The Kremlin strikes back: Russia and the West after Crimea's annexation
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| Sprache: | Englisch |
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| Links: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029401174&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029401174&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029401174&sequence=000004&line_number=0003&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| Beschreibung: | Literaturverzeichnis Seite [277]-290 |
| Umfang: | xv, 296 Seiten Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9781107129658 9781107572959 1107572959 |
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| adam_text | Contents
List of Figures, Tables, and Maps page ix
Preface xi
Acknowledgments xv
Introduction 1
PART I CRIMEA’S ANNEXATION 25
1 Vendetta 27
2 Annexation 45
PART II RESURGENT COLD WAR 61
3 Punitive Measures 63
4 Minsk II Protocol 92
5 Partnership to Cold War 100
6 War of Attrition 118
PART HI CORRELATION OF FORCES 127
7 Putins Economy 129
8 Ukrainian Morass 166
9 Western Secular Stagnation 175
10 Military Cross-Currents 186
11 X-Factors 211
vii
Contents
viii
PART IV DUTY TO PRPVA 11
12 Strategies
13 Double Gaming
PART V WHAT IS TO HP DON 1?
14 Coexistence
15 Eternal Russia
Conclusion
Bibliography
Index
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Index
Aganbegyan, Abel, 139
Alexander II, 247
Allison, Graham, 235-237
Andropov, Yuri, 66
Assad, Bashar Hafez al, xii, 118, 199
Austro-Hungarian de-communization, 28
Baltic states, 102, 187, 191, 222, 271
Baumol, William, 65, 191
Bergson, Abram, 133-134, 249
Birman, Igor, 137
bounded rationality and satisficing, 65, 81-90,
131- 132, 189, 191
Russian enterprise satisficing, 81-89, 191
second best/second worst economies,
132- 133, 189
Brexit and Grexit, 103
Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances
of1994, 169
Catherine the Great, 46, 247, 250
Chamberlain, Neville, 107
Charles XII, 151
Chen, Adrian, 221
Clark, Christopher, 236
Clash of Civilizations, 229
Clinton, Hillary, 211
Coexistence, 229-237
Cold Peace, 3, 5, 224, 230, 271, See also post-
Soviet world order
Cold War I, 101-102, 130-131, 133, 147, 179,
186-187, 270
Cold War II, xi, xii, 1-2, 4-5, 100-107,
118-122, 130, 150, 179, 186, 221-223, 230,
270, 273. See also post-Soviet world order
color revolutions (regime change), xii, 102,
249, 270
Comintern (Third Communist
International), 119
Cooper, Julian, 188, 190-191
Cordesman, Anthony, 234-235
correlation-of-forces, xii, 1-3, 129, 166,
175-176, 186-187, 192, 222, 269
X-factors (leadership, ideology, resource
super-cycle), 211-213
Crimea xi, xii, 1
Crimean annexation, 3, 4, 27, 45-49,
68, 101, 104, 106, 130. See also Putin,
Novorossiya
de-annexation, 102, 194, 222-223,
230, 237
history 46
hybrid war, maskirovka, nonlinear
war and combined arms combat, 48, 192,
194, 199
punitive measures (including economic
sanctions), 63-73
Sevastopol (closed Russian military city), 46
Sevastopol (decision to attack), 46-47
terms of Crimea settlement, 272-273
why Crimea?, 45-46, 122
democracy (true), 1, 5, 229
democracy (Surkovian), 33, 105-106, 130, 217
Donbas, xi, xii, 187
Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics,
92-95, 101, 103, 194, 222-223, 230
double gaming (misrepresentation,
manipulation, and concealment),
220-224. See also Novorossiya
cognitive dissonance, 220
cyber- trolling, 221
motivated reason, 220, 249
duty to prevail, 217-219
291
292
Index
financial crisis of 2008, 4, 175
Franco, Francisco, 119
Fukuyama, Francis, 250
G-8 (Russian expulsion), 100
Gaidar, Yegor, 33, 34, 129
Gates, Robert, 34
Gel’man, Vladimir, 252
Genstab (Russian military general staff), 66
Gerschenkron, Alexander, 248
Goldman, Marshall, 33
Gorbachev, Mikhail, 2, 27, 28, 33, 139, 141,
234, 247-248, 250, 252-253, 270
betrayal by the West, 10, 38, 43, 46
crimes against the Kremlin, 30, 36
new thinking concept (common European
home), 105
palace coup d’etat, 29, 30
responsibility for Soviet disunion, 28, 36
stab in the back (counter revolution from
above), 28, 29, 129-130, 141
termination of directive central planning, 33
Weimar analogy, 29
Grossman, Gregory, 250
Grand Bargain, 253-154
hidden Inflation, 132-133, 139-140
Hirohito, Showa Emperor, 119
Hitler, Adolf, 118-119
Hollande, Francois, 94
Huntington, Samuel, 1
INF Treaty, 2
Islamic State (IS), xi
Ivan the Great, 148, 150, 248, 250
Ivan the Terrible, 247
Kasyanov, Mikhail, 65,188, 190
katastroika (catastrophic radical reform), 28-
See also Russia, katastroika
katakhod (catastrophic transition 1992-2000),
33, 66, 141. See also Russia katakhod
Khanin, Girsh, 139
Khrushchev, Nikita, 134, 230, 250
Kim Jong- un, 118
Kissinger, Henry, 234
Kogan, Eugen, 202-203
kleptocrats, 64-65, 67, 129, 131, 143- See also
Russia kleptocrats
Kravchuk, Leonid, 169
Krugman, Paul, 175, 177-178
Kuchma, Leonid, 169
Kuznets, Simon, 249
Lagarde, Christine, 166
Lenin, Vladimir, 119, 248
Maddison, Angus, 249
Marx, Karl, 149, 269
Marxist-Leninist tradition, 119
Matlock, Jack, 250
Medvedev, Dmitri, 188-189
Merkel, Angela, 94, 211, 233
Minsk 11 (Protocol), 92-97
Muscovite culture, 1, 6, 105, 119
rent-granting/rent-seeking, 4,33,65, 148
strategic opportunism, 217
Mussolini, Benito, 119
natural resources super-cycle, 28, 212-213
Nicholas II, 249-250, 270
Nove, Alec, 133-134
law of equal cheating, 138
Novorossiya, xii, 45-46, 166, 187, 230, 237, 271
double gaming, 222
Minsk II Protocol, 92-97
Putin’s Slow Motion Advance and
Consolidation, 47, 68, 102, 166
Putin’s territorial ambitions: Mariupol to
Odessa to Transdnistria, 47
nuclear arms control, 2
nuclear power plants to China and Iran, 33
Obama, Barack, 199, 211, 233
objective- subjective (positive-normative)
method xii, 4, 121. See also Russia
Ogarkov, Nikolai, 197
Oligarchs, 65-66, 143
Olson, Mancur, 167
Organization for Security and Co-operation in
Europe (OSCE), 92
Orwell, George, 140
double-think 140, 161, 220
Peter the Great, 151, 247-248, 250
Poroshenko, Petro, 47, 92, 94, 166-167,
169,211
post-globalization, 4
post-Soviet world order (alternatives),
229-237
accommodation, 232-233
Cold Peace, 230-235, 237
Index
293
Cold War II 230-231, 235, 237
common ground, 231-232
compromise 229-231
Condominium, 230
Détente, 235, 271-272
duty to prevail, 233
failed approach to chaos theory, 234-235
failed Western civilization, 235
Multi-dominium, 230-231
Peaceful coexistence, 230, 234
pragmatic World Order, 233-234
rivalry, 235-236
strategic incoherence, 234-235
stumbling to War, 235-237
Track II 233-234
Thucydides Trap, 236, 243-244
Western economic revitalization, 230
Western revitalized deterrence, containment
and compellence, 230
Wilson idealism, 235
Yalta II, 3, 106-107, 230
Post-Soviet world order (eternal Russia)
247-257
déjà vu All Over Again, 256-257
gravitating toward Muscovy, 250-253
Muscovite adaptability, 248
Muscovite catch up, 249
Muscovite compellence, 254
Muscovite democracy (Survkovian/electoral
authoritarianism), 248, 252
Muscovite economy (Putins version),
250-253
Muscovite economy (Soviet command
version) 250-253
Muscovite economic backwardness, 248
Muscovite military prowess, 249
Muscovite non-impoverished
superpower, 253
Muscovite rent-granting, 248
Muscovite rule of Kremlin men
(authoritarianism), 248
Muscovite tenacity, 247
Muscovite vendetta, 254
Muscovy with a half human face, 253
Playing into the Power Services Hands,
253-254
Russia’s handicap: rent-granting economy,
247-248
Russia’s motive: Muscovite strategic
opportunism, 247
West 800 years of financial folly, 249
West’s handicap: straitjacketed economy,
flagging defense, 247
West’s motive: duty to prevail, 247
West’s solution: Peace through Strength,
255-256
Westernization Kremlin style, 248
Putin, Vladimir xi, xiii, 1-3, 27-31, 34, 211,
233, 256, 270
Authoritarian power-seeking, 218
Coexistence, 119
end game (Clash of Civilizations strategy),
27,119, 223
great power restoration project, 28, 43-45,
101, 118-122, 129, 166, 168, 187-188,
194, 196, 199, 269
Greater Europe Plan, 105-107, 112-113,
230
let the West be the West concept, 119
military modernization initiative, 191
new normal. 95, 187
pivot to Asia strategy, 118
rise to power, 30-31
Russian systemic superiority, 150
polarization and fragmentation, 120
strategy and tactics in Novorossiya, 45,
95, 101
supranationalist gambit, 106
Surkovian democracy, 106
war winning strategies against the Baltic
states and Ukraine, 192
West’s adaptive failure, 121-122
Rawls, John, 272
Revolution in Military Affairs (RMA), 101
Rowan, Henry, 141
Russia
Achilles’s heel, 150-151
Armament Programme for Russia for the
Years 2011 to 2020, 188
austerity, 34
authoritarian culture, 27
barterization, 33
Black swans (economic catastrophes), 147
democratization (Surkovian), 33, 105-106,
130,218
disunion, 187
Dutch disease (natural resource curse),
147,212
economy, 2, 33, 129-151
economic growth 2000-2008, 141
economic growth potential, 143-151
294
Index
Russia (cont.)
economic reality through fog of true
lies, 143
escalation dominance, 191-192
excess deaths, 33
Federalnye tselevye progam my-FTsP
(military technology modernization
plan), 189
FTsP Development of the defense-industrial
complex, 2011- 2020, 189
FTsP inter-industrial supply, 189
hidden Inflation, 132-133
Gini coefficient, 143
imperial exceptionalism, 2, 8
Imperfecdy competitive economic system,
148-150
information(cyber) warfighting
capabilities, 2, 103
katastroika (catastrophic radical reform), 28
katakhod (catastrophic transition), 33, 34
kleptocrats, 64-65,67, 129, 131, 143
macroeconomic shocks, 146-147
market building, 33
market Muscovy, 150
middle-income trap, 143
military industrial collapse 1990s, 187
military industrial development and
sustainability, 2, 65-67, 130, 191
military industrial complex (VPK),
31,65-67
military modernization and build up, 27, 65,
102, 186, 193
military power, 2, 4
new economic model, 2, 65-67, 81-89, 130
normal middle income country (Andrei
Shliefer), 129, 143
oligarchs, 65-66, 143
perekhod (economic transition), 33, 34, 252
petroleum price bust, 63, 102, 146-147
piratization, 33
privatization, 33
public-private partnerships (PPP), 190
Reform and Development of the Defense
Industrial Complex Program, 188, 190
renationalization of the VPK, 146
Russian state armament programme,
2011 -2020 (gosudarstvennaia programma
vooruzhenii), 189-190
Sources of Quantitative Growth and
Modernization, 189
shock therapy, 33, 34, 129-130
State Armament Programme for Russia for
the years 2011 to 2020, 188, 190
statistics (Goskomstat, CIA and World Bank
Group true lies), 132-140
strategic nuclear deterrence, 191
tactical nuclear strike weapons, 191-192
VPK Policy, Institutional and
Incentive Reform, 189
World Bank Group (includes IMF), 34, 67,
118, 130, 134, 142, 144, 147
zastoi (potential Russian secular economic
stagnation), 139-140, 146
Russia-West Relations
Atlantic alliance, 120
Brexit and Grexit, 103
Coexistence, 229-237
comparative economic merit, 130-131
Cold Peace, 3, 5, 224
Cold War I, 100-102
Cold War II, 100-107, 118-122
CoCom, 64
common European home, 2
Condominium, 224
Détente II, xii, 2, 3
directed energy weapons, 198-199
divide and weaken EU strategy, 104-105
double gaming, 220-224
duty to prevail, xii, 2, 101, 217-219
Eastern Partnership (EaP), 17, 102
economic sanctions (including Russian
retaliatory sanctions), 2, 3, 63-73,
102-103, 147, 236
economic war, 68
EU discord, 103-104, 120
EU enlargement, 3, 101
Eurasian Economic Community, 118
Euro-Atlantic security community, 105
frozen conflict, 3
Germany unwillingness to fight in
Ukraine, 196
Globalization, 1, 3, 27, 103
Grand Bargain, 34
hybrid warfare, 199
imperial spheres of influence, 2
Jackson- Vanik controls, 63-64
Kremlin Strikes Back, 2
Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD), 192
military cross- currents, 186-200
NATO, 3, 107, 118, 186
NATO article 5,197, 199
NATO Readiness Action Plan (RAP), 193
Index
295
NATO decay, 104, 193-194
NATO enlargement, 101-102, 236, 270
NATO unwillingness to fight, 103-104, 186
new normal, 3, 187
partnership, 1, 3, 5,27, 100-107, 187
petroleum price bust, 63, 102, 146-147
post- Soviet world order, 1-2. See also Yalta
and Potsdam Agreements
present danger, 199-200
punitive measures, 63-68
Putins Greater Europe Plan, 105-107
Pristina, 32
Realp olitik, 1, 47
reset, 3
Revolution in Military Affairs, 197-199
Russian roulette, 2
Shanghai Cooperation Organization
and Asian Infrastructure Investment
Bank, 118
soft power, 2, 223
strategic patience (West), xi, xii, 3, 101, 104,
217, 269
strategic opportunism (Russia), 217
war of attrition, 107, 118-122
war zones scenarios (TVD), 194-197
war zones scenarios: Greater Russia
re-conquest Initiative, 195-196
war zones scenarios: West’s Greater
Europe gambit, 196-197
Washington consensus, 33, 256
West’s adaptive failure, 121-122
Wilsonian idealism, 45
who is afraid of the big bad wolf?, xi
World War III, 192
WTO rules, 64
Yalta II, 3, 106-107
Russians are coming, xi
Sachs, Jeffrey, 129
Schroeder, Gertrude, 134, 138-139
Schultz, George, 234
Shatalin, Stanislav, 28
Shliefer, Andrei, 129, 133
Shlykov, Vitaly, 34, 141
structural militarization, 66, 137
shock therapy, 129-130, 253-254
siloviki, xiii, 4, 67, 106-107, 253
Soviet disunion, 29
vendetta, 27, 28-30, 34, 43-44, 129. See also
Gorbachev
Siluanov, Anton, 147
Simes, Dimitri, 235-237
Simon, Herbert, 65, 131-132, 191
Sivkov, Konstantin, 4
preventive tactical nuclear strikes, 4
Smith, Adam, 131, 149
Sobchak, Anatoly, 30
Soviet Union, xi
Authoritarianism, communism, and central
planning, 1, 28
collapse, xi
command economy, 135
disunion, 28, 29, 35
economic reality through a glass darkly,
134-141
economy of shortage, 66, 137, 140
impoverished superpower, 141
Machiavellian rational actor, 187
men in arms, 141, 186-187
military industrial complex (VPK), 141
military industrial workers, 141
military superpower, 186-187
nuclear weapons, 141
second economy, 139
State Emergency Committee
(Gosudarstvenniy Komitet po
Chrezvichaynomu Polozheniyu),
29, 31, 36
structural militarization, 66
survivability, 141
zastoi (Soviet secular economic stagnation),
139-140,146
Stalin, Joseph, 101-02, 118-119, 194, 218,
223, 234
Stiglitz, Joseph, 175, 178
Summers, Larry, 175, 177-178
supranationalism (transnationalism),
105-106, 116
Syria, xii, 101-102, 118, 269
Techau, Jan, 193
Treisman, Daniel, 133
Trump, Donald, 211
Tuchman, Barbara, 236
Turchynov, Oleksandr, 46
this time will be the same, xi, xii, 175, 230,
235, 249
Ukraine 1, 63-68, 101, 166-169, 187, 271.
See also Crimea punitive measures and
Novorossiya
Budapest Memorandum on Security
Assurances of 1994, 169
296
Index
this time will be the same (cont.)
debt crisis, 167
economic performance, 167
Euromaidan “revolution”, 27, 46-47
failed state, 167
IMF, 166-168
military proxies, 3
Minsk II, 168
morass, 166-169
nuclear weapons, 169, 173
regional ethnic kleptocracies, 167
roving bandits, 166-167, 169
Russian strategic nuclear dominance, 191
Washington Consensus, 33, 256
West
ambitions, xi
austerity, 178
civilizing mission, xii
cultural values, xii, 2
democracy, the rule of law, and free
enterprise, 1, 2
denial, 269
economic superiority (high theory), 131
economy, xii, 130-131
EU economic conflict, 4
financial crisis of 2008, 4, 175
idea of the West (Samuel
Huntington), 1, 105
illusion of Western economic
superiority, 130
Keynesian macroeconomic theory, 176
military build down and decay, 2, 102, 104,
186, 193
Minsk I and Minsk II, 47, 92-97
peace dividend, 104
political paralysis, 2
secular economic stagnation, 4, 104,
175-179
social strife, 2
unipolar moment, xi
unscrupulous Private Agents and Public
Policy Makers, 178-179
Williamson, John, 256
Wittgenstein tautology, 156, 177
Wolf, Charles, 141
World War II 119
capitalism, socialism, and fascism, 119
democratic market enterprise, Muscovite
communism, and Aryan despotism, 119
Yalta and Potsdam Agreements, 1, 2, 5, 12, 234
Yanayev, Gennadi, 29
Yanukovych, Viktor, 27, 46-47
Yaremenko, Yuri, 33
Yeltsin, Boris, 2, 29, 31-34,66, 187,192,
247-248, 252, 270
antipathy to Communist Party, 37
crimes against the Kremlin, 30
disempowered FSB, 31
Greater Europe concept, 105
slashed defense spending, 31,187
stab in the back (counter revolution from
above) 28, 29, 32, 129-130, 141
stab in the chest, 31, 32, 129-130
termination of taxes, ministerial control,
managerial incentives, price and capital
controls, 33
Yeltsin, Tatyana (Tatyana Borisovna
Yumasheva), 31
Yukos corporation, 94
zastoi (Soviet secular economic stagnation),
139-140, 146
Bayerisch s
Staatsbibliothek
München
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Rosefielde, Steven 1942- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)139623566 |
| author_facet | Rosefielde, Steven 1942- |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Rosefielde, Steven 1942- |
| author_variant | s r sr |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV043993007 |
| classification_rvk | ML 6600 NT 7080 QG 480 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)973555256 (DE-599)BVBBV043993007 |
| dewey-full | 327.4701821 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 327 - International relations |
| dewey-raw | 327.4701821 |
| dewey-search | 327.4701821 |
| dewey-sort | 3327.4701821 |
| dewey-tens | 320 - Political science (Politics and government) |
| discipline | Politologie Geschichte Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Book |
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| geographic_facet | Russland Westliche Welt |
| id | DE-604.BV043993007 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-12-20T17:50:42Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781107129658 9781107572959 1107572959 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-029401174 |
| oclc_num | 973555256 |
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| physical | xv, 296 Seiten Diagramme |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| publishDateSearch | 2017 |
| publishDateSort | 2017 |
| publisher | Cambridge University Press |
| record_format | marc |
| spellingShingle | Rosefielde, Steven 1942- The Kremlin strikes back Russia and the West after Crimea's annexation Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 gnd Politischer Konflikt (DE-588)4115589-0 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4066493-4 (DE-588)4115589-0 (DE-588)4076899-5 (DE-588)4079237-7 |
| title | The Kremlin strikes back Russia and the West after Crimea's annexation |
| title_auth | The Kremlin strikes back Russia and the West after Crimea's annexation |
| title_exact_search | The Kremlin strikes back Russia and the West after Crimea's annexation |
| title_full | The Kremlin strikes back Russia and the West after Crimea's annexation Steven Rosefielde, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill |
| title_fullStr | The Kremlin strikes back Russia and the West after Crimea's annexation Steven Rosefielde, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Kremlin strikes back Russia and the West after Crimea's annexation Steven Rosefielde, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill |
| title_short | The Kremlin strikes back |
| title_sort | the kremlin strikes back russia and the west after crimea s annexation |
| title_sub | Russia and the West after Crimea's annexation |
| topic | Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 gnd Politischer Konflikt (DE-588)4115589-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Wirtschaftspolitik Politischer Konflikt Russland Westliche Welt |
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