The essential Herman Kahn: in defense of thinking
Gespeichert in:
| Beteilige Person: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Lanham
Lexington Books
2009
|
| Schlagwörter: | |
| Links: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=024805696&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references (p. 273-274) and index |
| Umfang: | VIIi, 277 S. 23 cm |
| ISBN: | 0739128280 0739128299 9780739128282 9780739128299 |
Internformat
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nam a2200000zc 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | BV039947729 | ||
| 003 | DE-604 | ||
| 005 | 20200615 | ||
| 007 | t| | ||
| 008 | 120309s2009 xxu |||| 00||| eng d | ||
| 010 | |a 2008055654 | ||
| 020 | |a 0739128280 |c cloth : alk. paper |9 0-7391-2828-0 | ||
| 020 | |a 0739128299 |c pbk. : alk. paper |9 0-7391-2829-9 | ||
| 020 | |a 9780739128282 |c cloth : alk. paper |9 978-0-7391-2828-2 | ||
| 020 | |a 9780739128299 |c pbk. : alk. paper |9 978-0-7391-2829-9 | ||
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)785846142 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)BVBBV039947729 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e aacr | ||
| 041 | 0 | |a eng | |
| 044 | |a xxu |c US | ||
| 049 | |a DE-19 | ||
| 050 | 0 | |a CB158 | |
| 082 | 0 | |a 303.49 | |
| 100 | 1 | |a Kahn, Herman |d 1922-1983 |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)124411347 |4 aut | |
| 240 | 1 | 0 | |a Selections |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a The essential Herman Kahn |b in defense of thinking |c edited by Paul Dragos Aligica and Kenneth R. Weinstein |
| 264 | 1 | |a Lanham |b Lexington Books |c 2009 | |
| 300 | |a VIIi, 277 S. |c 23 cm | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a Includes bibliographical references (p. 273-274) and index | ||
| 600 | 1 | 4 | |a Kahn, Herman |d 1922-1983 |x Influence |
| 648 | 4 | |a Geschichte 1900-2000 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Geschichte | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Forecasting |x History |y 20th century |v Sources | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Futurologists |z United States |x History |y 20th century |v Sources | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Futurologists |z United States |v Biography | |
| 651 | 4 | |a USA | |
| 655 | 7 | |0 (DE-588)4006804-3 |a Biografie |2 gnd-content | |
| 655 | 7 | |0 (DE-588)4135952-5 |a Quelle |2 gnd-content | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Aligică, Paul Dragoş |d 1966- |e Sonstige |0 (DE-588)141162961 |4 oth | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Weinstein, Kenneth R. |e Sonstige |4 oth | |
| 776 | 0 | 8 | |i Erscheint auch als |n Online-Ausgabe |z 0-7391-3514-7 |
| 776 | 0 | 8 | |i Erscheint auch als |n Online-Ausgabe |z 978-0-7391-3514-3 |
| 856 | 4 | 2 | |m HBZ Datenaustausch |q application/pdf |u http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=024805696&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |3 Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| 943 | 1 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-024805696 | |
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1819346567122911232 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Titel: The essential Herman Kahn
Autor: Kahn, Herman (Mathematiker)
Jahr: 2009
Contents
Acknowledgments vii
Introduction 1
Paul Dragos Aligica and Kenneth R. Weinstein
Part I: Thinking about the Unthinkable: Scenarios,
Grand Strategy, and Thermonuclear War
1 In Defense of Thinking 9
2 Twelve Nonissues and Twelve Almost Nonissues 27
3 The Revolution in Warfare: Continuities and Discontinuities 39
4 On Escalation 53
5 Seizing the Moral, Political, and Strategie High Ground 63
Part II: A World Turning Point: Economic Growth,
Cultural Change, and the Long View
6 The Big Picture—and Some Details: Watersheds of History 79
7 Viewing Growth in Context 91
8 Four Characteristic Views of Two Basic Images of the
Earth-Centered Perspective 99
vi Contents
9 Some Current Cultural Contradictions of Economic Growth:
The New Emphases 115
10 Economic Development: Economic and Cultural Parameters 129
11 The Alienated-Affluent Society 141
Part III: The Challenge of the Future: Futurology, Methodology,
and Policy Research
12 The Objectives of Future-Oriented Policy Research 155
13 The Agnostic Use of Information and Concepts 167
14 Forecasting the Future: History Happens in Straight Lines
and Curves 177
15 A Methodological Framework: The Alternative
World Futures Approach 181
16 The Method of Classes of Variables 199
17 Ways to Go Wrang 205
18 Technological Innovation: Mistakes of Omission
and Commission 215
Part IV: The Task Ahead: Observations, Recommendations,
and Parting Polemies
19 The Normative Perspective and the Ideology of Tomorrow 223
20 Transitional Problems 229
21 The Expert and Educated Incapacity 237
22 Current Western Cultural Trends 247
23 Futurology and the Future of Economic Development 253
24 The Task Ahead 259
Appendix: Herman Kahn: A Bio-Bibliographical Note 267
Paul Dragos Aligica and Kenneth R. Weinstein
Selected Bibliography 273
Index 275
About the Editors 277
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Kahn, Herman 1922-1983 |
| author_GND | (DE-588)124411347 (DE-588)141162961 |
| author_facet | Kahn, Herman 1922-1983 |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Kahn, Herman 1922-1983 |
| author_variant | h k hk |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV039947729 |
| callnumber-first | C - Historical Sciences |
| callnumber-label | CB158 |
| callnumber-raw | CB158 |
| callnumber-search | CB158 |
| callnumber-sort | CB 3158 |
| callnumber-subject | CB - History of Civilization |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)785846142 (DE-599)BVBBV039947729 |
| dewey-full | 303.49 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 303 - Social processes |
| dewey-raw | 303.49 |
| dewey-search | 303.49 |
| dewey-sort | 3303.49 |
| dewey-tens | 300 - Social sciences |
| discipline | Soziologie |
| era | Geschichte 1900-2000 |
| era_facet | Geschichte 1900-2000 |
| format | Book |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>02154nam a2200529zc 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV039947729</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20200615 </controlfield><controlfield tag="007">t|</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">120309s2009 xxu |||| 00||| eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="010" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">2008055654</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">0739128280</subfield><subfield code="c">cloth : alk. paper</subfield><subfield code="9">0-7391-2828-0</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">0739128299</subfield><subfield code="c">pbk. : alk. paper</subfield><subfield code="9">0-7391-2829-9</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9780739128282</subfield><subfield code="c">cloth : alk. paper</subfield><subfield code="9">978-0-7391-2828-2</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9780739128299</subfield><subfield code="c">pbk. : alk. paper</subfield><subfield code="9">978-0-7391-2829-9</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)785846142</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV039947729</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">aacr</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="044" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">xxu</subfield><subfield code="c">US</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-19</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="050" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">CB158</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">303.49</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Kahn, Herman</subfield><subfield code="d">1922-1983</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)124411347</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="240" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Selections</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">The essential Herman Kahn</subfield><subfield code="b">in defense of thinking</subfield><subfield code="c">edited by Paul Dragos Aligica and Kenneth R. Weinstein</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Lanham</subfield><subfield code="b">Lexington Books</subfield><subfield code="c">2009</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">VIIi, 277 S.</subfield><subfield code="c">23 cm</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Includes bibliographical references (p. 273-274) and index</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="600" ind1="1" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Kahn, Herman</subfield><subfield code="d">1922-1983</subfield><subfield code="x">Influence</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="648" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Geschichte 1900-2000</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Geschichte</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Forecasting</subfield><subfield code="x">History</subfield><subfield code="y">20th century</subfield><subfield code="v">Sources</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Futurologists</subfield><subfield code="z">United States</subfield><subfield code="x">History</subfield><subfield code="y">20th century</subfield><subfield code="v">Sources</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Futurologists</subfield><subfield code="z">United States</subfield><subfield code="v">Biography</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="651" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">USA</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="655" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4006804-3</subfield><subfield code="a">Biografie</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd-content</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="655" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4135952-5</subfield><subfield code="a">Quelle</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd-content</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Aligică, Paul Dragoş</subfield><subfield code="d">1966-</subfield><subfield code="e">Sonstige</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)141162961</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Weinstein, Kenneth R.</subfield><subfield code="e">Sonstige</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="776" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Erscheint auch als</subfield><subfield code="n">Online-Ausgabe</subfield><subfield code="z">0-7391-3514-7</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="776" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Erscheint auch als</subfield><subfield code="n">Online-Ausgabe</subfield><subfield code="z">978-0-7391-3514-3</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="2"><subfield code="m">HBZ Datenaustausch</subfield><subfield code="q">application/pdf</subfield><subfield code="u">http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=024805696&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA</subfield><subfield code="3">Inhaltsverzeichnis</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="943" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-024805696</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| genre | (DE-588)4006804-3 Biografie gnd-content (DE-588)4135952-5 Quelle gnd-content |
| genre_facet | Biografie Quelle |
| geographic | USA |
| geographic_facet | USA |
| id | DE-604.BV039947729 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-12-20T16:05:55Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0739128280 0739128299 9780739128282 9780739128299 |
| language | English |
| lccn | 2008055654 |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-024805696 |
| oclc_num | 785846142 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
| owner_facet | DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
| physical | VIIi, 277 S. 23 cm |
| publishDate | 2009 |
| publishDateSearch | 2009 |
| publishDateSort | 2009 |
| publisher | Lexington Books |
| record_format | marc |
| spellingShingle | Kahn, Herman 1922-1983 The essential Herman Kahn in defense of thinking Kahn, Herman 1922-1983 Influence Geschichte Forecasting History 20th century Sources Futurologists United States History 20th century Sources Futurologists United States Biography |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4006804-3 (DE-588)4135952-5 |
| title | The essential Herman Kahn in defense of thinking |
| title_alt | Selections |
| title_auth | The essential Herman Kahn in defense of thinking |
| title_exact_search | The essential Herman Kahn in defense of thinking |
| title_full | The essential Herman Kahn in defense of thinking edited by Paul Dragos Aligica and Kenneth R. Weinstein |
| title_fullStr | The essential Herman Kahn in defense of thinking edited by Paul Dragos Aligica and Kenneth R. Weinstein |
| title_full_unstemmed | The essential Herman Kahn in defense of thinking edited by Paul Dragos Aligica and Kenneth R. Weinstein |
| title_short | The essential Herman Kahn |
| title_sort | the essential herman kahn in defense of thinking |
| title_sub | in defense of thinking |
| topic | Kahn, Herman 1922-1983 Influence Geschichte Forecasting History 20th century Sources Futurologists United States History 20th century Sources Futurologists United States Biography |
| topic_facet | Kahn, Herman 1922-1983 Influence Geschichte Forecasting History 20th century Sources Futurologists United States History 20th century Sources Futurologists United States Biography USA Biografie Quelle |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=024805696&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT kahnherman selections AT aligicapauldragos selections AT weinsteinkennethr selections AT kahnherman theessentialhermankahnindefenseofthinking AT aligicapauldragos theessentialhermankahnindefenseofthinking AT weinsteinkennethr theessentialhermankahnindefenseofthinking |