Devaluation Expectations and the Stock Market: The Case of Mexico in 1994/1995
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Beteilige Person: Becker, Törbjörn I. (VerfasserIn)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2000
Schriftenreihe:IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 00/28
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Abstract:Using company-level data, this paper examines the relative stock-market performance of firms with different foreign-exchange exposures around the time of the 1994/95 Mexican crisis. Contrary to what one might have expected given the alleged peso overvaluation, exporting firms outperformed the market beginning in late 1993. Although interest rates fail to show a clear confidence loss in the exchange rate regime, the relative performance of net exporters suggests that expectations of devaluation increased continuously. The methodology presented is relevant beyond the Mexican case: sectoral differences in stock market performance may constitute valuable leading indicators of exchange rate changes in emerging markets
Umfang:1 Online-Ressource (42 p)
ISBN:1451844654
9781451844658