource (29 Seiten) 21 x 28cm |
psigel | ZDB-13-SOC |
publishDate | 2021 |
publishDateSearch | 2021 |
publishDateSort | 2021 |
publisher | OECD Publishing |
record_format | marc |
series2 | OECD Health Working Papers |
spellingShingle | Vuik, Sabine Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index Social Issues/Migration/Health |
title | Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index |
title_auth | Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index |
title_exact_search | Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index |
title_full | Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index Sabine Vuik and Michele Cecchini |
title_fullStr | Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index Sabine Vuik and Michele Cecchini |
title_full_unstemmed | Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index Sabine Vuik and Michele Cecchini |
title_short | Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index |
title_sort | modelling life trajectories of body mass index |
topic | Social Issues/Migration/Health |
topic_facet | Social Issues/Migration/Health |
url | https://doi.org/10.1787/0425d231-en |
work_keys_str_mv | AT vuiksabine modellinglifetrajectoriesofbodymassindex AT cecchinimichele modellinglifetrajectoriesofbodymassindex |