What the luck?: the surprising role of chance in our everyday lives
The newest book by the acclaimed author of Standard Deviations takes on luck, and all the mischief the idea of luck can cause in our lives. In Israel, pilot trainees who were praised for doing well subsequently performed worse, while trainees who were yelled at for doing poorly performed better. It...
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
[Rego Park]
Your Coach Digital
2016
|
| Ausgabe: | Unabridged. |
| Schlagwörter: | |
| Links: | https://learning.oreilly.com/library/view/-/9781469065618/?ar |
| Zusammenfassung: | The newest book by the acclaimed author of Standard Deviations takes on luck, and all the mischief the idea of luck can cause in our lives. In Israel, pilot trainees who were praised for doing well subsequently performed worse, while trainees who were yelled at for doing poorly performed better. It is an empirical fact that highly intelligent women tend to marry men who are less intelligent. Students who get the highest scores in third grade generally get lower scores in fourth grade. And yet, it's wrong to conclude that screaming is not more effective in pilot training, women choose men whose intelligence does not intimidate them, or schools are failing third graders. In fact, there's one reason for each of these empirical facts: Statistics. Specifically, a statical concept called Regression to the Mean. Regression to the mean seeks to explain, with statistics, the role of luck in our day to day lives. An insufficient appreciation of luck and chance can wreak all kinds of mischief in sports, education, medicine, business, politics, and more. It can lead us to see illness when we are not sick and to see cures when treatments are worthless. Perfectly natural random variation can lead us to attach meaning to the meaningless. Freakonomics showed how economic calculations can explain seemingly counterintuitive decision-making. Thinking, Fast and Slow, helped readers identify a host of small cognitive errors that can lead to miscalculations and irrational thought. In What the Luck?, statistician and author Gary Smith sets himself a similar goal, and explains in clear, understandable, and witty prose, how a statistical understanding of luck can change the way we see just about every aspect of our lives ... and can help us learn to rely less on random chance, and more on truth. |
| Beschreibung: | Online resource; title from title details screen (OverDrive, viewed November 29, 2016) |
| Umfang: | 1 Online-Ressource (1 audio file (07 hr., 49 min., 50 sec.)) |
| ISBN: | 9781469065601 1469065606 |
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| spelling | Smith, Gary 1945- VerfasserIn aut What the luck? the surprising role of chance in our everyday lives Gary Smith Unabridged. [Rego Park] Your Coach Digital 2016 1 Online-Ressource (1 audio file (07 hr., 49 min., 50 sec.)) Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Online resource; title from title details screen (OverDrive, viewed November 29, 2016) The newest book by the acclaimed author of Standard Deviations takes on luck, and all the mischief the idea of luck can cause in our lives. In Israel, pilot trainees who were praised for doing well subsequently performed worse, while trainees who were yelled at for doing poorly performed better. It is an empirical fact that highly intelligent women tend to marry men who are less intelligent. Students who get the highest scores in third grade generally get lower scores in fourth grade. And yet, it's wrong to conclude that screaming is not more effective in pilot training, women choose men whose intelligence does not intimidate them, or schools are failing third graders. In fact, there's one reason for each of these empirical facts: Statistics. Specifically, a statical concept called Regression to the Mean. Regression to the mean seeks to explain, with statistics, the role of luck in our day to day lives. An insufficient appreciation of luck and chance can wreak all kinds of mischief in sports, education, medicine, business, politics, and more. It can lead us to see illness when we are not sick and to see cures when treatments are worthless. Perfectly natural random variation can lead us to attach meaning to the meaningless. Freakonomics showed how economic calculations can explain seemingly counterintuitive decision-making. Thinking, Fast and Slow, helped readers identify a host of small cognitive errors that can lead to miscalculations and irrational thought. In What the Luck?, statistician and author Gary Smith sets himself a similar goal, and explains in clear, understandable, and witty prose, how a statistical understanding of luck can change the way we see just about every aspect of our lives ... and can help us learn to rely less on random chance, and more on truth. Probabilities Chance Fortune Probability Probabilités Hasard probability Chance (OCoLC)fst00852032 Fortune (OCoLC)fst00933058 Probabilities (OCoLC)fst01077737 Downloadable audio books Audiobooks (OCoLC)fst01726208 Audiobooks Livres audio Pabon, Andrés ErzählerIn nrt |
| spellingShingle | Smith, Gary 1945- What the luck? the surprising role of chance in our everyday lives Probabilities Chance Fortune Probability Probabilités Hasard probability Chance (OCoLC)fst00852032 Fortune (OCoLC)fst00933058 Probabilities (OCoLC)fst01077737 Downloadable audio books Audiobooks (OCoLC)fst01726208 Audiobooks Livres audio |
| subject_GND | (OCoLC)fst00852032 (OCoLC)fst00933058 (OCoLC)fst01077737 (OCoLC)fst01726208 |
| title | What the luck? the surprising role of chance in our everyday lives |
| title_auth | What the luck? the surprising role of chance in our everyday lives |
| title_exact_search | What the luck? the surprising role of chance in our everyday lives |
| title_full | What the luck? the surprising role of chance in our everyday lives Gary Smith |
| title_fullStr | What the luck? the surprising role of chance in our everyday lives Gary Smith |
| title_full_unstemmed | What the luck? the surprising role of chance in our everyday lives Gary Smith |
| title_short | What the luck? |
| title_sort | what the luck the surprising role of chance in our everyday lives |
| title_sub | the surprising role of chance in our everyday lives |
| topic | Probabilities Chance Fortune Probability Probabilités Hasard probability Chance (OCoLC)fst00852032 Fortune (OCoLC)fst00933058 Probabilities (OCoLC)fst01077737 Downloadable audio books Audiobooks (OCoLC)fst01726208 Audiobooks Livres audio |
| topic_facet | Probabilities Chance Fortune Probability Probabilités Hasard probability Downloadable audio books Audiobooks Livres audio |
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