Short-Term Forecasting: Projecting Italian GDPone Quarter to Two Years Ahead
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Beteilige Person: Iacoviello, Matteo (VerfasserIn)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2001
Schriftenreihe:IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 01/109
Links:http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml
Abstract:This paper presents a ""bridge model"" for short-run (one or two quarters ahead) forecasting of Italian GDP, relying on industrial production and survey indicators as key variables that can help in providing a real-time first GDP estimate. For a one- to two-year horizon, it formulates and estimates a Bayesian VAR (BVAR) model of the Italian economy. Both the ""bridge"" and the BVAR model can be of great help in supplementing traditional judgmental or structural econometric forecasts. Given their simplicity and their good forecasting power, the framework may be usefully extended to other variables as well as to other countries
Umfang:1 Online-Ressource (23 p)
ISBN:1451853211
9781451853216