Analyzing elections:
Gespeichert in:
| Beteilige Person: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York [u.a.]
Norton
2006
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. ed. |
| Schriftenreihe: | The new institutionalism in American politics
|
| Schlagwörter: | |
| Links: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015026291&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| Beschreibung: | Literaturverz. S. 645 -672 |
| Umfang: | XII, 690 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 039397829X 9780393978292 |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1819253201972494336 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
Acknowledgments
xiii
1.
How Elections Rule American Politics
3
Bush versus Gore, September
11,
and American
Elections
3
Actors and Institutions
5
Election Games
8
The Plan of the Book
9
The Message of the Book
12
A Note to the Reader
13
Part I: Fundamentals
17
2.
Understanding Turnout
19
Three Things
19
Three Puzzles
21
Consumption versus Investment
28
Togetherness: The Group Investment Benefits of
Voting
29
Consumption and Citizen Duty Redux
33
Voting Rationally and Turning Out Irrationally
41
The Forty-Five-Year Lag Revisited
45
The Final Puzzle
—
Why Did Turnout Decline in the
1970s? 50
What We Know
55
What We Don t Know: Why Turnout Rebounded
in
2004 56
Study Questions and Problems
56
Appendix to Chapter
2 57
Vlil
CONTENTS
3.
Trends in Voter Mobilization
62
Mobilization Strategies in the
2004
Election
62
The Good, the Bad, and the Institutions
72
Making Voting Cheap and Easy
74
Financing Turnout
84
What We Know
85
What We Don t Know: Candidates and Parties
86
Study Questions and Problems
86
4.
Candidates, Primaries, and Ideological Divergence
90
Brothers in Office
90
Why Moderation Attracts in U.S. Elections
91
Moderation: Virtue or Vice?
96
A Battle for the Left
101
How Parties Affect Candidates Positions
102
Uncertainty and Extremism
108
Variations in Primary Systems
113
Opening Primaries and Party Control
116
Ambition, Ideology, and Divergence
120
What We Know
124
What We Don t Know: Red States versus Blue
States
124
Study Questions and Problems
125
5.
Polarized over Policy or Voting on Valence?
128
A War between the States?
128
The Arguments behind the Polarized View: A Closer
Look
137
Income Inequality, Immigration, and
Polarization
170
Do Voters Base Choices on Issues or Abilities?
172
What We Know
178
What We Don t Know: What Money Does
178
Study Questions and Problems
179
Part II: Money and the Mass Media
183
6.
How Campaigns Are Financed
185
The Desperate Man
185
Who Makes Contributions?
187
Federal Campaign Finance Regulations
190
Giving to Elect or to Receive?
197
Giving to Elect
199
Giving to Receive
202
CONTENTS
IX
Evidence on Quid Pro Quo Contributions
207
Coordination and the Decisiveness of Money
209
Policy versus Service Redux
212
What We Know
213
What We Don t Know: Opening Up the Black
Box
213
Study Questions and Problems
214
7.
How Campaign Money Affects Voters
217
Inside the Black Box: Indirect Influences
217
Inside the Black Box: Direct Influences
221
Empirical Evidence on Campaign Advertising
231
What We Know
242
What We Don t Know: Other Sources of
Information
243
Study Questions and Problems
243
8.
The Mass Media and Voters Information
247
Candidate Information and the Media
247
A Biased Information Source?
250
The Sources and Effects of Media Bias
258
What We Know
281
What We Don t Know: A Referendum on Whom?
282
Study Questions and Problems
283
Part III: The Problems of Incomplete Information in Elections
289
9.
Controlling the Behavior of Elected Officials
291
William Goodling s Unusual Election
291
A Return to Citizen Legislators
292
The Secret World of Incumbents
292
What the Voters May Not Know about
Incumbents
294
Controlling Incumbents by Getting Information
299
Controlling Elected Officials on the Basis of Little
Information
301
Empirical Evidence
304
Retrospective Voting and the Economy
306
Retrospective Voting and Parties
310
Should Incumbency Be Limited?
312
The Puzzle of the Increase in Term Limits
316
Voters Changing the Electoral Calendar
317
Referenda and Initiatives
321
Elected versus Appointed Officials
323
X
CONTENTS
What We Know
326
What We Don t Know: What Voters Want
327
Study Questions and Problems
328
10.
Measuring Public Opinion
332
Psephology Failures
332
Public Opinion Polls and Elections
334
Show Me the Money
347
Election Night and Projecting Winners
353
Forecasting Elections before Campaigns Begin
368
What Do We Learn about Elections from Psephology
Failures?
374
Do Elected Officials Read Polls?
374
Retrospective Voting and Public Opinion Polls
377
What Do Public Opinion Polls Tell Elected
Officials?
381
What We Know
386
What We Don t Know: Other Reasons Why Goodling s
Election Was Special
387
Study Questions and Problems
388
Part IV: Federal Elections
395
11.
Congressional Elections
397
Trying to Make a Difference
397
Apportionment and Membership of the House of
Representatives
398
Redistricting
402
Gerrymandering
407
Does Gerrymandering Give Incumbents an Advantage?
423
The Decision to Run
426
Senate Elections
436
Are Congressional Races Special?
438
Not All Members Are Equal
439
Seniority, Elections, and Incumbency
441
Party Control, Positions of Power, and Upward
Political Mobility
444
What We Know
446
What We Don t Know: Moving Down the Street
446
Study Questions and Problems
447
CONTENTS Xl
12.
Presidential Primaries
452
Skipping Around or Sitting in Place?
452
What It Takes to Get on the Ballot in the
Primaries
453
Hyperspeed
455
What It Takes to Get Nominated
458
How the Current System Works
471
How the Current System Works: The Evidence
484
Views of the State of Primaries
487
What We Know
489
What We Don t Know: The Next Step
489
Study Questions and Problems
490
13.
Presidential Elections
494
Going West
494
How the Electoral College Works
495
The Electoral College and Campaigning
499
The Electoral Vote and Government Spending
513
Voters and Divided Government
515
What Happened to the Patient s Bill of Rights?
534
More Checks and Balances
535
What We Know
537
What We Don t Know: Other Parties and
Candidates
538
Study Questions and Problems
538
Part V: Challenging the Majority
543
14.
Minor Parties and Independent Candidates
545
Winning by Division
545
Voters Choices in Three-Candidate Elections
546
Choosing Whether to Party
550
Moving to More Than One Dimension
552
Can Minor-Party or Independent Candidates Succeed
in U.S. Elections?
557
How Influential Are Minor-Party and Independent
Candidates?
562
Do Voters Vote Strategically?
568
Party Labels as Information and Coordination
Devices
573
Nonpartisan Elections, Majority Requirements, and
Coordination
574
Not Unique but Rare
... 579
Xli CONTENTS
The Implications for Policy Choices
580
How Failing to Support David Worley Hurt the
Democrats in
2000 584
What We Know
585
What We Don t Know: The Major Political Parties and
Civil Rights
586
Study Questions and Problems
588
15.
Minority Voters and Representation
592
The Dilemma of Representation
592
What It Was Like
594
The South Today
595
The Current Rise in Diversity
599
Defining Minority Representation
600
Vote Denial
602
Vote Dilution
608
Vote Dilution, the Fifteenth Amendment, and the
Voting Rights Act
616
Majority-Minority Districts and the Redistricting
Debate of the
1990s 618
Majority-Minority Districts and Other Minorities
621
Are Majority-Minority Districts Good for
Minorities?
625
The Future of Redistricting
632
Vote Denial Today
634
What We Know
637
Study Questions and Problems
637
16.
The Future and Analyzing Elections
641
The
2008
Presidential Contest
641
The Message and What We Know Redux
642
References
645
Index
673
|
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| dewey-sort | 3324.973 |
| dewey-tens | 320 - Political science (Politics and government) |
| discipline | Politologie |
| edition | 1. ed. |
| format | Book |
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| language | English |
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| title | Analyzing elections |
| title_auth | Analyzing elections |
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| title_full | Analyzing elections Rebecca B. Morton |
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