Availability: Are Currency Crises Predictable? | Technische Universität München

Are Currency Crises Predictable?: A Test

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author:	Pattillo, Catherine A. (Author)
Format:	Electronic eBook
Language:	English
Published:	Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 1998
Series:	IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 98/154
Links:	http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml
Abstract:	This paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. The idea is to answer the question: if we had been using these models in late 1996, how well armed would we have been to predict the Asian crisis? The results are mixed but somewhat encouraging. One model, and our modifications to it, provide useful forecasts, at least compared with a naive benchmark. The head-to-head comparison also sheds light on the economics of currency crises, the nature of the Asian crisis, and issues in the empirical modeling of currency crises
Physical Description:	1 Online-Ressource (61 p)
ISBN:	1451857209 9781451857207

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publishDateSearch	1998
publishDateSort	1998
publisher	International Monetary Fund
record_format	marc
series2	IMF Working Papers
spellingShingle	Pattillo, Catherine A. Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test
title	Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test
title_auth	Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test
title_exact_search	Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test
title_full	Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test Pattillo, Catherine A
title_fullStr	Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test Pattillo, Catherine A
title_full_unstemmed	Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test Pattillo, Catherine A
title_short	Are Currency Crises Predictable?
title_sort	are currency crises predictable a test
title_sub	A Test
url	http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207/00370-9781451857207.xml
work_keys_str_mv	AT pattillocatherinea arecurrencycrisespredictableatest AT bergandrew arecurrencycrisespredictableatest

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