Climate change and armed conflict: hot and cold wars
Gespeichert in:
| Beteilige Person: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
London [u.a.]
Routledge
2009
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
| Schlagwörter: | |
| Links: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017721426&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| Umfang: | VIII, 180 S. Ill., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 9780415778695 9780203872208 0415778697 0203872207 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1819257518516338688 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Titel: Climate change and armed conflict
Autor: Lee, James R.
Jahr: 2009
Contents
List of maps jx
List of tables x
Acknowledgments xi
1 The Climate Change War 1
Climate change will do more than just raise the
temperature 3
The expanding Equatorial Tension Belt and the emerging Polar
Tension Belt 7
Hot Wars and Cold Wars 14
Optimists and pessimists, realists and idealists 16
2 A brief history of climate change and conflict 24
Holocene Warming Period 25
Medieval Climate Optimum 34
Little Ice Age 43
Anthropogene Warming Period 51
The evolving role of climate change and conflict in history 60
3 Climate change and conflict trends 66
The evidence for and forecasts of climate change 67
Extrapolating conflict trends 82
Regions for future climate change and conflict 94
Climate change, conflict regions, and lessons 115
4 Scenarios of climate change and conflict 117
Scenarios of climate change and conflict 117
Comparing future cases 146
viii Contents
5 Climate change, conflict, and political choices 148
The politics and geopolitics of climate change and conflict 148
Learning to live with climate change and conflict 160
Five conclusions 165
Bibliography 171
Index 178
Maps
1.1 The Equatorial Tension Belt 9
1.2 The Equatorial and Polar Tension Belts 12
2.1 The extent of the Neanderthal at the end of the Weichsal
Glacier Period 29
2.2 The Northwest Passages 59
3.1 Regional temperature changes in baseline scenario (A2) 74
3.2 Regional precipitation in baseline scenario (A2) 76
3.3 Climate model regions 84
3.4 Conflicts by region, 1946 to present 86
3.5 ACTOR forecasts of future conflict 89
3.6 North American regions 95
3.7 Central and South American regions 99
3.8 European regions 101
3.9 African regions 103
3.10 Asian regions 107
3.11 Australian regions 113
3.12 Antarctica 115
4.1 Areas for potential forest cover loss by 2100 126
4.2 The Great World Desert and other dry areas 131
4.3 Water crisis areas now and in the year 2100 134
4.4 Five great river systems in the Great World Desert 135
Tables
1.1 Climate change and armed conflict dimensions 14
2.1 Climate types, changes in temperature, and migration impacts 25
2.2 Major recent historical climate cycles 26
2.3 Anasazi periods of growth and decline 45
2.4 Comparing the historic and current cases 61
2.5 Comparing conflict attributes in the Hot and Cold Wars 62
2.6 Climate change and conflict lessons 65
3.1 The scenario assumptions and outputs 69
3.2 Summary of climate trends 79
3.3 Summary of climate trends by sector 79
3.4 Regions and climate forecasts compared to global averages 81
3.5 Independent variables in the ACTOR model 87
3.6 Red forecasts and conflict likelihoods by 2015 (percent) 88
3.7 Amber forecasts and conflict likelihoods by 2015 (percent) 90
3.8 Distribution of failed states 93
3.9 Regions and impacts 94
4.1 Summary of future case regions and associated lessons 118
4.2 Country conflicts in the Polar Tension Belts 122
4.3 Top ten Asian rivers (by length) 142
4.4 A profile of countries in the Alliance of Small Island States 146
4.5 Profiles of the future cases 147
5.1 Climate change and conflict issues on technology and policy
dimensions 160
|
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| indexdate | 2024-12-20T13:40:10Z |
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| language | English |
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| spellingShingle | Lee, James R. Climate change and armed conflict hot and cold wars Climatic changes - Political aspects War - Environmental aspects Klimaänderung Politik Umwelt Climatic changes Political aspects War Environmental aspects Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd Krieg (DE-588)4033114-3 gnd Internationaler Konflikt (DE-588)4162071-9 gnd Bewaffneter Konflikt (DE-588)4137568-3 gnd Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd |
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| title | Climate change and armed conflict hot and cold wars |
| title_auth | Climate change and armed conflict hot and cold wars |
| title_exact_search | Climate change and armed conflict hot and cold wars |
| title_full | Climate change and armed conflict hot and cold wars James R. Lee |
| title_fullStr | Climate change and armed conflict hot and cold wars James R. Lee |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate change and armed conflict hot and cold wars James R. Lee |
| title_short | Climate change and armed conflict |
| title_sort | climate change and armed conflict hot and cold wars |
| title_sub | hot and cold wars |
| topic | Climatic changes - Political aspects War - Environmental aspects Klimaänderung Politik Umwelt Climatic changes Political aspects War Environmental aspects Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd Krieg (DE-588)4033114-3 gnd Internationaler Konflikt (DE-588)4162071-9 gnd Bewaffneter Konflikt (DE-588)4137568-3 gnd Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd |
| topic_facet | Climatic changes - Political aspects War - Environmental aspects Klimaänderung Politik Umwelt Climatic changes Political aspects War Environmental aspects Krieg Internationaler Konflikt Bewaffneter Konflikt Internationale Politik Aufsatzsammlung |
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