Foundations of futures studies: human science for a new era 1 History, purposes and knowledge
Gespeichert in:
| Beteilige Person: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New Brunswick [u.a.]
Transaction Publ.
1997
|
| Schlagwörter: | |
| Links: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008131784&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| Umfang: | XXV, 365 S. |
| ISBN: | 1560002719 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
List of Figures ix
List of Tables x
Acknowledgements xi
Preface xvii
1. Futures Studies: A New Field of Inquiry 1
2. The Purposes of Futures Studies 73
3. Assumptions of Futures Studies 115
4. Is Futures Studies an Art or a Science? 165
5. An Epistemology for Futures Studies:
From Positivism to Critical Realism 191
6. Methods and Exemplars in Futures Research 239
References 319
Index 359
List of Figures
3.1. Representations of circular time showing seasons and
cyclical events showing temperature. 133
6.1. Optimism at the end of the previous year and growth
rates of the real gross national product in Germany
for thirty seven years. 248
6.2. Past trend and projection into the future for hypo¬
thetical variable Y. 251
6.3. A growth curve showing the percentage of consumers
possessing some product (with a penetration level
of ninety percent). 252
6.4. Observed data, trend, and cycles for hypothetical
variable Y. 254
6.5. Ladder used as part of Cantril s study of hopes
and fears. 259
6.6. A cross impact matrix: Consequences of tenure
elimination. 268
6.7. Scenario 1. 276
6.8. Scenario 10. 278
6.9. Scenario 12. 280
List of Tables
3.1. History of the universe. 138
6.1. Measures proposed to counteract unemployment
caused by automation and their effectiveness,
desirability, and probability of occurrence. 266
|
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| id | DE-604.BV012014826 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-12-20T10:22:49Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 1560002719 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-008131784 |
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| physical | XXV, 365 S. |
| publishDate | 1997 |
| publishDateSearch | 1997 |
| publishDateSort | 1997 |
| publisher | Transaction Publ. |
| record_format | marc |
| spellingShingle | Bell, Wendell Foundations of futures studies human science for a new era Forecasting |
| title | Foundations of futures studies human science for a new era |
| title_auth | Foundations of futures studies human science for a new era |
| title_exact_search | Foundations of futures studies human science for a new era |
| title_full | Foundations of futures studies human science for a new era 1 History, purposes and knowledge Wendell Bell |
| title_fullStr | Foundations of futures studies human science for a new era 1 History, purposes and knowledge Wendell Bell |
| title_full_unstemmed | Foundations of futures studies human science for a new era 1 History, purposes and knowledge Wendell Bell |
| title_short | Foundations of futures studies |
| title_sort | foundations of futures studies human science for a new era history purposes and knowledge |
| title_sub | human science for a new era |
| topic | Forecasting |
| topic_facet | Forecasting |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008131784&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV012014819 |
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