Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts:

In this article, past forecast errors are used to construct confidence intervals around Australian Government Budget forecasts of key economic and fiscal variables. These confidence intervals provide an indication of the extent of uncertainty around the point estimate forecasts presented in the Budg...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Beteilige Person: Clark, John (VerfasserIn)
Weitere beteiligte Personen: Gibbons, Caroline (MitwirkendeR), Morrissey, Susan (MitwirkendeR), Pooley, Joshua (MitwirkendeR)
Format: Elektronisch Buchkapitel
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: Paris OECD Publishing 2014
Schlagwörter:
Links:https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j
Zusammenfassung:In this article, past forecast errors are used to construct confidence intervals around Australian Government Budget forecasts of key economic and fiscal variables. These confidence intervals provide an indication of the extent of uncertainty around the point estimate forecasts presented in the Budget. JEL classification numbers: E17, H68. Keywords: Confidence intervals, forecast errors, government budget, nominal GDP, real GDP, treasury, uncertainty
Umfang:1 Online-Ressource (19 Seiten) 21 x 28cm
DOI:10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j