The uncertain past: probability in ancient history
Historians constantly wrestle with uncertainty, never more so than when attempting quantification, yet the field has given little attention to the nature of uncertainty and strategies for managing it. This volume proposes a powerful new approach to uncertainty in ancient history, drawing on techniqu...
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Weitere beteiligte Personen: | , , |
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | Englisch |
Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge ; New York, NY
Cambridge University Press
2023
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Schlagwörter: | |
Links: | https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009121873 https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009121873 https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009121873 https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009121873 |
Zusammenfassung: | Historians constantly wrestle with uncertainty, never more so than when attempting quantification, yet the field has given little attention to the nature of uncertainty and strategies for managing it. This volume proposes a powerful new approach to uncertainty in ancient history, drawing on techniques widely used in the social and natural sciences. It shows how probability-based techniques used to manage uncertainty about the future or the present can be applied to uncertainty about the past. A substantial introduction explains the use of probability to represent uncertainty. The chapters that follow showcase how the technique can offer leverage on a wide range of problems in ancient history, from the incidence of expropriation in the Classical Greek world to the money supply of the Roman empire |
Beschreibung: | Probabilistic modelling in ancient history / Daniel Jew and Myles Lavan -- Assessing the scale of property confiscation in the ancient Greek world / Emily Mackil -- Senators and senatorial wealth at Pompeii : reconstructing the local wealth distribution / Bart Danon -- The Roman coinage under the Antonines revisited : an economy of silver, not gold / Gilles Bransbourg -- Children and their impact on family finances in Roman Egypt / Paul V. Kelly -- The financial sustainability of grain funds : a model-based approach using Monte Carlo simulation / N. Solonakis, A. Toure and M. Elhouderi -- New approaches to the urban population and urbanization rate of the Roman Empire, AD 1 to 200 / J.W. Hanson |
Umfang: | 1 Online-Ressource (xiv, 307 Seiten) |
ISBN: | 9781009121873 |
DOI: | 10.1017/9781009121873 |
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520 | |a Historians constantly wrestle with uncertainty, never more so than when attempting quantification, yet the field has given little attention to the nature of uncertainty and strategies for managing it. This volume proposes a powerful new approach to uncertainty in ancient history, drawing on techniques widely used in the social and natural sciences. It shows how probability-based techniques used to manage uncertainty about the future or the present can be applied to uncertainty about the past. A substantial introduction explains the use of probability to represent uncertainty. The chapters that follow showcase how the technique can offer leverage on a wide range of problems in ancient history, from the incidence of expropriation in the Classical Greek world to the money supply of the Roman empire | ||
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | |
any_adam_object | |
author2 | Lavan, Myles 1977- Jew, Daniel 1973- Danon, Bart 1978- |
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discipline | Geschichte Mathematik |
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spelling | The uncertain past probability in ancient history edited by Myles Lavan, Daniel Jew, Bart Danon Cambridge ; New York, NY Cambridge University Press 2023 1 Online-Ressource (xiv, 307 Seiten) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Probabilistic modelling in ancient history / Daniel Jew and Myles Lavan -- Assessing the scale of property confiscation in the ancient Greek world / Emily Mackil -- Senators and senatorial wealth at Pompeii : reconstructing the local wealth distribution / Bart Danon -- The Roman coinage under the Antonines revisited : an economy of silver, not gold / Gilles Bransbourg -- Children and their impact on family finances in Roman Egypt / Paul V. Kelly -- The financial sustainability of grain funds : a model-based approach using Monte Carlo simulation / N. Solonakis, A. Toure and M. Elhouderi -- New approaches to the urban population and urbanization rate of the Roman Empire, AD 1 to 200 / J.W. Hanson Historians constantly wrestle with uncertainty, never more so than when attempting quantification, yet the field has given little attention to the nature of uncertainty and strategies for managing it. This volume proposes a powerful new approach to uncertainty in ancient history, drawing on techniques widely used in the social and natural sciences. It shows how probability-based techniques used to manage uncertainty about the future or the present can be applied to uncertainty about the past. A substantial introduction explains the use of probability to represent uncertainty. The chapters that follow showcase how the technique can offer leverage on a wide range of problems in ancient history, from the incidence of expropriation in the Classical Greek world to the money supply of the Roman empire Geschichte gnd rswk-swf History, Ancient / Mathematical models History, Ancient / Statistical methods Uncertainty / Mathematical models Probabilities Ungewissheit (DE-588)4137198-7 gnd rswk-swf Antike (DE-588)4068754-5 gnd rswk-swf Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie (DE-588)4079013-7 gnd rswk-swf Alte Geschichte Fach (DE-588)4131285-5 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Alte Geschichte Fach (DE-588)4131285-5 s Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie (DE-588)4079013-7 s Ungewissheit (DE-588)4137198-7 s DE-604 Antike (DE-588)4068754-5 s Geschichte z Lavan, Myles 1977- (DE-588)1032362901 edt Jew, Daniel 1973- (DE-588)1116962918 edt Danon, Bart 1978- (DE-588)1276454546 edt Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe 978-1-00-910065-6 https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009121873 Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | The uncertain past probability in ancient history History, Ancient / Mathematical models History, Ancient / Statistical methods Uncertainty / Mathematical models Probabilities Ungewissheit (DE-588)4137198-7 gnd Antike (DE-588)4068754-5 gnd Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie (DE-588)4079013-7 gnd Alte Geschichte Fach (DE-588)4131285-5 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4137198-7 (DE-588)4068754-5 (DE-588)4079013-7 (DE-588)4131285-5 (DE-588)4143413-4 |
title | The uncertain past probability in ancient history |
title_auth | The uncertain past probability in ancient history |
title_exact_search | The uncertain past probability in ancient history |
title_full | The uncertain past probability in ancient history edited by Myles Lavan, Daniel Jew, Bart Danon |
title_fullStr | The uncertain past probability in ancient history edited by Myles Lavan, Daniel Jew, Bart Danon |
title_full_unstemmed | The uncertain past probability in ancient history edited by Myles Lavan, Daniel Jew, Bart Danon |
title_short | The uncertain past |
title_sort | the uncertain past probability in ancient history |
title_sub | probability in ancient history |
topic | History, Ancient / Mathematical models History, Ancient / Statistical methods Uncertainty / Mathematical models Probabilities Ungewissheit (DE-588)4137198-7 gnd Antike (DE-588)4068754-5 gnd Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie (DE-588)4079013-7 gnd Alte Geschichte Fach (DE-588)4131285-5 gnd |
topic_facet | History, Ancient / Mathematical models History, Ancient / Statistical methods Uncertainty / Mathematical models Probabilities Ungewissheit Antike Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie Alte Geschichte Fach Aufsatzsammlung |
url | https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009121873 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT lavanmyles theuncertainpastprobabilityinancienthistory AT jewdaniel theuncertainpastprobabilityinancienthistory AT danonbart theuncertainpastprobabilityinancienthistory |