Shocks, cr!ses, and false alarms: how to assess true macroeconomic risk
An essential new guide to navigating the turbulent macroeconomic landscape as you form your strategy. When turmoil hits, executives and investors face notoriously unreliable macroeconomic forecasts, whipsawing data, and contradictory opinions. Are disruptions transient and ephemeral-or permanent and...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
[Place of publication not identified]
Ascent Audio
2024
|
| Edition: | [First edition]. |
| Subjects: | |
| Links: | https://learning.oreilly.com/library/view/-/9781663734495/?ar |
| Summary: | An essential new guide to navigating the turbulent macroeconomic landscape as you form your strategy. When turmoil hits, executives and investors face notoriously unreliable macroeconomic forecasts, whipsawing data, and contradictory opinions. Are disruptions transient and ephemeral-or permanent and structural? False alarms are costly traps, but so are true structural changes that go undetected. Leaders must also assess the doom-laden public macroeconomic discourse, which habitually presents worst-case scenarios as foregone conclusions. How can executives avoid these traps and make better strategic decisions? In this incisive, perspective-shifting book, BCG global chief economist Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak and senior economist Paul Swartz provide a fresh and accessible way to analyze and understand the macroeconomy-what they call "regime analysis"-that pushes beyond conventional model-based prediction to emphasize structural context and judgment. Focusing on what it takes for macroeconomic regimes to break, they apply their approach to key risks in the real economy, financial structures, and geopolitical arrangements to help senior executives and investors assess the true risks of their economic context and to build their capacity to respond to changing conditions more effectively. |
| Item Description: | Online resource; title from title details screen (O'Reilly, viewed August 14, 2024) |
| Physical Description: | 1 Online-Ressource (1 sound file (9 hr., 9 min.)) |
| ISBN: | 9781663734495 1663734496 |
Staff View
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nam a22000002c 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | ZDB-30-ORH-106608789 | ||
| 003 | DE-627-1 | ||
| 005 | 20240902105241.0 | ||
| 007 | cr uuu---uuuuu | ||
| 008 | 240902s2024 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c | ||
| 020 | |a 9781663734495 |c electronic audio bk. |9 978-1-6637-3449-5 | ||
| 020 | |a 1663734496 |c electronic audio bk. |9 1-6637-3449-6 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-627-1)106608789 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)KEP106608789 | ||
| 035 | |a (ORHE)9781663734495 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-627-1)106608789 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-627 |b ger |c DE-627 |e rda | ||
| 041 | |a eng | ||
| 082 | 0 | |a 339 |2 23/eng/20240814 | |
| 100 | 1 | |a Carlsson-Szlezak, Philipp |e VerfasserIn |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Shocks, cr!ses, and false alarms |b how to assess true macroeconomic risk |c Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak and Paul Swartz |
| 250 | |a [First edition]. | ||
| 264 | 1 | |a [Place of publication not identified] |b Ascent Audio |c 2024 | |
| 300 | |a 1 Online-Ressource (1 sound file (9 hr., 9 min.)) | ||
| 336 | |a Text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |a Computermedien |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |a Online-Ressource |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a Online resource; title from title details screen (O'Reilly, viewed August 14, 2024) | ||
| 520 | |a An essential new guide to navigating the turbulent macroeconomic landscape as you form your strategy. When turmoil hits, executives and investors face notoriously unreliable macroeconomic forecasts, whipsawing data, and contradictory opinions. Are disruptions transient and ephemeral-or permanent and structural? False alarms are costly traps, but so are true structural changes that go undetected. Leaders must also assess the doom-laden public macroeconomic discourse, which habitually presents worst-case scenarios as foregone conclusions. How can executives avoid these traps and make better strategic decisions? In this incisive, perspective-shifting book, BCG global chief economist Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak and senior economist Paul Swartz provide a fresh and accessible way to analyze and understand the macroeconomy-what they call "regime analysis"-that pushes beyond conventional model-based prediction to emphasize structural context and judgment. Focusing on what it takes for macroeconomic regimes to break, they apply their approach to key risks in the real economy, financial structures, and geopolitical arrangements to help senior executives and investors assess the true risks of their economic context and to build their capacity to respond to changing conditions more effectively. | ||
| 650 | 0 | |a Macroeconomics | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Risk assessment | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Financial crises | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Macroéconomie | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Évaluation du risque | |
| 650 | 4 | |a risk assessment | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Audiobooks | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Livres audio | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Swartz, Paul |e VerfasserIn |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Vertullo, Jon |e ErzählerIn |4 nrt | |
| 966 | 4 | 0 | |l DE-91 |p ZDB-30-ORH |q TUM_PDA_ORH |u https://learning.oreilly.com/library/view/-/9781663734495/?ar |m X:ORHE |x Aggregator |z lizenzpflichtig |3 Volltext |
| 912 | |a ZDB-30-ORH | ||
| 951 | |a BO | ||
| 912 | |a ZDB-30-ORH | ||
| 049 | |a DE-91 | ||
Record in the Search Index
| DE-BY-TUM_katkey | ZDB-30-ORH-106608789 |
|---|---|
| _version_ | 1829007834696646656 |
| adam_text | |
| any_adam_object | |
| author | Carlsson-Szlezak, Philipp Swartz, Paul |
| author2 | Vertullo, Jon |
| author2_role | nrt |
| author2_variant | j v jv |
| author_facet | Carlsson-Szlezak, Philipp Swartz, Paul Vertullo, Jon |
| author_role | aut aut |
| author_sort | Carlsson-Szlezak, Philipp |
| author_variant | p c s pcs p s ps |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | localTUM |
| collection | ZDB-30-ORH |
| ctrlnum | (DE-627-1)106608789 (DE-599)KEP106608789 (ORHE)9781663734495 |
| dewey-full | 339 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 339 - Macroeconomics and related topics |
| dewey-raw | 339 |
| dewey-search | 339 |
| dewey-sort | 3339 |
| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| edition | [First edition]. |
| format | Electronic eBook |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>02979nam a22004692c 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">ZDB-30-ORH-106608789</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627-1</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20240902105241.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">240902s2024 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9781663734495</subfield><subfield code="c">electronic audio bk.</subfield><subfield code="9">978-1-6637-3449-5</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1663734496</subfield><subfield code="c">electronic audio bk.</subfield><subfield code="9">1-6637-3449-6</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627-1)106608789</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)KEP106608789</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(ORHE)9781663734495</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627-1)106608789</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rda</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">339</subfield><subfield code="2">23/eng/20240814</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Carlsson-Szlezak, Philipp</subfield><subfield code="e">VerfasserIn</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Shocks, cr!ses, and false alarms</subfield><subfield code="b">how to assess true macroeconomic risk</subfield><subfield code="c">Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak and Paul Swartz</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="250" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">[First edition].</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">[Place of publication not identified]</subfield><subfield code="b">Ascent Audio</subfield><subfield code="c">2024</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1 Online-Ressource (1 sound file (9 hr., 9 min.))</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Computermedien</subfield><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Online-Ressource</subfield><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Online resource; title from title details screen (O'Reilly, viewed August 14, 2024)</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">An essential new guide to navigating the turbulent macroeconomic landscape as you form your strategy. When turmoil hits, executives and investors face notoriously unreliable macroeconomic forecasts, whipsawing data, and contradictory opinions. Are disruptions transient and ephemeral-or permanent and structural? False alarms are costly traps, but so are true structural changes that go undetected. Leaders must also assess the doom-laden public macroeconomic discourse, which habitually presents worst-case scenarios as foregone conclusions. How can executives avoid these traps and make better strategic decisions? In this incisive, perspective-shifting book, BCG global chief economist Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak and senior economist Paul Swartz provide a fresh and accessible way to analyze and understand the macroeconomy-what they call "regime analysis"-that pushes beyond conventional model-based prediction to emphasize structural context and judgment. Focusing on what it takes for macroeconomic regimes to break, they apply their approach to key risks in the real economy, financial structures, and geopolitical arrangements to help senior executives and investors assess the true risks of their economic context and to build their capacity to respond to changing conditions more effectively.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Macroeconomics</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Risk assessment</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Financial crises</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Macroéconomie</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Évaluation du risque</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">risk assessment</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Audiobooks</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Livres audio</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Swartz, Paul</subfield><subfield code="e">VerfasserIn</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Vertullo, Jon</subfield><subfield code="e">ErzählerIn</subfield><subfield code="4">nrt</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="4" ind2="0"><subfield code="l">DE-91</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-30-ORH</subfield><subfield code="q">TUM_PDA_ORH</subfield><subfield code="u">https://learning.oreilly.com/library/view/-/9781663734495/?ar</subfield><subfield code="m">X:ORHE</subfield><subfield code="x">Aggregator</subfield><subfield code="z">lizenzpflichtig</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ZDB-30-ORH</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="951" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">BO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ZDB-30-ORH</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-91</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| id | ZDB-30-ORH-106608789 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2025-04-10T09:36:36Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781663734495 1663734496 |
| language | English |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-91 DE-BY-TUM |
| owner_facet | DE-91 DE-BY-TUM |
| physical | 1 Online-Ressource (1 sound file (9 hr., 9 min.)) |
| psigel | ZDB-30-ORH TUM_PDA_ORH ZDB-30-ORH |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| publishDateSearch | 2024 |
| publishDateSort | 2024 |
| publisher | Ascent Audio |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Carlsson-Szlezak, Philipp VerfasserIn aut Shocks, cr!ses, and false alarms how to assess true macroeconomic risk Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak and Paul Swartz [First edition]. [Place of publication not identified] Ascent Audio 2024 1 Online-Ressource (1 sound file (9 hr., 9 min.)) Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Online resource; title from title details screen (O'Reilly, viewed August 14, 2024) An essential new guide to navigating the turbulent macroeconomic landscape as you form your strategy. When turmoil hits, executives and investors face notoriously unreliable macroeconomic forecasts, whipsawing data, and contradictory opinions. Are disruptions transient and ephemeral-or permanent and structural? False alarms are costly traps, but so are true structural changes that go undetected. Leaders must also assess the doom-laden public macroeconomic discourse, which habitually presents worst-case scenarios as foregone conclusions. How can executives avoid these traps and make better strategic decisions? In this incisive, perspective-shifting book, BCG global chief economist Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak and senior economist Paul Swartz provide a fresh and accessible way to analyze and understand the macroeconomy-what they call "regime analysis"-that pushes beyond conventional model-based prediction to emphasize structural context and judgment. Focusing on what it takes for macroeconomic regimes to break, they apply their approach to key risks in the real economy, financial structures, and geopolitical arrangements to help senior executives and investors assess the true risks of their economic context and to build their capacity to respond to changing conditions more effectively. Macroeconomics Risk assessment Financial crises Macroéconomie Évaluation du risque risk assessment Audiobooks Livres audio Swartz, Paul VerfasserIn aut Vertullo, Jon ErzählerIn nrt |
| spellingShingle | Carlsson-Szlezak, Philipp Swartz, Paul Shocks, cr!ses, and false alarms how to assess true macroeconomic risk Macroeconomics Risk assessment Financial crises Macroéconomie Évaluation du risque risk assessment Audiobooks Livres audio |
| title | Shocks, cr!ses, and false alarms how to assess true macroeconomic risk |
| title_auth | Shocks, cr!ses, and false alarms how to assess true macroeconomic risk |
| title_exact_search | Shocks, cr!ses, and false alarms how to assess true macroeconomic risk |
| title_full | Shocks, cr!ses, and false alarms how to assess true macroeconomic risk Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak and Paul Swartz |
| title_fullStr | Shocks, cr!ses, and false alarms how to assess true macroeconomic risk Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak and Paul Swartz |
| title_full_unstemmed | Shocks, cr!ses, and false alarms how to assess true macroeconomic risk Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak and Paul Swartz |
| title_short | Shocks, cr!ses, and false alarms |
| title_sort | shocks cr ses and false alarms how to assess true macroeconomic risk |
| title_sub | how to assess true macroeconomic risk |
| topic | Macroeconomics Risk assessment Financial crises Macroéconomie Évaluation du risque risk assessment Audiobooks Livres audio |
| topic_facet | Macroeconomics Risk assessment Financial crises Macroéconomie Évaluation du risque risk assessment Audiobooks Livres audio |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT carlssonszlezakphilipp shockscrsesandfalsealarmshowtoassesstruemacroeconomicrisk AT swartzpaul shockscrsesandfalsealarmshowtoassesstruemacroeconomicrisk AT vertullojon shockscrsesandfalsealarmshowtoassesstruemacroeconomicrisk |