The rise of econometrics: critical concepts in economics
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Routledge
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| Schriftenreihe: | Critical concepts in economics
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| Links: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=024682919&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| ISBN: | 9780415616782 |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a The rise of econometrics |b critical concepts in economics |c ed. by Duo Qin |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | CONTENTS
VOLUME I EARLY DEVELOPMENTS
Acknowledgements
xii
Chronological table of reprinted articles and chapters
xiv
Preface
xxi
Introduction
1
DUO QIN
PART
1
Setting the scene
25
1
The statistical complement of pure economics
27
HENRY L. MOORE
2
The contribution of statistics: the present situation
49
WESLEY
С
MITCHELL
PART
2
Data explorations
53
3
Concentration and dependency ratios
55
CORRADO
GINI
4
The action of economic forces in producing frequency
distributions of income, prices, and other phenomena:
a suggestion for study
71
A. L. BOWLEY
5
Construction of a business barometer based upon annual data
87
WARREN M. PERSONS
CONTENTS
6
Extract from The analysis of time series : irregular
fluctuations and cyclical fluctuations
123
WESLEY
С
MITCHELL
7
Statistical indicators of cyclical revivals
135
WESLEY C. MITCHELL AND ARTHUR F. BURNS
8
Can stock market forecasters forecast?
160
ALFRED COWLES III
9
Differential price behavior as a subject for commodity
price analysis
175
HOLBROOK WORKING
PART3
Correspondence between data and theory
187
10
A theory of production
189
CHARLES W. COBB AND PAUL H. DOUGLAS
11
What do statistical demand curves show?
217
E. J. WORKING
12
The marginal propensity to consume and the multiplier:
a statistical investigation
233
RICHARD STONE AND W. M. STONE
13
Personal and collective budget functions
258
J. MARSCHAK
PART
4
Statistical methods
277
14
Combining the advantages of first-difference and
deviation-from-trend methods of correlating time series
279
BRADFORD B. SMITH
15
Effects of a duty on price and output with special
reference to butter and fiaxseed: Appendix
В
284
PHILIP G. WRIGHT
16
Correlation and scatter in statistical variables
306
RAGNAR
FRISCH
17
The standard error of a forecast from a curve
364
HENRY SCHULTZ
18
Some applications of the scheme of linear autoregression
411
HERMAN O. A. WOLD
VI
CONTENTS
PART
5
Conceptual and methodological issues
427
19
On the methodology of economic forecasting
429
OSKAR MORGENSTERN
20
Structural, confluent and artificial relations in economic theory
451
RAGNAR
FRISCH
21
Business cycles as a theoretical and as a statistical problem
459
RAGNAR
FRISCH
VOLUME II
FORMALISATION
Acknowledgements
vii
PART
6
Macroeconomic models and the Tinbergen-Keynes debate
1
22
An economic policy for
1936 3
JAN TINBERGEN
23
Professor Tinbergen s method
43
J. M. KEYNES
24
On a method of statistical business-cycle research: a reply
52
J.
TINBERGEN
PART
7
Shaping of a discipline
65
25
On the statistical testing of hypotheses in economic theory
67
TRYGVE HAAVELMO
26
The statistical implications of a system of simultaneous equations
85
TRYGVE HAAVELMO
27
Estimation of the parameters of a single equation in
a complete system of stochastic equations
97
T. W.
ANDERSON AND HERMAN RUBIN
28
Identification problems in economic model construction
118
TJALLING
С
KOOPMANS
29
When is an equation system complete for statistical purposes?
137
TJALLING
С
KOOPMANS
VU
CONTENTS
PART
8
Methodological issues
151
30
Measurement without theory
153
TJALLING C.
KOOPMANS
31
Methodological issues in quantitative economics:
Koopmans on the choice of variables to be studied and
of methods of measurement
170
RUTLEDGE VINING
32
Causal ordering and identifiability
196
HERBERT A. SIMON
33
Causality and econometrics
220
H. WOLD
34
Underidentification, structural estimation, and forecasting
238
ТА
-CHUNG LIU
35
A symposium on simultaneous equation estimation:
simultaneous equation estimation: any verdict yet?
249
CARL F. CHRIST
PART
9
Applied studies
261
36
The use of econometric models as a guide to economic policy
263
LAWRENCE R. KLEIN
37
Extract from A test of an econometric model for
the United States,
1921-1947 303
CARL CHRIST WITH COMMENT FROM
MILTON FRIEDMAN
38
The dynamic properties of the Klein-Goldberger model
316
IRMA ADELMAN
AND FRANK L. ADELMAN
39
A study of the
autoregressive
nature of the time series
used for Tinbergen s model of the economic system of
the United States,
1919-1932 346
G. H. ORCUTT
40
An econometric model of the watermelon market
399
DANIEL B. SUITS
Vili
CONTENTS
VOLUME
III
CONSOLIDATION
AND
EXPANSION
Acknowledgements
vii
PART
10
Bayesian reformalisation
1
41
The Bayesian
approach to simultaneous equations estimation
3
JACQUES DRÈZE
PART
11
Micro-econometrics
63
42
Pooling cross section and time series data in the estimation
of a dynamic model: the demand for natural gas
65
PIETRO BALESTRA
AND MARC NERLOVE
43
Hedonic price indexes for automobiles: an econometric
analysis of quality change
96
ZVl GRILICHES
44
Unobservables with a variance-components structure:
ability, schooling, and the economic success of brothers
125
GARY CHAMBERLAIN AND
ZVI
GRILICHES
45
The Application of Multivariate
Probit
Analysis to
Economic Survey Data
157
JAMES
TOBIN
46
A stochastic model for the duration of a strike
174
TONY LANCASTER
47
The measurement of urban travel demand
191
DANIEL MCFADDEN
48
Shadow prices, market wages, and labor supply
218
JAMES HECKMAN
49
Estimating the effect of training programs on earnings
237
ORLEY ASHENFELTER
50
An efficient method of estimating seemingly unrelated
regressions and tests for aggregation bias
257
ARNOLD
ZELLNER
51
Aggregate travel demand forecasting from disaggregated
behavioral models
^81
DANIEL MCFADDEN AND FRED REID
IX
CONTENTS
52
On the formation of price expectations: an analysis of business
test data by log-linear probability models
299
HEINZ KÖNIG,
MARC NERLOVE AND
GILLES
OUDIZ
PART
12
Financial econometrics
333
53
Brownian motion in the stock market
335
M. F. M. OSBORNE
54
Spectral analysis of New York stock market prices
363
CLIVE
W.
J.
GRANGER AND OSK.AR
MORGENSTERN
VOLUME IV REFORMATIVE MOVEMENTS
Acknowledgements
vii
PART
13
Model specification and selection issues
1
55
Specification errors and the estimation of
economic relationships
3
H. THEIL
56
Criteria for evaluation of econometric models
17
PHOEBUS J. DHRYMES, E. PHILIP HOWREY,
SAUL H. HYMANS, JAN KMENTA,
EDWARD
E. LEAMER,
RICHARD
E. QUANDT,
JAMES B. RAMSEY, HAROLD T. SHAPIRO AND
VICTOR ZARNOWITZ
PART
14
Alternatíve
modelling approaches
57
57
Muiticollinearity: a Bayesian interpretation
59
EDWARD E. LEAMER
58
False models and post-data model construction
77
EDWARD E. LEAMER
59
Introduction to Specification Searches
99
EDWARD E. LEAMER
CONTENTS
60 Business
cycle modeling without pretending to have
too much
apriori
economic theory
117
THOMAS J. SARGENT AND CHRISTOPHER A. SIMS
61
Forecasting with Bayesian vector autoregressions
—
five years
of experience
188
ROBERT B. LITTERMAN
62
Econometric modelling of the aggregate time-series
relationship between consumers expenditure and
income in the United Kingdom
216
JAMES E. H. DAVIDSON, DAVID
F. HENDRY,
FRANK
SRBA
AND STEPHEN YEO
63
The econometric analysis of economic time series
253
DAVID F. HENDRY AND JEAN-FRANCOIS RICHARD
64
Some properties of time series data and their use in
econometric model specification
302
C. W.
J.
GRANGER
PART
15
Methodological issues and debates
313
65
Econometrics
—
alchemy or science
315
D. F.
HENDRY
66
Let s take the con out of econometrics
338
EDWARD
E. LEAMER
67
What will take the con out of econometrics?
358
MICHAEL MCALEER, ADRIAN R. PAGAN AND PAUL A.
VOLKER
PART
16
Diverse explorations
379
68
Investigating causal relations by econometric models and
cross-spectral methods
381
C. W. J. GRANGER
69
New indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators
399
JAMES H. STOCK AND MARK. W. WATSON
70
Time to build and aggregate fluctuations
453
FINN E. KYDLAND AND EDWARD
C. PRESCOTT
Index
483
Xl
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| title | The rise of econometrics critical concepts in economics |
| title_auth | The rise of econometrics critical concepts in economics |
| title_exact_search | The rise of econometrics critical concepts in economics |
| title_full | The rise of econometrics critical concepts in economics ed. by Duo Qin |
| title_fullStr | The rise of econometrics critical concepts in economics ed. by Duo Qin |
| title_full_unstemmed | The rise of econometrics critical concepts in economics ed. by Duo Qin |
| title_short | The rise of econometrics |
| title_sort | the rise of econometrics critical concepts in economics |
| title_sub | critical concepts in economics |
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