Planning for the aftermath: assessing options for U.S. strategy toward Russia after the Ukraine War
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Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Electronic Book |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Santa Monica, CA
RAND
2024
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Series: | Report
A2510-2 |
Subjects: | |
Links: | https://doi.org/10.7249/RRA2510-2 http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=034976758&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=034976758&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
Abstract: | U.S. policy choices made at the conclusions of past wars have had enduring consequences. Although there is no end in sight to the Russia-Ukraine war at the time of this writing in late 2023, U.S. policymakers should begin considering postwar Russia strategy now. The authors of this report address this issue through an alternative futures analysis. Planning for after the war is complicated by significant uncertainty: Neither the conflict's trajectory nor the international climate at the war's end can be predicted with confidence. Given this uncertainty, the implications of U.S. strategic choices must be explored in different contexts. The authors develop two ideal-type postwar worlds, as defined by the outcome of the war and the character of the broader international environment: a less favorable world and a more favorable world. They also propose two ideal-type options for postwar U.S. strategy toward Russia, a hardline approach and a less hardline approach. Then, they consider how each strategy would play out in each world over the course of the decade after the war ends, yielding four alternative futures. They draw on the history of U.S.-Russia relations and the literatures on rivalries, interstate conflict, and alliances to assess the implications of each future for U.S. interests |
Item Description: | Title from PDF document (title page; viewed February 12, 2024) "RAND NATIONAL SECURITY RESEARCH DIVISION |
Physical Description: | xii, 140 Seiten Illustrationen 23 cm |
ISBN: | 9781977412836 1977412831 |
DOI: | 10.7249/RRA2510-2 |
Staff View
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author | Charap, Samuel 1980- Priebe, Miranda |
author_GND | (DE-588)1140057758 (DE-588)1152015044 |
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contents | Chapter One: Introduction -- Chapter Two: Anticipating the Postwar World -- Chapter Three: Options for Postwar U.S. Strategy Toward Russia -- Chapter Four: Alternative Postwar Futures -- Chapter Five: Implications for U.S. Interests -- Chapter Six: Conclusion |
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spelling | Charap, Samuel 1980- Verfasser (DE-588)1140057758 aut Planning for the aftermath assessing options for U.S. strategy toward Russia after the Ukraine War Samuel Charap and Miranda Priebe Santa Monica, CA RAND 2024 xii, 140 Seiten Illustrationen 23 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia c rdamedia nc rdacarrier cr rdacarrier Report A2510-2 Title from PDF document (title page; viewed February 12, 2024) "RAND NATIONAL SECURITY RESEARCH DIVISION Chapter One: Introduction -- Chapter Two: Anticipating the Postwar World -- Chapter Three: Options for Postwar U.S. Strategy Toward Russia -- Chapter Four: Alternative Postwar Futures -- Chapter Five: Implications for U.S. Interests -- Chapter Six: Conclusion U.S. policy choices made at the conclusions of past wars have had enduring consequences. Although there is no end in sight to the Russia-Ukraine war at the time of this writing in late 2023, U.S. policymakers should begin considering postwar Russia strategy now. The authors of this report address this issue through an alternative futures analysis. Planning for after the war is complicated by significant uncertainty: Neither the conflict's trajectory nor the international climate at the war's end can be predicted with confidence. Given this uncertainty, the implications of U.S. strategic choices must be explored in different contexts. The authors develop two ideal-type postwar worlds, as defined by the outcome of the war and the character of the broader international environment: a less favorable world and a more favorable world. They also propose two ideal-type options for postwar U.S. strategy toward Russia, a hardline approach and a less hardline approach. Then, they consider how each strategy would play out in each world over the course of the decade after the war ends, yielding four alternative futures. They draw on the history of U.S.-Russia relations and the literatures on rivalries, interstate conflict, and alliances to assess the implications of each future for U.S. interests Prognose gnd rswk-swf Strategie (DE-588)4057952-9 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 gnd rswk-swf North Atlantic Treaty Organization National security / United States Strategy Security, International Russian Invasion of Ukraine, 2022 United States / Military policy United States / Foreign relations / Russia (Federation) Russia (Federation) / Foreign relations / United States Russia Security Cooperation Ukraine United States Warfare and Military Operations Stratégie Invasion russe de l'Ukraine, 2022- États-Unis / Relations extérieures / Russie HISTORY / Europe / General HISTORY / Europe / Eastern HISTORY / United States / General POLITICAL SCIENCE / Terrorism Cooperation Defense Planning International Security NATO Postwar Scenarios USA (DE-588)4078704-7 g Strategie (DE-588)4057952-9 s Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 g Prognose z DE-604 Priebe, Miranda Verfasser (DE-588)1152015044 aut https://doi.org/10.7249/RRA2510-2 Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=034976758&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=034976758&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Literaturverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Charap, Samuel 1980- Priebe, Miranda Planning for the aftermath assessing options for U.S. strategy toward Russia after the Ukraine War Chapter One: Introduction -- Chapter Two: Anticipating the Postwar World -- Chapter Three: Options for Postwar U.S. Strategy Toward Russia -- Chapter Four: Alternative Postwar Futures -- Chapter Five: Implications for U.S. Interests -- Chapter Six: Conclusion Strategie (DE-588)4057952-9 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4057952-9 (DE-588)4078704-7 (DE-588)4076899-5 |
title | Planning for the aftermath assessing options for U.S. strategy toward Russia after the Ukraine War |
title_auth | Planning for the aftermath assessing options for U.S. strategy toward Russia after the Ukraine War |
title_exact_search | Planning for the aftermath assessing options for U.S. strategy toward Russia after the Ukraine War |
title_full | Planning for the aftermath assessing options for U.S. strategy toward Russia after the Ukraine War Samuel Charap and Miranda Priebe |
title_fullStr | Planning for the aftermath assessing options for U.S. strategy toward Russia after the Ukraine War Samuel Charap and Miranda Priebe |
title_full_unstemmed | Planning for the aftermath assessing options for U.S. strategy toward Russia after the Ukraine War Samuel Charap and Miranda Priebe |
title_short | Planning for the aftermath |
title_sort | planning for the aftermath assessing options for u s strategy toward russia after the ukraine war |
title_sub | assessing options for U.S. strategy toward Russia after the Ukraine War |
topic | Strategie (DE-588)4057952-9 gnd |
topic_facet | Strategie USA Russland |
url | https://doi.org/10.7249/RRA2510-2 http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=034976758&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=034976758&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT charapsamuel planningfortheaftermathassessingoptionsforusstrategytowardrussiaaftertheukrainewar AT priebemiranda planningfortheaftermathassessingoptionsforusstrategytowardrussiaaftertheukrainewar |