Fuzzy logic in financial analysis:
Gespeichert in:
| Beteilige Person: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Berlin [u.a.]
Springer
2005
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Studies in fuzziness and soft computing
175 |
| Schlagwörter: | |
| Links: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=013333739&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| Beschreibung: | Literaturverz. S. 445 - 450 |
| Umfang: | XIII, 450 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9783540232131 3540232133 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Fuzzy logic in financial analysis |c Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente |
| 264 | 1 | |a Berlin [u.a.] |b Springer |c 2005 | |
| 300 | |a XIII, 450 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
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| 650 | 7 | |a Fuzzy logic |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Mathematisches Modell | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Unternehmen | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Business enterprises |x Finance |x Mathematical models | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1819273857260847104 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | ANN
A MARIA GIL-LAFUENTE
FUZZY LOGIC
IN FINANCIA
L ANALYSIS
4U SPRINGER
CONTENTS
1 THE FINANCIAL ACTIVITY OF BUSINESSES
1
1.1
THE CHANGEABILITY OF FINANCIAL PHENOMENA 1
1.2 BUSINESS WITHIN THE FRAMEWORK OF MONETARY CIRCULATION 2
1.3 CLASSICAL AND MODERN ASPECTS OF FINANCIAL STUDIES 6
1.4 THE ECONOMIC-FINANCIAL AND DIVIDEND POLICY 9
2 BASI
C ELEMENT
S FOR TH
E TREATMEN
T
OF UNCERTAINT
Y
13
2.1 FROM BINARY LOGIC T
O MULTIVALENT LOGIC 13
2.2 FUZZY LOGIC AND FUZZY SUB-SETS 19
2.3 IMPRECISE NUMBERS 22
2.4 WIT
H REGARD T
O TH
E PROBLEM OF SUBJECTIVITY 29
3 ACCOUNTANC
Y AND DECISIO
N TECHNIQUES
37
3.1 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS, REPRESENTATIVE HUB
OF THE FINANCIAL SITUATION 37
3.2 ACCOUNTING INSTRUMENTS FACED WITH TH
E FUTURE 40
3.3 MANAGEMENT IN UNCERTAINTY 42
4 TH
E ESTIMAT
E OF ECONOMIC-FINANCIA
L VALUES
BY MEAN
S OF TH
E BUDGE
T
45
4.1 BUDGETING ACTIVITY IN BUSINESS 45
4.2 BUDGETING DEVELOPMENT 48
4.2.1 FLEXIBLE BUDGETS 49
4.2.2 BUDGET PLANNED BY PROGRAMMES 50
4.2.3 THE FRENCH SYSTEM RCB 52
4.2.4 THE ZERO-BASE BUDGET 54
4.3 THE DRAWING UP OF PROVISIONAL STATEMENTS 56
5 LONG TERM FINANCIA
L SOLVENC
Y
61
5.1 WORKING CAPITAL 61
5.2 MEDIUM AND LONG-TERM SOLVENCY 65
5.3 VARIATIONS IN WORKING CAPITAL 67
5.4 STATEMENT OF SOURCE AND APPLICATION
OF WORKING CAPITAL IN UNCERTAINTY 72
X CONTENTS
5.5 THE INTERVENTION OF COUNTER-EXPERTS 72
6 SHORT TERM FINANCIAL SOLVENC
Y
77
6.1 THE CASH-FLOW 77
6.2 STATEMENT OF SOURCE AND CASH-FLOW APPLICATION 79
6.3 ESTIMATING THE CASH-FLOW FACED WITH AN UNCERTAIN FUTURE . . 81
6.4 ESTIMATING THE CASH-FLOW BY MEANS OF THE OPINION OF EXPERTS 82
6.5 THE DIFFERENCE OF OPINION BETWEEN EXPERTS 88
7 FINANCIAL ANALYSI
S BY MEAN
S OF RATIO
S
95
7.1 PRELIMINARY CONSIDERATIONS 95
7.2 FORECASTING PROFITABILITY AND SOLVENCY BY MEANS OF RATIOS ..
. 98
7.3 REPRESENTATION OF RATIOS BY CONFIDENCE INTERVALS 102
7.3.1 ARRIVING AT THE QUOTIENT BETWEEN CONFIDENCE INTERVALS 102
7.3.2 COMPARING CONFIDENCE INTERVALS 104
7.4 USE OF INTERVALS IN THE EVENT OF SEVERAL STRATEGIES 107
7.5 THE DU PONT SCHEME IN UNCERTAINTY 113
8 RISK ANALYSI
S
117
8.1 RISK IN MANAGEMENT STUDIES 117
8.2 THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INDEBTEDNESS
AND FINANCIAL PROFITABILITY IN UNCERTAINTY 118
8.3 THE APPROACH WITH CONFIDENCE TRIPLETS
AS A TRIANGULAR APPROXIMATION 120
8.3.1 FIRST ALTERNATIVE 120
8.3.2 SECOND ALTERNATIVE 121
8.3.3 THIRD ALTERNATIVE 122
8.4 CONSIDERATIONS ON ESTIMATING THE UNCERTAINTY OF PROFITABILITY 125
8.5 FROM FINANCIAL RISK T
O INSOLVENCY 130
9 INFERENCE CHAINS IN FINANCIAL ANALYSI
S
135
9.1 VALUATION OF FINANCIAL PHENOMENA 135
9.2 CONSIDERATIONS ON MULTIVALENT LOGIC 136
9.3 MULTIVALENT INFERENCES 137
9.4 OBJECTIVES IN INFERENCE CHAINS 141
9.5 THE RESULT BY MEANS OF THE LUKACIEWICZ INFERENCE 144
9.6 INFERENCE CHAINS AS AN ELEMENT FOR DECISION 151
10 TH
E EFFECT OF FIXE
D COST
S O
N PROFIT
159
10.1 THE BREAKEVEN POINT
AS A THRESHOLD FOR PROFITABILITY 159
10.2 THE THRESHOLD OF PROFITABILITY. POINT OR INTERVAL? 162
10.3 THE REDUCTION OF THE INTERVAL REPRESENTING
THE THRESHOLD OF PROFITABILITY .-.165
10.4 THE LEVER EFFECT OR LEVERAGE 172
CONTENTS XI
11 CAPITAL COS
T
179
11.1 CONCEPT AND CHARACTERISTICS OF CAPITAL COST 179
11.2 THE COST OF OUTSIDE MEANS OF FINANCING 181
11.3 OUTSIDE CAPITAL COST IN UNCERTAINTY 185
11.4 THE COST OF OWN (IN HOUSE) FINANCIAL MEANS 191
11.5 THE DETERMINATION OF THE COST OF THE CAPITAL 193
12 RELATIO
N BETWEE
N FINANCIAL STRUCTUR
E AND CAPITAL COST
. . . 203
12.1 AN OVERVIEW OF THE DIFFERENT DOCTRINAL POSITIONS 203
12.2 UNCERTAIN CAPITAL COST AND FINANCIAL STRUCTURE 205
12.3 THE CONSTANCY OF THE COST OF EQUITY AND OUTSIDE CAPITAL ..
. 208
12.4 MECHANISMS THA
T JUSTIFY THE CONSTANCY OF CAPITAL COST 211
13 INCIDENCE OF TH
E FINANCIAL STRUCTUR
E
O
N TH
E VALUE OF TH
E BUSINES
S
217
13.1 CLASSICAL TREATMENT OF THE PROBLEM 217
13.2 NEW APPROACHES FOR ARRIVING A
T THE LONG-TERM VALUE 223
13.3 DETERMINATION OF THE VALUE IN THE HYPOTHESIS OF CONVERGENCE 224
13.4 DEVELOPMENT OF THE SCHEME IN THE EVENT OF PERIODICITY 234
13.5 ATTEMPTS FOR SOLUTION OF OTHER CASES 239
14 SEQUENTIAL STUD
Y OF TH
E MODIFICATIONS
IN TH
E RATI
O OF INDEBTEDNES
S
241
14.1 PRIOR CONSIDERATIONS 241
14.2 GENERAL APPROACH TO THE PROBLEM 242
14.3 SEQUENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF THE MODEL 246
14.4 THE SOLUTION BY MEANS OF DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING 250
14.5 INCORPORATION OF UNCERTAIN RATIOS 253
15 DETERMINATIO
N OF TH
E POSSIBL
E STRATEGIE
S
FOR REDUCIN
G INDEBTEDNES
S IN BUSINES
S
257
15.1 APPROACH TO THE PROBLEM 257
15.2 SEQUENTIAL MOVEMENTS OF THE INDEX OF INDEBTEDNESS 259
15.3 POSSIBILITIES OF ARRIVING AT THE OBJECTIVE
IN TWO PERIODS 262
15.4 ESTABLISHMENT OF VALUATIONS
BY MEANS OF INFERENCES 264
15.5 ARRIVING AT THE OBJECTIVE
IN THE MEDIUM AND LONG TERM 265
15.6 DIRECT FINANCIAL POLICIES 273
15.7 FINAL CONSIDERATIONS 276
XII CONTENTS
16 SEQUENTIAL STRATEGIE
S
FOR RAISIN
G FINANCIAL MEAN
S
279
16.1 APPROACH TO THE PROBLEM 279
16.2 THE OBJECTIVE BY MEANS OF INFERENCE CHAINS 280
16.3 INCIDENCE OF THE LEVEL OF FINANCING
FOR EACH OBJECTIVE OVER THE SOURCE 283
16.4 ANALYSIS OF THE DATA OBTAINED 291
16.5 POSSIBILITIES OF ARRIVING AT OPTIMUM COMBINATIONS 294
16.6 FINAL CONSIDERATIONS 298
17 DIFFERENTIATION OF FINANCIA
L PRODUCT
S
303
17.1 THE ELEMENTS THA
T DIFFERENTIATE FINANCIAL PRODUCTS 303
17.2 INTRODUCTION OF THE GALOIS LATTICE
T
O THE PROBLEM OF GROUPINGS 306
17.3 GROUPING BY MEANS OF MAXIMUM SUB-RELATIONS
OF SIMILARITY 309
17.4 THE PICHAT ALGORITHM .31
2
18 SELECTIO
N OF FINANCIAL PRODUCT
S
319
18.1 APPROACH T
O THE PROBLEM 319
18.2 A FIRST APPROXIMATION: THE COEFFICIENT OF ADEQUACY 320
18.3 THE RESULT BY MEANS OF THE CLAN THEORY 324
18.4 APPROACH TO A MODEL OF SUBJECTIVE PREFERENCES 330
18.5 APPLICATION OF THE PROPOSED MODEL 334
19 NEURA
L STRUCTURE
S FOR TH
E SELECTIO
N
OF FINANCIAL RESOURCE
S
341
19.1 BASIC PRINCIPLES OF NEURAL STRUCTURES 341
19.2 APPROACH T
O THE PROBLEM 346
19.3 INTRODUCTION OF NEURAL STRUCTURES
TO THE FINANCIAL PROBLEM 350
19.4 FINAL CONSIDERATIONS 355
20 ASSIGNMEN
T OF FINANCIAL MEAN
S IN BUSINES
S
359
20.1 APPROACH TO THE PROBLEM 359
20.2 A FIRST APPROXIMATION:
THE COEFFICIENT OF QUALIFICATION 363
20.3 ASSIGNMENT OF VALUATIONS T
O THE CHARACTERISTICS
OF THE FINANCIAL ELEMENTS 366
20.4 ASSIGNMENT ALGORITHMS 371
20.5 THE PROCESS OF ASSIGNMENT 372
20.6 FINAL CONSIDERATIONS 380
CONTENTS XIII
2
1 TH
E ECONOMIC-FINANCIA
L VALU
E O
F A BUSINES
S
383
21.1 CLASSICAL CRITERI
A OF VALUATIO
N 383
21.2 DETERMINATIO
N OF TH
E VALUE OF TH
E BUSINESS 389
21.3 ESTIMATIN
G INTERES
T RATE
S I
N UNCERTAINT
Y 392
21.4 ESTIMATIN
G PROFIT
S IN UNCERTAINT
Y 399
21.5 ARRIVIN
G A
T TH
E VALUE OF TH
E BUSINESS 406
2
2 TH
E SETTIN
G U
P O
F A FINANCIA
L PRODUC
T
411
22.1 INTRODUCTIO
N 411
22.2 ELEMENT
S FOR FORMIN
G A
N IDE
A BAN
K 412
22.3 TH
E TREE METHO
D 412
22.4 MORPHOLOGICAL METHO
D 414
22.5 SETTIN
G U
P A CREATIVIT
Y GROU
P 417
22.6 DEVELOPMENT OF TH
E ACTIVIT
Y OF TH
E GROU
P 418
22.7 COHERENC
E IN TH
E ASSOCIATIO
N OF IDEA
S 419
22.8 FRO
M TRI-ASSOCIATION
S T
O COHEREN
T
N-
ASSOCIATIONS 421
22.9 CRITERIO
N OF INNOVATIO
N 42
3
22.10 POSSIBILIT
Y OF REALISATIO
N 424
22.11 CONCLUSIONS 426
2
3 EFFECT
S O
F ECONOMI
C SURROUNDING
S
O
N FINANCIA
L ACTIVIT
Y
427
23.1 RELATION
S OF CAUSALIT
Y I
N FINANCIA
L ACTIVIT
Y 427
23.2 A FIRS
T APPROXIMATIO
N T
O A SOLUTION OF INCIDENCES 429
23.3 INCORPORATIO
N OF TECHNIQUES RELATIV
E T
O FORGOTTE
N EFFECTS ...
. 434
23.4 PRESENTATIO
N OF TH
E RESULT
S 440
BIBLIOGRAPHY
445
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Gil-Lafuente, Anna Maria |
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| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV020012208 |
| callnumber-first | H - Social Science |
| callnumber-label | HG4012 |
| callnumber-raw | HG4012 |
| callnumber-search | HG4012 |
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| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)60613342 (DE-599)BVBBV020012208 |
| dewey-full | 338.6/04101511313 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 338 - Production |
| dewey-raw | 338.6/04101511313 |
| dewey-search | 338.6/04101511313 |
| dewey-sort | 3338.6 104101511313 |
| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Informatik Mathematik Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV020012208 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-12-20T12:10:10Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9783540232131 3540232133 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-013333739 |
| oclc_num | 60613342 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-703 DE-824 DE-92 DE-N2 |
| owner_facet | DE-703 DE-824 DE-92 DE-N2 |
| physical | XIII, 450 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2005 |
| publishDateSearch | 2005 |
| publishDateSort | 2005 |
| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | marc |
| series | Studies in fuzziness and soft computing |
| series2 | Studies in fuzziness and soft computing |
| spellingShingle | Gil-Lafuente, Anna Maria Fuzzy logic in financial analysis Studies in fuzziness and soft computing Bedrijfsfinanciering gtt Fuzzy logic gtt Mathematisches Modell Unternehmen Business enterprises Finance Mathematical models Fuzzy logic Fuzzy-Logik (DE-588)4341284-1 gnd Finanzanalyse (DE-588)4133000-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4341284-1 (DE-588)4133000-6 |
| title | Fuzzy logic in financial analysis |
| title_auth | Fuzzy logic in financial analysis |
| title_exact_search | Fuzzy logic in financial analysis |
| title_full | Fuzzy logic in financial analysis Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente |
| title_fullStr | Fuzzy logic in financial analysis Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente |
| title_full_unstemmed | Fuzzy logic in financial analysis Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente |
| title_short | Fuzzy logic in financial analysis |
| title_sort | fuzzy logic in financial analysis |
| topic | Bedrijfsfinanciering gtt Fuzzy logic gtt Mathematisches Modell Unternehmen Business enterprises Finance Mathematical models Fuzzy logic Fuzzy-Logik (DE-588)4341284-1 gnd Finanzanalyse (DE-588)4133000-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Bedrijfsfinanciering Fuzzy logic Mathematisches Modell Unternehmen Business enterprises Finance Mathematical models Fuzzy-Logik Finanzanalyse |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=013333739&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV021858135 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT gillafuenteannamaria fuzzylogicinfinancialanalysis |