Improving information for social policy decisions: the uses of microsimulation modeling 1 Review and recommendations
Gespeichert in:
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | Nichtbestimmte Sprache |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C.
National Acad. Press
1991
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Links: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=021461027&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
Umfang: | XIV, 346 S. |
ISBN: | 030904541X |
Internformat
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245 | 1 | 0 | |a Improving information for social policy decisions |b the uses of microsimulation modeling |n 1 |p Review and recommendations |c Constance F. Citro ..., ed. |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | Contents
CONTENTS OF VOLUME II ix
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS xi
SUMMARY 1
Improving the Tools of Policy Analysis: Investment Priorities, 2
The Role of Microsimulation as a Policy Analysis Tool, 8
Recommendations for Improving Policy Analysis, 13
Recommendations for Microsimulation Models, IS
1 INTRODUCTION 21
A Scene in Washington, D.C., 21
The Tools of Policy Analysis, 24
The Panel Study, 26
PART I INFORMATION FOR SOCIAL WELFARE POLICY:
TOWARD A SECOND REVOLUTION 29
2 THE SEARCH FOR USEFUL INFORMATION 33
The First Information Revolution, 35
Policy Analysis: Between Social Science Research and Politics, 38
A Case Study of Policy Analysis: The Family Support Act
of 1988, 41
CONTENTS
3 IMPROVING THE TOOLS AND USES OF POLICY ANALYSIS 52
A Strategy for Investment, 52
Data Quality and Availability, 55
Validation, 72
Documentation and Communication of the Results of
Policy Analysis, 84
APPENDIX: MODELS, UNCERTAINTY, AND CONFIDENCE
INTERVALS 89
Models, 89
Uncertainty of an Estimate, 90
Conditional Versus Unconditional Confidence Intervals, 93
An Illustrative Diagram, 95
PART H THE ROLE OF MICROSIMULATION
AS A POLICY ANALYSIS TOOL 97
4 MICROSIMULATION MODELS: THEN AND NOW 101
Basic Elements of Microsimulation Models, 101
Development of Microsimulation Modeling for Policy Analysis, 107
Role and Current Status of Microsimulation: Findings, 114
5 DATABASES FOR MICROSIMULATION 123
Data Quality: The March CPS, 125
Strategies for Treating Missing and Erroneous Data, 132
The Promise of SIPP, 137
Recommendations for Improving Data Quality, 139
6 MODEL DESIGN AND DEVELOPMENT 153
Model Design Principles and Practices, 155
Current Microsimulation Model Design, 161
Strategic Directions for Microsimulation Model Development, 164
7 COMPUTING TECHNOLOGY AND MICROSIMULATION 182
The Evolution of Microsimulation Computing Platforms, 183
New Developments in Computing Technology, 185
Future Directions for Computing in Microsimulation, 191
8 MICROSIMULATION MODELING OF HEALTH CARE,
RETIREMENT INCOME, AND TAX POLICIES 194
Health Care Policies, 195
Retirement Income Policies, 212
Tax Policies, 219
CONTENTS vii
9 VALIDATION 231
Corroboration as a Stand-in for Validation, 233
Techniques of Model Validation, 235
Review of Validation Studies, 241
A Validation Study of TRIM2: The Panel s Experiment, 248
Strategies for Validating Microsimulation Models:
Recommendations, 259
10 DOCUMENTATION AND ARCHIVING 265
Standards for Model Documentation, 266
A Documentation Case Study, 268
Recommendations, 270
11 THE MICROSIMULATION MODELING COMMUNITY 273
Relationships Among Federal Agencies, 274
Policy Analysis Agencies and Their Suppliers, 278
Policy Analysis Agencies and Decision Makers Staffs, 280
The Role of Research, 281
APPENDIX: MICROSIMULATION MODELS, DATABASES, AND
MODELING TERMS 290
Models, 290
Databases, 298
Modeling Terms, 302
GLOSSARY OF ACRONYMS 311
REFERENCES 314
BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCHES OF PANEL MEMBERS AND STAFF 331
|
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id | DE-604.BV027117493 |
illustrated | Not Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-12-20T14:53:09Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 030904541X |
language | Undetermined |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-021461027 |
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physical | XIV, 346 S. |
publishDate | 1991 |
publishDateSearch | 1991 |
publishDateSort | 1991 |
publisher | National Acad. Press |
record_format | marc |
spellingShingle | Improving information for social policy decisions the uses of microsimulation modeling |
title | Improving information for social policy decisions the uses of microsimulation modeling |
title_auth | Improving information for social policy decisions the uses of microsimulation modeling |
title_exact_search | Improving information for social policy decisions the uses of microsimulation modeling |
title_full | Improving information for social policy decisions the uses of microsimulation modeling 1 Review and recommendations Constance F. Citro ..., ed. |
title_fullStr | Improving information for social policy decisions the uses of microsimulation modeling 1 Review and recommendations Constance F. Citro ..., ed. |
title_full_unstemmed | Improving information for social policy decisions the uses of microsimulation modeling 1 Review and recommendations Constance F. Citro ..., ed. |
title_short | Improving information for social policy decisions |
title_sort | improving information for social policy decisions the uses of microsimulation modeling review and recommendations |
title_sub | the uses of microsimulation modeling |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=021461027&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
volume_link | (DE-604)BV026114345 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT citroconstancef improvinginformationforsocialpolicydecisionstheusesofmicrosimulationmodeling1 |