Macroeconomics: institutions, instability, and the financial system
Gespeichert in:
| Beteiligte Personen: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Oxford ; New York
Oxford University Press
[2015]
|
| Schlagwörter: | |
| Links: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027493307&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| Beschreibung: | Hier auch später erschienene, unveränderte Nachdrucke |
| Umfang: | xl, 638 Seiten Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9780199655793 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Macroeconomics |b institutions, instability, and the financial system |c Wendy Carlin ; David Soskice |
| 264 | 1 | |a Oxford ; New York |b Oxford University Press |c [2015] | |
| 264 | 4 | |c © 2015 | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1819278944089669632 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Outline contents
Reviews
Preface
How to use the Online Resource Centre
Acknowledgements
List of figures
List of tables
Abbreviations
1 The demand side
2 The supply side
3 The 3-equation model and macroeconomic policy
4 Expectations
5 Money, banking and the macro-economy
6 The financial sector and crises
7 The global financial crisis: applying the models
8 Growth, fluctuations and innovation
9 The 3-equation model in the open economy
10 The open economy: the demand and supply sides
11 Extending the open economy model: oil shocks and imbalances
12 The Eurozone
13 Monetary policy
14 Fiscal policy
15 Supply-side policy, institutions and unemployment
16 Real Business Cycle and New Keynesian models
ii
ix
XVIII
XX
XXXI
XXXVIII
XXXIX
/1?
80
116
149
183
223
262
305
350
389
428
467
505
546
583
615
Bibliography
Index
629
Contents
Reviews ¡j
Preface ix
How to use the Online Resource Centre xviii
Acknowledgements xx
List of figures xxxj
List of tables xxxviii
Abbreviations xxxix
1 The demand side 1
1.1 Overview 1
1.1.1 Facts about the demand side and business cycles 3
1.1.2 Introducing the IS curve 7
1.2 Modelling 11
1.2.1 Goods market equilibrium 11
1.2.2 The multiplier 13
1.2.3 The IS curve 16
1.2.4 Forward-looking behaviour 19
1.2.5 Consumption 20
1.2.6 Investment 29
1.2.7 Consumption, investment and the IS curve 32
1.3 Conclusions 34
1.4 Appendix 36
1.4.1 Real and nominal interest rates and the Fisher equation 36
1.4.2 Deriving the Euler equation and the PIH consumption function 37
1.5 Questions 39
1.5.1 Checklist questions 39
1.5.2 Problems and questions for discussion 40
2 The supply side 42
2.1 Overview 42
2.1.1 Unemployment 42
2.1.2 Why the labour market does not clear 42
2.1.3 Supply side effects on unemployment 45
2.1.4 Nominal rigidities and demand-side policy 48
2.1.5 Facts about the supply side 51
2.2 Modelling 55
2.2.1 Supply side effects on unemployment 56
2.2.2 Nominal rigidities, inflation and the business cycle 63
2.3 Applications 70
2.4 Conclusions 72
2.5 Appendix 74
XXIV
CONTENTS
2.5.1 The textbook model: competitive markets and complete amu.u /4 Л
2,5.2 The mark-up and the elasticity of demand //
2.5.3 Deriving the PS curve including the tax wedge H
2.6 Questions II
2.6.1 Checklist questions ): s
2.6.2 Problems and questions for discussion
The 3-equation model and macroeconomic policy 80 лі )
3.1 Overview і
3.1.1 The role of the central bank in stabilization . 1 ■
3.1.2 Inflation and deflation Ті * J
3.1.3 Introduction to the 3-equation model і
3.2 Modelling )
3.2.1 The 3-equation model ՝
3.2.2 Using the 3֊equation model 1 , j, ;
3.3 Applications 1 j )) 1
3.3.1 A temporary demand shock
3.3.2 Forecasting and lags in; lill
3.3.3 The deflation trap HM
3.3.4 A supply shock 10/
3.4 Conclusions mN
3.5 Appendix 111
3.5.1 The 3-equation model in more detail 111
3.6 Questions 111
3.6.1 Checklist questions 11
3.6.2 Problems and questions for discussion 114
4 Expectations П6
4.1 Introduction H6
4.2 Risk, uncertainty and expectations 118
4.2.1 Risk and uncertainty 118
4.2.2 Expectations formation in real-world situations 122
4.2.3 The rational expectations hypothesis (REH) 123
4.3 Phillips curves, expectations and inflation 124
4.4 Expectations and the З-equation model 130
4.4.1 A graphical example 130
4.4.2 Comparison of adaptive and rational inflation expectations 130
4.4.3 Central bank communication and anchoring inflation expectations 133
4.5 The Lucas critique 136
4.6 Expectations hypotheses, inflation bias and time inconsistency 138
4.6.1 Adaptive expections and inflation bias 139
4.6.2 Rational expectations, inflation bias and time inconsistency 141
4.6.3 Approaches to mitigate inflation bias 142
4.7 Conclusions 144
4.8 Questions 146
4.8.1 Checklist questions 146
4.8.2 Problems and questions for discussion 147
5 Money, banking and the macro-economy 149
5.1 Introduction 14Q
CONTENTS
XXV
5.2 Money and the macro-economy 152
5.2.1 Money 152
5.2.2 Money supply and money demand 153
5.2.3 Money, banks and the 3-equation model 156
5.3 A modern financial system 159
5.3.1 The central bank sets the policy interest rate 159
5.3.2 The mark-up of the lending rate over the policy rate 160
5.3.3 Banks, credit constraints and collateral 162
5.3.4 The role of banks in a fractional reserve system 164
5.3.5 Governance arrangements: banks, central bank and government 167
5.4 The financial system and balance sheets 168
5.5 Banks and macro stabilization 172
5.5.1 Example: an investment boom shifts the IS curve 173
5.6 Conclusions 176
5.7 Appendix 178
5.7.1 Modelling the banking mark-up(r-rp) 178
5.8 Questions 181
5.8.1 Checklist questions 181
5.8.2 Problems and questions for discussion 182
6 The financial sector and crises 183
6.1 Introduction 183
6.2 Bank behaviour, cycles and crises 185
6.2.1 Bank behaviour and the macro-economy 185
6.2.2 Financial crises and their cost to the economy 188
6.2.3 Financial cycles and business cycles 190
6.3 Basic mechanisms 194
6.3.1 Asset price bubbles 194
6.3.2 The financial accelerator 197
6.4 The housing feedback process and the 3-equation model 199
6.4.1 Credit constrained households, housing collateral and house prices 199
6.4.2 A plain vanilla financial crisis 201
6.4.3 Housing feedback process and the 3֊equation model 202
6.5 The bank leverage-centred feedback process 203
6.5.1 Investment bank behaviour and leverage 204
6.6 A balance sheet recession and the financial accelerator 214
6.7 Conclusions 217
6.8 Appendix 218
6.8.1 Modelling the housing-centred positive feedback process 218
6.8.2 A positive feedback model of investment bank behaviour 219
6.9 Questions 221
6.9.1 Checklist questions 221
6.9.2 Problems and questions for discussion 222
7 The global financial crisis: applying the models 223
7.1 Introduction 223
7.2 Pre-crisis financial system: incentives, instruments and actors 226
7,2.1 Incentives 226
CONTENTS
7.2.2 Instruments
7.2.3 Actors
73 The upswing of the financial cycle
7.4 The crisis
7.4.1 The scale of the crisis and nature of the post-crisis recession
7.4.2 The credit crunch
7.43 The crisis, macroeconomic policy and the 3-equation model
7.5 Policy intervention in the crisis
7.5.1 What went wrong in the Great Depression?
7.5.2 Monetary and fiscal policy in the crisis phase
7.5.3 Austerity policies in the post-crisis recession
7.5.4 Fixing banks first may mean less government debt later
7.6 Conclusions
7.7 Questions
7.7.1 Checklist questions
7.7.2 Problems and questions for discussion
226
229
24?
246
246
2 49
24?
245
246
24/
254
25/
?’,U
?( ()
?6()
8 Growth, fluctuations and innovation 262
8.1 Introduction ){)‘}
8.2 Short- and medium-run macro models and growth theory 26/
8.3 Growth concepts and useful tools 4/0
8.4 The Solow model 4/4
8.4.1 The model 4/4
8.4.2 Steady state or balanced growth 4/6
8.5 The Solow model and cross-country performance 482
8.6 Technological progress in the Solow model 288
8.6.1 Technological progress and steady state growth 288
8.6.2 Growth accounting: measuring the impact of technology 290
8.7 Endogenous growth: the Romer model 292
8.7.1 Research and development 292
8.7.2 Endogenous growth and endogenous technological progress: the Romer model 293
8.8 Schumpeterian growth: the Aghion-Howitt model 295
8.8.1 Creative destruction, competition and Schumpeterian growth 298
8.8.2 Schumpeterian growth and business cycle fluctuations 300
8.9 Conclusions 302
8.10 Questions 302
8.10.1 Checklist questions 302
8.10.2 Problems and questions for discussion 303
9 The 3-equation model in the open economy 305
9.1 Overview 3Q5
9.2 Modelling 315
9.2.1 The foreign exchange market and the U/P condition 316
9.2.2 Medium-run equilibrium in the open economy and the AD- ERU model 319
9.2.3 AD curve 521
9.2.4 Stabilization under flexible exchange rates: 3-equation mode) and RX curve 323
9.2.5 Inflation shock: Comparing closed and open economies 325
9.3 Applications ^
93.1 Demand and supply shocks: the 3-equation and AD-ERU models 330
CONTENTS
XXVII
9.3.2 Exchange rate overshooting 333
9.3.3 Exchange rate volatility 338
9.4 Conclusions 339
9.5 Appendix 340
9.5.1 Deriving the real UIP condition 340
9.5.2 The 3-equation model in more detail 341
9.5.3 Derivation of (1 - A) and its properties 345
9.5.4 Geometry of the RX curve: varying the parameters 346
9.6 Questions 347
9.6.1 Checklist questions 347
9.6.2 Problems and questions for discussion 348
110 The open economy: the demand and supply sides 350
10.1 Overview 350
10.1.1 The open economy accounting framework 351
10.1.2 The demand side, trade balance and the supply side 353
10.2 Modelling 357
10.2.1 The demand side and trade balance 357
10.2.2 The supply side in the open economy 366
10.2.3 The medium-run model: AD-BT-ERU 371
10.3 Application 379
10.3.1 The UK economy before the crisis 379
10.4 Conclusions 384
10.5 Appendix 385
10.6 Questions 386
10.6.1 Checklist questions 386
10.6.2 Problems and questions for discussion 387
11 Extending the open economy model: oil shocks and imbalances 389
11.1 Overview 389
11.1.1 How does a commodity price rise affect the macro-economy? 390
11.1.2 Interpreting an economy s sector financial balances: does a current account
imbalance matter? 394
11.1.3 Inflation targeting in a two-bloc world 395
11.1.4 Different medium-run growth strategies can cause global imbalances 396
11.2 Modelling 399
11.2.1 Oil shocks 399
11.2.2 Current account imbalances 405
11.2.3 Sector financial balances 410
11.2.4 Global interdependence and imbalances 413
11.2.5 A 2-bloc model with inflation-targeting central banks 414
11.3 Conclusions 421
11.4 Appendix 422
11.4.1 Dynamic adjustment to a shock in the 2-bloc model 422
11.5 Questions 425
11.5.1 Checklist questions 425
11.5.2 Problems and questions for discussion 426
12 The Eurozone 428
12.1 Introduction 428
12.1.1 Origins of the Eurozone and the theory of an optimal currency area 430
xxviii
CONTENTS
12.1.2 The Eurozone s performance in its first ten years
12.2 The Eurozone policy regime
12.2.1 The Maastricht policy assignment
12.2.2 Monetary policy in the Eurozone
12.2.3 Fiscal policy in the Eurozone
12.3 Stabilization in the Eurozone: common shocks
12.4 Stabilization in the Eurozone: country-specific shocks
124.1 Is stabilization policy necessary for country-specific shocks?
124.2 The real exchange rate (competitiveness) channel
124.3 The real interest rate channel
1244 Using fiscal policy to stabilize
12.4.5 The real exchange rate channel-internal devaluation
124.6 Conclusions about stabilization policy in the Eurozone
12.5 Eurozone governance, sovereign risk and the banking system
12.5.1 Governance arrangements: banks, governments and central bank
12.5.2 Governance solutions
12.6 Conclusions
12.7 Questions
12.7.1 Checklist questions
12.7.2 Problems and questions for discussion
13 Monetary policy
13.1 Introduction
13.2 Monetary policy and the economy s nominal anchor
13.2.1 The classical dichotomy and the nominal anchor
13.2.2 From theory to practice: monetary policy and inflation in the 1970s and 1980s
13.2.3 The inflation target as the nominal anchor
13.3 Modelling
13.3.1 Active rule-based policy
13.3.2 Central bank preferences: sacrifice ratios and costly disinflation
13.3.3 The MR equation and Taylor rules
13.4 The modern monetary policy framework-practice
134.1 Taylor rules in practice
13.5 Monetary policy and the global financial crisis
13.5.1 Asset price bubbles and central bank intervention
13.5.2 Unorthodox monetary policy in the Great Recession
13.6 Post-crisis reform of financial regulation and the macro policy framework
13.6.1 The failures of the conventional macroeconomic policy framework
13.6.2 Post-crisis reforms for a safer financial system
13.7 Conclusions
13.8 Questions
13.8.1 Checklist questions
13.8.2 Problems and questions for discussion
14 Fiscal policy
14.1 Introduction
14.2 Fiscal policy s role in stabilization
1421 The scope of fiscal policy
14.2.2 The effects of discretionary fiscal policy
14.2.3 The automatic stabilizers
432
435
435
436
437
439
440
440
442
443
444
448
450
4M
45^5
400
4M
404
4M
40՛,
467
46/
468
468
469
473
473
473
473
476
478
480
483
483
484
493
493
495
501
503
503
504
505
505
506
506
507
513
CONTENTS
XXIX
143 Debt dynamics 516
143.1 The government s budget identity 516
143.2 Debt dynamics 518
1433 The costs of high and rising government debt 525
143.4 Can fiscal consolidation be expansionary? 528
14.4 The government s budget constraint and Ricardian equivalence 530
14.4.1 Ricardian equivalence and the PIH 531
14.4.2 Ricardian equivalence and fiscal policy effectiveness 534
14.5 Deficit bias and the political economy of debt 535
14.5.1 Causes of deficit bias 536
14.5.2 Why deficit bias may vary across countries 536
14.53 Approaches to tackle deficit bias 537
14.6 Conclusions 541
14.7 Questions 542
14.7.1 Checklist questions 542
14.7.2 Problems and questions for discussion 543
15 Supply-side policy, institutions and unemployment 546
15.1 Introduction 546
15.2 Flows, matching and the Beveridge curve 549
153 Unions and wage-setting arrangements 554
15.4 Efficiency wage models 557
15.4.1 A micro model of efficiency wage setting 558
15.4.2 What is the empirical evidence on efficiency wages? 562
15.5 Hysteresis and persistence in unemployment 564
15.6 Unemployment in OECD countries 568
15.6.1 Definitions; employment, unemployment and inactivity 568
15.6.2 Overview 569
15.63 Empirical studies 571
15.7 Labour market behaviour in the crisis 574
15.7.1 US unemployment during the crisis 575
15.7.2 European unemployment during the crisis 576
15.8 Conclusions 579
15.9 Questions 580
15.9.1 Checklistquestions 580
15.9.2 Problems and questions for discussion 581
16 Real Business Cycle and New Keynesian models 583
16.1 Introduction 583
16.2 The real business cycle model 585
16.2.1 Introduction 585
16.2.2 The RBC model and business cycle facts 586
16.23 The model and its properties 588
16.2.4 Results 593
16.2.5 Criticisms of the RBC model 596
16.2.6 The impact of RBC modelling 599
163 The New Keynesian model and stabilization policy 600
163.1 The New Keynesian Phillips curve 600
16.3.2 Stabilization bias 604
1633 NK DSGE modelling 606
XXX
CONTENTS
16.4 Conclusions 610
16.5 Questions 611
16.5.1 Checklist questions 611
16.5.2 Problems and questions for discussion 61?
Bibliography 615
Index 6? 9
|
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| dewey-full | 339 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 339 - Macroeconomics and related topics |
| dewey-raw | 339 |
| dewey-search | 339 |
| dewey-sort | 3339 |
| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV042052244 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-12-20T17:01:00Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780199655793 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-027493307 |
| oclc_num | 897804997 |
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| physical | xl, 638 Seiten Diagramme |
| publishDate | 2015 |
| publishDateSearch | 2015 |
| publishDateSort | 2015 |
| publisher | Oxford University Press |
| record_format | marc |
| spellingShingle | Carlin, Wendy Soskice, David W. 1942- Macroeconomics institutions, instability, and the financial system Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4037174-8 |
| title | Macroeconomics institutions, instability, and the financial system |
| title_auth | Macroeconomics institutions, instability, and the financial system |
| title_exact_search | Macroeconomics institutions, instability, and the financial system |
| title_full | Macroeconomics institutions, instability, and the financial system Wendy Carlin ; David Soskice |
| title_fullStr | Macroeconomics institutions, instability, and the financial system Wendy Carlin ; David Soskice |
| title_full_unstemmed | Macroeconomics institutions, instability, and the financial system Wendy Carlin ; David Soskice |
| title_short | Macroeconomics |
| title_sort | macroeconomics institutions instability and the financial system |
| title_sub | institutions, instability, and the financial system |
| topic | Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd |
| topic_facet | Makroökonomie Lehrbuch |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027493307&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT carlinwendy macroeconomicsinstitutionsinstabilityandthefinancialsystem AT soskicedavidw macroeconomicsinstitutionsinstabilityandthefinancialsystem |