Risk, ambiguity and decision:
Gespeichert in:
| Beteilige Person: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York [u.a.]
Garland
2001
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Studies in philosophy
|
| Schlagwörter: | |
| Links: | http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0652/2002280602-d.html http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015445096&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| Beschreibung: | Zugl.: Harvard Univ., Diss., 1962 "Further readings on choice under uncertainty, beliefs and the Ellsberg paradox / compiled by Mark J. Machina": p. xxxix-xlviii -- Includes bibliographical references (p. 271 - 281) |
| Umfang: | LIII, 281 S. Ill. 24 cm |
| ISBN: | 9780815340225 0815340222 |
Internformat
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nam a2200000zc 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | BV022234054 | ||
| 003 | DE-604 | ||
| 005 | 20070308 | ||
| 007 | t| | ||
| 008 | 070122s2001 xxua||| m||| 00||| eng d | ||
| 010 | |a 2002280602 | ||
| 015 | |a GBA1-41695 |2 dnb | ||
| 020 | |a 9780815340225 |9 978-0-8153-4022-5 | ||
| 020 | |a 0815340222 |9 0-8153-4022-2 | ||
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)46376890 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)BVBBV022234054 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e aacr | ||
| 041 | 0 | |a eng | |
| 044 | |a xxu |c US | ||
| 049 | |a DE-12 | ||
| 050 | 0 | |a QA279.4 | |
| 082 | 0 | |a 658.4/03 | |
| 082 | 0 | |a 003.56 |2 21 | |
| 100 | 1 | |a Ellsberg, Daniel |d 1931-2023 |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)123344077 |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Risk, ambiguity and decision |c Daniel Ellsberg |
| 264 | 1 | |a New York [u.a.] |b Garland |c 2001 | |
| 300 | |a LIII, 281 S. |b Ill. |c 24 cm | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 490 | 0 | |a Studies in philosophy | |
| 500 | |a Zugl.: Harvard Univ., Diss., 1962 | ||
| 500 | |a "Further readings on choice under uncertainty, beliefs and the Ellsberg paradox / compiled by Mark J. Machina": p. xxxix-xlviii -- Includes bibliographical references (p. 271 - 281) | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Toma de decisiones | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Decision making | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Statistical decision | |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Entscheidungstheorie |0 (DE-588)4138606-1 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 655 | 7 | |0 (DE-588)4113937-9 |a Hochschulschrift |2 gnd-content | |
| 689 | 0 | 0 | |a Entscheidungstheorie |0 (DE-588)4138606-1 |D s |
| 689 | 0 | |5 DE-604 | |
| 856 | 4 | |u http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0652/2002280602-d.html |3 Publisher description | |
| 856 | 4 | 2 | |m HBZ Datenaustausch |q application/pdf |u http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015445096&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |3 Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| 943 | 1 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-015445096 | |
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1819252531273924608 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
Introduction by Isaac Levi ix
Further Readings xxxix
Acknowledgments xlix
Note to Reader li
Chapter 1
V Ambiguity and Risk 1
Vagueness, Confidence, and the Weight of Arguments 6
The Nature and Uses of Normative Theory 17
The Validation of Normative Propositions 22
The Utility Axioms as Norms 26
Normative Theory and Empirical Research 30
Chapter 2
The Bernoulli Proposition 37
A Possible Counterexample: Are there
Uncertainties that are Not Risks? 45
Vulgar Evaluations of Risk
Chapter 3
The Measurement of Definite Opinions 53
von Neumann Morgenstern Utilities 56
Probability as Price 57
Coherence and Definiteness of Probability Prices 65
Appendix to Chapter Three 75
On Making a Fool of Oneself:
The Requirement of Coherence 75
Acceptable Odds: Definite, Coherent, and Otherwise 81
via Book Title
Chapter 4
Opinions and Actions: Which Come First? 91
The Logic of Degrees of Belief 93
Opinions that Make Horse Races 97
Postulate 2: the Sure Thing Principle 106
Intuitive Probabilities and Vagueness 115
Appendix to Chapter Four 127
The Savage Postulates 127
The Koopman Axioms 129
Chapter 5
/ Uncertainties that are Not Risks 131
The Three Color Urn Example 137
Vulgar Evaluations of Ambiguity 143
Appendix to Chapter Five 151
Chapter 6
¦ Why Are Some Uncertainties Not Risks? 155
Decision Criteria for Complete Ignorance 158
Decision Criteria for Partial Ignorance 169
Chapter 7 179
The Restricted Hurwicz Criterion 179
The Restricted Bayes/Hurwicz Criterion 190
Boldness and Prudence: The n Color Urn Example 199
Ignorance, Probability, and Varieties of Gamblers 209
Chapter 8
Ambiguity and the Utility Axioms 219
The Pratt/Raiffa Criticisms and the Value of Randomization 230
Rubin s Axiom 246
Allais and the Sure Thing Principle
Winning at Russian Roulette 263
Bibliography 271
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Ellsberg, Daniel 1931-2023 |
| author_GND | (DE-588)123344077 |
| author_facet | Ellsberg, Daniel 1931-2023 |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Ellsberg, Daniel 1931-2023 |
| author_variant | d e de |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV022234054 |
| callnumber-first | Q - Science |
| callnumber-label | QA279 |
| callnumber-raw | QA279.4 |
| callnumber-search | QA279.4 |
| callnumber-sort | QA 3279.4 |
| callnumber-subject | QA - Mathematics |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)46376890 (DE-599)BVBBV022234054 |
| dewey-full | 658.4/03 003.56 |
| dewey-hundreds | 600 - Technology (Applied sciences) 000 - Computer science, information, general works |
| dewey-ones | 658 - General management 003 - Systems |
| dewey-raw | 658.4/03 003.56 |
| dewey-search | 658.4/03 003.56 |
| dewey-sort | 3658.4 13 |
| dewey-tens | 650 - Management and auxiliary services 000 - Computer science, information, general works |
| discipline | Informatik Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Book |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01893nam a2200481zc 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV022234054</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20070308 </controlfield><controlfield tag="007">t|</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">070122s2001 xxua||| m||| 00||| eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="010" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">2002280602</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="015" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBA1-41695</subfield><subfield code="2">dnb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9780815340225</subfield><subfield code="9">978-0-8153-4022-5</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">0815340222</subfield><subfield code="9">0-8153-4022-2</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)46376890</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV022234054</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">aacr</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="044" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">xxu</subfield><subfield code="c">US</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-12</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="050" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">QA279.4</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">658.4/03</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">003.56</subfield><subfield code="2">21</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Ellsberg, Daniel</subfield><subfield code="d">1931-2023</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)123344077</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Risk, ambiguity and decision</subfield><subfield code="c">Daniel Ellsberg</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">New York [u.a.]</subfield><subfield code="b">Garland</subfield><subfield code="c">2001</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">LIII, 281 S.</subfield><subfield code="b">Ill.</subfield><subfield code="c">24 cm</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="490" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Studies in philosophy</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Zugl.: Harvard Univ., Diss., 1962</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">"Further readings on choice under uncertainty, beliefs and the Ellsberg paradox / compiled by Mark J. Machina": p. xxxix-xlviii -- Includes bibliographical references (p. 271 - 281)</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Toma de decisiones</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Decision making</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Statistical decision</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1="0" ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Entscheidungstheorie</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4138606-1</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="655" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4113937-9</subfield><subfield code="a">Hochschulschrift</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd-content</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Entscheidungstheorie</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4138606-1</subfield><subfield code="D">s</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="5">DE-604</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0652/2002280602-d.html</subfield><subfield code="3">Publisher description</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="2"><subfield code="m">HBZ Datenaustausch</subfield><subfield code="q">application/pdf</subfield><subfield code="u">http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015445096&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA</subfield><subfield code="3">Inhaltsverzeichnis</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="943" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-015445096</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| genre | (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content |
| genre_facet | Hochschulschrift |
| id | DE-604.BV022234054 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-12-20T12:50:42Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780815340225 0815340222 |
| language | English |
| lccn | 2002280602 |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-015445096 |
| oclc_num | 46376890 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-12 |
| owner_facet | DE-12 |
| physical | LIII, 281 S. Ill. 24 cm |
| publishDate | 2001 |
| publishDateSearch | 2001 |
| publishDateSort | 2001 |
| publisher | Garland |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | Studies in philosophy |
| spellingShingle | Ellsberg, Daniel 1931-2023 Risk, ambiguity and decision Toma de decisiones Decision making Statistical decision Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4138606-1 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Risk, ambiguity and decision |
| title_auth | Risk, ambiguity and decision |
| title_exact_search | Risk, ambiguity and decision |
| title_full | Risk, ambiguity and decision Daniel Ellsberg |
| title_fullStr | Risk, ambiguity and decision Daniel Ellsberg |
| title_full_unstemmed | Risk, ambiguity and decision Daniel Ellsberg |
| title_short | Risk, ambiguity and decision |
| title_sort | risk ambiguity and decision |
| topic | Toma de decisiones Decision making Statistical decision Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Toma de decisiones Decision making Statistical decision Entscheidungstheorie Hochschulschrift |
| url | http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0652/2002280602-d.html http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015445096&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT ellsbergdaniel riskambiguityanddecision |