Abused Rebels and Winning Coalitions: Regime Change under the Pressure of Rebellions

We hypothesize that, in certain regime types, winning coalitions have an incentive for helping a deprived population solving the collective action problem that may otherwise restrain them in revolting against an incumbent. Recent selectorate literature holds that members of a winning coalition may f...

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Beteilige Person: Apolte, Thomas 1960- (VerfasserIn)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: Münster CIW 2015
Schriftenreihe:Diskussionspapier / Centrum für Interdisziplinäre Wirtschaftsforschung 2015,1
Links:https://www.wiwi.uni-muenster.de/ciw/sites/ciw/files/dp-ciw_01_2015n.pdf
Zusammenfassung:We hypothesize that, in certain regime types, winning coalitions have an incentive for helping a deprived population solving the collective action problem that may otherwise restrain them in revolting against an incumbent. Recent selectorate literature holds that members of a winning coalition may find themselves in a loyalty trap after having realized a bad character of an incumbent. According to our hypothesis, the winning coalition's members can find a way out of the loyalty trap by influencing expectations within the population in a way as to spark a public rebellion. A thus induced rebellion raises the chance of each of the winning coalition's members for preserving their position in a newly formed winning coalition following a regime change. Hence, the very regime structure that makes a loyalty trap more probably is identical to a regime structure under which we should expect a higher vulnerability to public rebellions.
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