Inside the wilderness of mirrors: Australia and the threat from the Soviet Union in the Cold War and Russia today
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| Main Author: | |
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| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Carlton, Victoria, Australia
Melbourne University Press
2018
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| Series: | Defence studies
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| Subjects: | |
| Links: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=030578186&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=030578186&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| Abstract: | Throughout the Cold War Paul Dibb worked with the highest levels of Australian and American intelligence, and was one of very few Australian officials to be given the top-secret security clearance for access to Pine Gap. Only the most senior intelligence officers in both the US and Australia held this clearance - and even then on a strict 'need to know' basis. Inside the Wilderness of Mirrors is Paul's unique insight into how Australia saw the threat from the Soviet Union during the Cold War era and beyond. This insider's account of Australian defence strategy reveals the crucial importance of the US-Australian base at Pine Gap and why Moscow targeted it for nuclear attack, and how it felt to be an expert on the Soviet Union at a time when those who dared to study the Soviet Union were necessarily subject to suspicion from their Australian colleagues. Inside the Wilderness of Mirrors concludes by examining the ways in which contemporary Russia presents a continuing threat to the international order |
| Physical Description: | xvii, 173 Seiten |
| ISBN: | 9780522873962 0522873960 9780522874150 0522874150 |
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| 520 | 3 | |a Throughout the Cold War Paul Dibb worked with the highest levels of Australian and American intelligence, and was one of very few Australian officials to be given the top-secret security clearance for access to Pine Gap. Only the most senior intelligence officers in both the US and Australia held this clearance - and even then on a strict 'need to know' basis. Inside the Wilderness of Mirrors is Paul's unique insight into how Australia saw the threat from the Soviet Union during the Cold War era and beyond. This insider's account of Australian defence strategy reveals the crucial importance of the US-Australian base at Pine Gap and why Moscow targeted it for nuclear attack, and how it felt to be an expert on the Soviet Union at a time when those who dared to study the Soviet Union were necessarily subject to suspicion from their Australian colleagues. Inside the Wilderness of Mirrors concludes by examining the ways in which contemporary Russia presents a continuing threat to the international order | |
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | Contents
Preface xi
1 ASIO s operations against the Soviet Embassy 1
2 The wilderness of mirrors 23
3 A case study of US intelligence failure 39
4 US bases and Soviet nuclear targeting 52
5 Australian assessments of the Soviet threat 72
6 Predicting the Soviet collapse 96
7 The USSR as an incomplete superpower 107
8 Understanding post-Soviet Russia 125
In conclusion 150
Notes 157
Index 162
ix
Index
Able Archer (NATO exercise): See
Cold War
Alexievich, Svetlana, 150, 151-2, 155
Allen, Charlie, 39
Andropov, Yuri, 43, 44, 46, 48
Angleton, James, xvi, 23, 24
Astafyev, Admiral, 21-2
Australia
bilateral relations with Soviet
Union, 21, 90; Australia
exploring wheat sales, 1
and British Commonwealth
Defence, 75
defence policy in 21st century,
149; and greater self-reliance?,
148; security priorities, 147
and Middle East conflicts, 146
military capabilities: increased in
1960s, 76; limited, 83, 88, 92;
and new submarines, xiii; and
nuclear capacity, 79; proposed
priority, 92
and NATO, 146
and rules-based international
order, 146
see also Australia-US alliance
Australia: potential threats 1946-70
communist China, 74, 76, 77,
78-9
a communist Indonesia, 76, 78
South-East Asia, 77; and ‘domino
theory , 77
see also Australia and the Soviet
threat; Vietnam War
Australia: potential threats 1971-
China, 147, 149; intelligence
complacency?, 151
minimal, 80
Russia, 147, 148-9
South-East Asia: uncertainty, 81
Australian intelligence community
and access to Pine Gap, 52
assumption on US bases, 151
challenges, xii-xiii, 92
see also Australian Security
Intelligence Organisation;
Defence Committee and
Cabinet; Joint Intelligence
Organisation; National
Intelligence Committee; Office
of Special Clearances and
Records
Australian National University
(ANU)
delegations visit Moscow, 19-21,
38, 126
Russian-language department, 73;
dismantled, 126
Strategic and Defence Studies
Centre, 29
Australian Security Intelligence
Organisation (ASIO)
assessments of Soviet views, 22
files released under Fol Act, 34,
36, 38
informants, 2
Official History, 5, 16, 18, 34-5, 37
operations against Soviet Embassy
in Canberra, xvi, 1-3, 4, 11, 15,
28; lack of success, 29, 36
penetration suspected, 29, 38
and Petrov defection, 2
relations with CIA, 26, 27; CIA
view of, 27-8, 29, 34
Soviet / Russian expertise:
inadequate, 36, 74
Australia and Russia
lack of understanding, xvii;
Russian expertise discarded,
125-6
and a militarily assertive Russia:
Australian defence force issues,
146—7; as threat, 147, 148-9
Russian attitudes, 126-7
and Russian interests, priorities in
Asia, 138; trade with China, 147
Australia and the Soviet threat
challenges of assessing, xi, xii,
107-8, 109-10, 113, 122
and expertise on Soviet Union, xii,
xiv, 40, 73, 150; expertise junked
after Soviet collapse, 125-6;
diplomats, 73; failure to predict
collapse of, xvi, 102-3, 104;
intelligence community, 73-4,
150; over specialisation, 97
governments and civil defence
measures, 58, 65; failure to
provide, xvi, 70, 84, 151
threat assessments to 1970:
Australia as nuclear target, 57,
79, 151; indirect threat, 77; low
level, 75-6, 77-8; as potential
contributor to regional security,
78-9
threat assessment in 1970s,
1980s, xi, xvi, 12, 72, 74, 81-9,
90, 91, 98, 99, 100, 101-2, 122;
Australia as nuclear target?,
xiii, xvi, 20, 21, 22, 39, 58, 61-6,
68-9,101; and exaggeration of
Soviet military strength, 117,
151; swallowing US intelligence
advice, 72; and US port visits,
83
see also Cold War; US-Australia
joint intelligence and
communications facilities
Australia-US alliance
ANZUS, 148
AUSMIN talks, 59
Australian role in intelligence
and military operations against
Soviet Union, xiii, xiv, xvi, 88,
92,101; covert submarine
operations, xiii
Defence-to-Defense Talks, xiii, 26,
59-60
importance to Australia, 90
and Trump presidency, 148
and US intelligence collection
against Moscow, xiii, 39, 58,
70; and full knowledge and
concurrence, 58-9, 69, 70
and US nuclear policies, plans,
59-60
and US ship, aircraft visits, 83,
101
see also US-Australia
joint intelligence and
communications facilities
Ayers, Tony, 33, 61
Ball, Desmond, 29, 53, 54-5, 69-71
Defence paranoia about, 61
A Suitable Piece of Real Estate,
55, 69
Barnett, Harvey, 34, 35
Barrass, Gordon, 49
Basov, Alexander
as Soviet Ambassador, 5, 6-7, 11,
12
Index 163
Beazley, Kim
as defence minister, 22, 32, 56, 58,
69, 99, 125
Bell, Coral, 145
Bialer, Seweryn, 109, 111
Blank, Stephen, 143
Boyce, Christopher, 29, 54, 61, 70, 71
Breedlove, Philip, 134
Brezhnev, Leonid, 13, 93, 104
(Australian) Bureau of Agricultural
Economics, 1
Burgess, John, 8
Bykov, Oleg, 20
Canberra
in 1960s, 2
Russell Hill Defence complex, 29
Casey, Bill, 44
Chamberlain, Leslie, 152
Charles, Stephen, 30
Chatham House, 134
Cheney, Dick, xiii
China, communist, 74, 76,77, 102
and North Korea: nuclear
program, 143
nuclear program, 78
rise of, 140; military assertiveness,
142, (in South China Sea), 147
and US, 143; challenge to, 147,
149
see also Russia; Soviet Union
Churchill, Winston, xii
Cold War
as antagonistic period, xiv-xv
and ‘convergence , xv
crisis in East-West relations, 92
Cuban missile crisis, xv, 40, 41
and Indian Ocean, 12-14
interpretations of, xiv
and NATO, 101, 134; exercise Able
Archer, 39, 40, 45-6, 47, 48, 49
nature of, xiv; détente, xv, 78, 81;
intelligence and prevention
of major wars, xv-xvi, 14, 18;
nuclear deterrence, 59, 60,
78, 86, 89, 100, 101; spheres
of influence, xv, 17, 82, 89;
tensions, misunderstandings,
xv, 17, 20, 39-18, 51, 100, 123
shooting down of Korean airliner,
40, 43-4, 45; earlier incident,
44-5
and South-East Asia, 16-17, 77,
81, 102
submarine services in Cold War,
xiii, 64, 138, 139; Soviet Union,
41, 47, 52, 69; US, 20, 21, 45,
57, 100
and threat of nuclear war between
Soviet Union and US, xv, 8-9,
20, 31, (perception of US
weakness), 122; effects of global
(strategic) nuclear war, 67-8, 69;
impact on Australia, 63, 67, 68,
(of nuclear attack on Australia),
64-6, 68, 69, 84; in 1983, xvi, 18,
38, 39—18, (implications), 49-51;
seen as remote, 58, 61, 62, 79
US naval exercise in north-west
Pacific, 45; and psychological
warfare operations, 45
and US-Soviet agreements,
understandings, xiv, 40, 85, 88,
100, 145; nuclear arms control
agreements, talks (SALT),
xvi, 11,14,15,66, 81; and
verification (supported by US-
Australia facilities), 54-5, 56-7,
60, 70-1,101,151
see also US-Australia joint
intelligence facilities
Cole, Sir William, 22, 31,32, 34, 35
Combe, David, 30-1
Cook, Michael, 74, 99
Cranston, Frank, 2
Cummins, Adrian, 94
Defence Committee and Cabinet
(Australia), xi
and assessments of Soviet
threat, xvi, 84, 87, 88, 89-90,
91-2, 99-102; based on
US intelligence advice, 72;
increased Soviet military
164 Index
strength, 82, 89; indirect, 77;
low level, 74-5, 76, 77-8, 79,
80, 81; potential contributor to
regional security, 78-9
Australian Strategic Analysis and
Defence Policy Objectives, 84,
85, 86, 88,91,92
Strategic Basis of Australian
Defence Policy (series), 74-81,
83, 99, 100, 102
and US defence facilities in
Australia, 81; Northwest Cape
as target, 77, 79
Defence Intelligence Organisation,
95,107
Defence Signals Directorate, 59
Defence White Papers (and Soviet
Union)
1976, xvi, 85-6, 92, 100
1987, xvi, 56-8, 125
2016, 146
Denikin, Anton, 138
Dibb, Paul
academic research on Soviet
Union at ANU, xii, 3,18, 19,25,
39, 61, 71, 73; and collapse of
Soviet Union, xvi-xvii, 96, 97-8,
102, 104, 111-12, 114, 121, 124,
(focus on economy), 95, 96,
111, (shock), 125; trans-Siberian
journey, 3-4; visits to Moscow,
elsewhere, 18, 19-22, 37, 38, 41,
97; visits to Washington, xiii, 11,
18, 24, 25, 26, 39, 41
ASIO files released in part, 34, 36,
38; newspaper coverage, 36,38
analytical approach to Soviet
Union, 126; in book The
Soviet Union: The Incomplete
Superpower, 112-20,123, 124,
155; and dialogue of the deaf,
110-11; focus on its history,
geography, culture, xii, 108,
109-110; as military power,
113,114, 116,118, (challenges);
perspective, 110, 112, 114,
115-16; possibility of military
clash, 118; and reforms, 118,
119-20; social stability, 114, 119;
Soviet weaknesses, problems,
111-12, 116-17,118, 121,
124,155, (economic), 111,
112,114-15, 116, 118,119,
(technological), 114, 118-19,
(Eastern Europe, nationalities),
115
books: The Economics of the
Soviet Wheat Industry, 3; The
Soviet Union: The Incomplete
Superpower (1986), xvi-xvii,
18, 25, 31,61,71,73,98,107,
109-10,112-20, (reception,
assessment), 120, 122-4, 155
as economist, 3; at Bureau of
Agricultural Economics, 1, 3,
108; visits Soviet Embassy 1
education, tertiary studies in
England, 32; introduction to
study of USSR, 108
friendships, 2, 29, 97, 99
married to a White Russian, 33
and post-Soviet Russia, 126,
127-8; academic research
on, xii, 130, 155; article of
2006, 128-30; gives live radio
interview in Moscow, 127; visits,
impressions, 126, 146, 154
as Professor and Head of Strategic
and Defence Studies Centre,
ANU (1991-2004), 29, 35-6, 53,
61, 126
work on Soviet war-fighting aims,
xii, 68, 69
Dibb, Paul: work in Australian
intelligence community
as ASIO agent reporting on
activities of Soviet Embassy,
personnel, xii, xvi, 1-4, 12, 25,
32, 34, 37; access to embassy,
contacts, 3-5, 8, 11-14, 15-17,
18-19, 24, 26, 27, 37, (records
of conversation), 5-7,12;
beginnings, 2-3; challenges,
dangers of work on Soviet
Index 165
Union, xii, 3, 26-7, 37, 122;
debriefings, reports, 4, 14, 16,
22, 25, 27-8, 30; value of work,
38
with Defence Department: as
Assistant Secretary Strategic
Policy, 29, 68; as consultant and
adviser, 35; as Deputy Secretary
for Defence (Strategy and
Intelligence), 22, 33, 35, 125;
as Director, Joint Intelligence
Organisation, 18, 22, 32, 35,
80, 99, 107, 125; as (Deputy)
Director, Joint Intelligence
Organisation, 5, 44, 92-3;
prepares Review of Australia s
Defence Capabilities and
Defence White Paper, 22, 32,
56, 99, 125; as principal Soviet
analyst, 122
denied appointment, 31
as member then head of National
Assessments Staff, xi, 3, 4, 5,
24, 52-3, 74, 81, 84, 86, 89, 108,
(appointment due to Soviet
expertise), 74; dissenting
views, 89; intelligence visits to
Moscow, 8-10, 24, 25, 30-1; on
Western assessments of Soviet
strength, 108
relations with CIA, 25, 26, 28,
55, 59, 71; pressure, 26-7; and
views on Soviet Union, 107;
visits to CIA headquarters, 25-6,
97, 107
involvement with operations of
US-Australia joint intelligence
bases, xi-xii, xvi, 55, 59; visits to
Pine Gap, Nummgar, 26, 52, 60;
visit to Washington, 59-60
security clearances, 32, 35-6, 52,
53, 59
see also National Intelligence
Committee; wilderness of
mirrors
Dillon, Ron, 2
Dirks, Leslie, 26
Dorling, Philip, 34
Duckett, Carl, 26
Dugin, Aleksandr, 142
Eliot, T.S., 23, 156
Elleman, Michael, 143-4
Figes, Orlando
A People s Tragedy, 153
Fitzpatrick, Sheila, 154
Foreign Affairs, Department of, 90
and Soviet Embassy, 16, 25, 27
and Soviet Union, 22, 80; expertise
on, 73,126
Fraser, Malcolm, 61, 86, 93, 94
and Soviet threat, 88,122
Fraser government, xvi
and Soviet invasion of
Afghanistan, 92; naval
deployments, 94
and Soviet Union, 83, 84-5, 90;
concern over naval presence
in Indian Ocean, 6, 8, 12, 86;
strategic threat, 81
Frühling, Stephen
A History of Australian Strategic
Policy since 1945y 75
Furlonger, Robert, 62
Furner, Jim, 94
Gaddis, John Lewis, xv, xvi
Gates, Robert, 40, 47, 49, 107, 123
From the Shadows, 44
Gorbachev, Mikhail, xiv, 31, 47
on American attitude to post-
Soviet Russia, 129
and demise of Soviet Union, 98,
104, 105
and reforms, 104, 119-20;
destructive effect of, 104, 105
Gordievsky, Oleg, 46, 47, 49, 50
‘Hardy (ASIO handler), 34, 36
Harries, Owen, 16
Harris, Stuart, 1
Haslam, Jonathan, xiv
166 Index
Haswell, Dave, 2, 36
Hawke government, xvi, 59
defence policy, 99-100; ONA
undermining of, 99
Hayden, Bill, 54
Henderson, Peter, 62
Hineman, Evan, 55
Hirsch, James, 71
Hope Royal Commission (first), 25,
92, 93
Hope Royal Commission (second)
and Combe, 30
Howard, John
and intelligence on Iraq, 94-5
Indonesia, 76
Confrontation into Borneo, 77, 78
Soviet aid, 78
international order
challenges to: China, 135, 147;
Russia, xii, xvii, 135, 144, 145-6,
155, (tensions), 147-8
changes in 1970s, 79
and liberal democracy, 135
and US under Trump, 148
International Institute for Strategic
Studies, 120, 143
Ivanov, Igor, 141
Ivanov, Valeriy, 30, 31
Japan
and Russia, 142, 143
US-Japan alliance, 142
Jervis, Robert, 109
Jockel, Gordon, 5, 11, 13, 14, 52, 82
supports Dibb, 24, 26-7
‘John’ (ASIO handler), 36
Joint Intelligence Organisation (JIO),
24, 55, 61-2, 89, 90, 91
and Soviet invasion, 94; and PM
Fraser, 94
Jukes, Geoffrey, 73, 97
Karaganov, Sergei, 131, 142
Kennan, George, 50, 103
Kennedy, Paul
The Rise and Fall of the Great
Powers, 120-1
Khrushchev, Nikita, xv, 13
Fallen, D.T (Jim), 91, 92
Kissinger, Henry
on Cold War, xiv
Koshlyakov, Lev (KGB officer), 5,
18-19, 22, 37-8
Kotldn, Stephen, 104-5
Armageddon Averted, 103
Kozyrev, Andrei, 139
Kroenig, Matthew, 133, 134
Lasovik (KGB officer), 34-5
Lebedev, Professor, 21
le Carré, John, 108
Lee, Andrew, 29, 61
Lo, Bobo, 140, 141
Lukin, Dr, 21
McEwen, Black Jack , 1
MacFarlane, Robert, 50
Mackintosh, Malcolm, 96
McLennan, Tim, 99
McMichael, Arthur, 61
Mahoney, Frank, 26
Mannett, David, 93
Marshall, Bill (Vladimir
Mishchenko), 2
Marshall, Donald Ralph, 2, 29, 36
and Dibb, 4, 11, 12, 14, 25, 32, 33
Mathams, Bob, 89
Mattis, James, 148
May, Ernest, 106
Millar, T.B., 22
Miller, Bob, 73, 97
Mills, Brian, 2
Milshtein, Dr, 20
Moore-Wilton, Max, 2
Moscow, 30
and civil defence, 73
institutes, 126, 127; IMEMO and
MGIMD, 19-20, 127; Institute of
the United States and Canada,
8-10, 19, 20, 21, 127
modern, 154
Motyl, Alexander, 145
Index 167
Mueller, Robert
investigation by, 135, 136
Muraviev, Alexei, 140
National Archives of Australia, xiv
Dibb ASIO records, 33, 34, 36, 38
National Intelligence Committee
(NIC), xi, 5
assessments of Soviet threat, xvi,
82-3, 88, 89, 90; differences
of opinion, 89; ‘International
Security Outlook’ (1976), 84, 85,
86, 87-8
liaison with UK, US agencies, 11
National Assessments Staff, xi, 3,
5, 52, 53, 74, 81, 91; abolished,
92
policy advice, 90
NATO
in Cold war, 101, 134; exercise
Able Archer, 39, 40, 45-6, 47,
48, 49
post-Cold War: countries
bordering Russia, 128, 134;
mistake to extend NATO, 155
Nayanov (Soviet diplomat), 15-18
newspapers, journals
American Interest, 128
Atlantic Monthly, 103
Australian, 99
Canberra Times, 2
Economist, 145
Izvestia, 107
National Times, 21
Pravda, 107
Survival 133
Weekend Australian, 36
North Korea, 98, 143
and potential conflict, 143
nuclear weapons, 143^1
nuclear weapons. See Cold War;
Russia; Soviet Union; United
States
Nutter, Gerry, 24
Nye, Joseph, 120
Odom, BUI, 97-8
Office of National Assessments
(ONA)
assessments of Soviet threat,
xvi, 61-8, 69, 99-100, 101, 102,
151; based on US intelligence
advice, 72; recognition of Soviet
crisis, 125
creation of, 92, 93
and Hawke government, 99-100
on Iraq, 94
new style of leadership, 74
Soviet Union: differences with
Dibb’s views, 74, 93, 107;
suspicion, 99
Office of Special Clearances and
Records (OSCAR), 32-3
closed down, 33
Ogarkov, Nikolai, 43, 44
Oldfield, Sir Maurice, 108
O NeiU, Robert, 99, 120
Panarm, Igor, 142
Parastayev (suspected KGB officer),
30-1
Pavlov, Yuri, 5,14, 15, 99
Perroots, Lenny, 39, 49
Peter the Great, 154
Philby, Kim, 23
PlimsoU, Sir James, 8, 73
Plokhy, Serhii, 138
Pollack, Jonathan, 139
Poseliagin, Nikolai, 1, 3, 4-5
Primakov, Yevgeny, 139
Pritchett, BUI, 26, 29, 59, 60, 61, 92,
100, 101-2
Putin, Vladimir, xvii, 128, 129, 131,
137, 145
authoritarianism of, 137
casts Russia as victim, 132
and challenge to West, 131, 137; to
EU, 144
motivation, 137
notion of the Russian people,
138
personality of, 141
and Russian Revolution, 153^1
168 Index
and Syria, 132,147
and Trump, 136, 148
Ukraine and near abroad’ in
Europe, 147
and United States, 131-2,143
and Xi Jinping, 144
see also Russia
‘Ray’ (ASIO handler), 36
Reagan, Ronald, xv, 31, 50
‘evil empire’ comment, 42
‘Star Wars’ initiative, 40, 42-3
Reagan administration, 20, 97, 123
Richards, Ron, 2-3, 25, 34, 38
Richelson, Jeffrey, 53-4, 55
Rigby, Harry, 3, 12, 13, 73, 97
Rimington, Stella, 24
Rogov, Sergei, 127
Rowland, John, 73
Russia (post-Soviet)
and Asia, 138-44; Asian attitudes
to Russia, 141; and China,
139, 140, 142, (convergence),
143, 155, (as threat to Russian
interests), 140-1, (and trade),
147; historical constraints, 140;
and Japan, 142-3; Moscow
Eurasia view, 141-2, 155;
outlook, 139-40, 141; North
Korea, 143, (and nuclear missile
program), 143-4; and Russian
Far East, 139,140,141, 142;
territorial/sovereignty disputes,
142
attitudes, 38; hostility, antipathy
to West, xvii, 38, 126-7, 128-9,
154
collapse of system into late 1990s,
105, 152; sharp GDP decline,
125, 128
and culture, history, 152-4;
communism as experiment,
153-4
economy: excesses of capitalism
in, 128,154; impact of
sanctions, 144-5; weakness of,
144, 145, 154
foreign policy: and geography,
140, 146, 149; and sphere of
influence ( near abroad’), 129,
130, 130, 131, 135, 137, 147;
and West, Western countries,
129-30,131, 133, 140,146
geographic area of, 154
and international order, 144,
146-7
lack of focus by West after Soviet
collapse, xvii, 125-6, 132; and
Russian military ambitions, 134
as major power, 128, 129, 132;
assertion as, 131, 145; and
resurgence of ambitions,
xii, 105, 130, 131, 133, 144,
(obstacles), 144
military, 128, 129, 130;
disintegration, 132; east of
Urals and Pacific Fleet, 140;
inclusions, occupation in
Georgia, Crimea, Ukraine, 129,
130, 133, 134, 138, 144, 147, 149;
intensity, gravity of incidents,
132; military doctrine,
strategy, 133-4,147,148; and
nuclear weapons/warfare,
130, 132, 133-4,149, (and
non-proliferation policies),
143-4, 147, (possible scenario),
133; poor performance, 132-3;
reforms, development, 131,
133, 134, 135, 140; as threat to
Europe, 135
as prisoner to its history,
geography, culture, xii, 128, 156
regime, leadership: authoritarian,
xvii, 128, 129, 137; belligerence,
130, 147; dependence of state
on oil, gas revenues, 154; and
nationalism, 145; propaganda,
130; and prospects for reform,
155,156; and Russia’s borders,
137, 146; view of EU, 144
relations with Europe, West,
139,143, 144; differences in
understanding, 137-8, (and
Index 169
Cold War rules), 145; NATO,
128, 137, 138, 145, 149; NATO
neighbours, 129; outlook, 137,
144, (confrontation), 147-8;
pro-Western tilt in 1990s, 139;
Russian cyberattacks and
election interference, 136-7;
and sanctions over Crimea,
Ukraine, 144; and sphere of
influence, 129, 130, 131, 135,
137; strategy, 144
rural areas, 154
society: alcoholism in, 154; appeals
to sense of nationalism, 131;
contracting population, 144,
154; divisions, 155; impact of
Soviet collapse, 128, 152, (and
nostalgia), 152; resilience, 145;
strain of anti-Americanism, 127
and Syria: military intervention in,
132, 147
tensions with US, 40, 51;
antipathy, 127, 139, 143,
144, 155; with elements of
cooperation, 136; interference
in US elections of 2016, 135-6,
(and fake news), 136; military,
146, 147, (risk of confrontation),
141; US viewed as threat, 131-2
Russian Revolution, 153^1
Sadleir, David, 73
Saprykin, Igor, 5, 8, 11-15, 26-7
Scholes, Gordon, 100
Schultz, George, 43, 44
Sednaoui, Anne, 29
SecLnaoui, Michael, 29
Service, Robert, 156
Shackley, Ted, 25-6
Shoigu, Sergei, 140
Skripov, Ivan, 56
Solzhenitsyn, Alexander, 129
Soudarikov, Dr, 19
Soviet Embassy in Australia, 1
activities of, 11, 14-16, 19, 56, 68;
cultivation, 30
capabilities of staff, 14, 15, 16, 27,
36-7
changes in staff, 5, 14
KGB residents, 5, 15-16, 18-19, 22,
26, 30, 37—8
and US-Australia
communications bases, 56, 61
Soviet security agencies
GRU, 46
KGB, 46
Soviet Union (USSR)
American spies working for, 29,
54, 61, 68, 70, 71
and Asia-Pacific, 138; India, 138;
South Pacific, 102; Soviet Pacific
Fleet, 138-9; and Vietnam, 98,
99, 102, 138
Australian Embassy in, 8, 10
challenges of assessing, xi, xii,
107-8, 109, 112-13, 122; seen
as lacking influence, in need of
reform, 31
China: concerns about, 6, 12,
16-17; conflict of interest,
antagonism, 79, 102, 116, 138;
containment policy, 78
Civil Defence Organisation
booklet, 73
collapse of, xiv, 93, 121, 124, 125,
152; and causes, 97-8, 103, 104;
and the elite, 105
communism, 152, 153^1; failure of
ideology, xvi, 93, 97,103-4
domestic situation, 13, 89;
tensions, 115
and Eastern Europe, 115; invasion
of Czechoslovakia, 3, 4
economy of, 82; challenges, 95;
comparative decline in early
1980s, 41; economic crisis, 43
and ‘evil empire’ comment, 42
as global power, 80, 82; interests
in Indian Ocean, 80, 82, 83^1,
88
as ‘incomplete superpower’, 107,
111-20, 121
170 Index
intelligence collection program
against West: preparations for
nuclear attack, 46-7
intervention in Angola, 86-7
invasion of Afghanistan, 17,
74, 95, 132; crisis in East-
West relations, 92, 122;
disaster, humiliation of, 93-4;
withdrawal, 93
naval facilities in Indian Ocean, 8,
9-10, 101
as nuclear power, xiii; arms race,
41, 43; capabilities, 41, 43,45, 52,
68-9, 89, 93-4, 99, 100, 117, 121,
(in 1990-91), 104, 121; military
development, 85-6, 100, 114;
war-fighting doctrine, 64
political aims, 86, 116
political system, xv; leadership:
(cautious), 82, 86, 89, (restraint
of), 103, (challenges), 111, 113,
115; challenges, 95; paranoia,
43, 44, 46, 47, 48, 50; and
reform, 93, 104; rigidities of, 113
security challenges, international,
95,115-16; see also China
Siberia and development, 3
Stalinist period, 13
see also Cold War; Russia
Stapran, Natalia, 127
Stepanenko (Soviet diplomat), 15
Stewart, Cameron, 36, 37
Sukarno, 76
Sumsky, Victor, 127
Sussex, Matthew, 139-40
Tange, Sir Arthur, 5, 8, 24, 25, 26,
31,61
and Dibb, 8, 24, 92-3
and Soviet threat, 80
Thatcher, Margaret, 123
Thawley, Michael, 19
Trenin, Dimitri, 129-30
Trubnikov, Vyacheslav, 126-7
Trump, Donald (as president)
onANZUS, 148
and Asia, 147
National Security Strategy, 136
and Putin’s Russia, 135,136, 141,
148
Tuckwell, Air Cmdre., 32
Turnbull, Malcolm, 148
Ulam, Adam, 111
United Kingdom
intelligence bases: as US facilities,
58-9
joining European Economic
Community, 1; leaving EU, 137
security agencies: Cabinet
Assessment Staff, 96, 108; Joint
Intelligence Committee, 49;
MI5, 24; Secret Intelligence
Service, 108
submarine services in Cold War,
xiii
United States
and China, 148, 149
and commitment to Asia: tested,
146-7
National Defense Strategy
(Pentagon, 2018), 148, 149; and
China, 148, 149; and Russia,
148-9
National Security Archives: book
on 1983 nuclear crisis, 49
and North Korea, 40, 148
nuclear capabilities, 41, 42, 43, 57,
100; and deterrence, 57; seeking
superiority, 73; and Strategic
Defence Initiative, 40, 42-3; and
US-Australia joint facilities, 64
and relations with Russia, 129,
135-6; antipathy, 139, 143,
144; elements of cooperation,
136; military, 146, (risk of
confrontation), 141; Russia
as threat, 148; Russian
interference in US elections of
2016, 135-6, (and fake news),
136; tensions, 40, 51; US viewed
as threat to Russia, 131-2, 148
Soviet experts, academics, 97, 109,
111, 120-1
Index 171
see also Cold War
US-Australia joint intelligence and
communications facilities (Pine
Gap, Nurrungar, North West
Cape), xi-xii, xiii, xvi, 10, 20, 21,
26, 39, 50, 52-3, 91
Australian involvement, 59-60;
policy of “full knowledge and
concurrence”, 58, 69
North West Cape, 57
Nurrungar, 57, 60, 71, 97, 151
Pine Gap: after collapse of Soviet
Union, 55; ground station,
53, 54, estimated capability,
role of, 53-6, 60-1, 70, 71, 151;
and satellite photography, 55;
satellites and communications
capture, 26, 52, 53-4, 97
and post-Soviet Russia, 127
restrictions on discussion of
operations, 53; sensitivity of,
60
role of, 52, 60, 69-70,101; some
details released, 56-8, 59;
supporting offensive strategy,
68
and Soviet interest in, 98;
intelligence on, 29, 50, 54, 59,
60-1, 70, 71; views, 60, 98
Soviet Union as intelligence
target, xi, 20, 55
as Soviet nuclear targets, 39, 50,
58, 61, 64-5, 68, 69, 71, 77, 151;
analysis of risks, 61-2, 101
and US Program B , xiii
and Whitlam government, 26
US security agencies and Soviet
Union
Bureau of Intelligence and
Research, 109
CIA, xiii, 24, 25-6, 44, 45, 47, 59,
61, 71, 73, 96, 97, 109; Centre
for the Study of Intelligence,
44; contractor TRW and spies,
29, 54; counter-intelligence, 23;
station in Canberra, 25, 26-8,
29, 39, 71
Defence Intelligence Agency
(DIA), xiii, 44, 59, 96
estimates of Soviet nuclear
capabilities, 41-2, 109; group-
think/conventional wisdom,
72-3, 97
intelligence collection:
advanced, 71; shortcomings of
methods, 50-1, 97; on Soviet
leadership, 48, 50; on Soviets in
Afghanistan, 94
intelligence failure about nuclear
threat in 1983, xvi, 39^0, 42-8;
implications 50-1
misreading of Soviet capacity, 96;
belated recognition of crisis,
125; failure to see signs of
collapse, 97
National Reconnaissance Office
(NRO), xiii
National Security Agency (NSA),
xiii, 59, 96
President s Foreign Intelligence
Advisory Board (PFIAB): and
Soviet nuclear strength, 47-8,
49, 73
Valenta, Jiri, 111
Vietnam, 98
and Soviet Union, 99; Soviet base
in, 98, 102, 138
Vietnam War, 79, 81; Australia in
combat, 78; US involvement, 77
Vorontsov, Professor, 21
Walker, John, 25
Ward, R.G., 19
West, the, 135
challenges of assessing Soviet
Union, xi, xii, 107-8, 109-10,
113, 120, 122
and dealing with Russia: military
ambitions, 133, 134
failure of intelligence community
to predict Soviet collapse, 96,
97, 102-3, 104, 105; reasons,
105-6
172 Index
inability to understand Soviet
Union, 40, 50, 106
invasions of Afghanistan, Iraq, 134
objective to deepen, extend
contacts with Soviet Union, 90
and sensitivity of Ukraine for
Russia, 155
Wheeldon, John, 99
White, Hugh, 121-3
Whitlam government
and operations at Pine Gap, 26
and threat assessment, 80, 84
WikiLeaks, 136
wilderness of mirrors, the, xvi, 30,
40, 156
air of suspicion, paranoia, xii, 22,
23, 34-5, 60, 108, 122-3
hostility towards, criticism of
Dibb, 24, 25, 26, 32-4, 35, 36,
37, 38; view on state of Soviet
Union, 31, 73, 98-9, 120,155
and studying the Soviet Union, 24
Wilson, Ian, 16, 17
Wonus, Corley, 26-8, 29
Woodard, Gary, 24
Woomera weapon site, 56
Wright, Peter, 24
Wrigley, Alan, 32, 33
Xi Jinping, 144
Yanukovych, Victor, 132
Yeend, Geoffrey, 61
Bayerische
Staatsbibliothek
München
Index 173
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Dibb, Paul 1939- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)141669659 |
| author_facet | Dibb, Paul 1939- |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Dibb, Paul 1939- |
| author_variant | p d pd |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV045189018 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1061550918 (DE-599)BVBBV045189018 |
| era | Geschichte 1945- gnd |
| era_facet | Geschichte 1945- |
| format | Book |
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Only the most senior intelligence officers in both the US and Australia held this clearance - and even then on a strict 'need to know' basis. Inside the Wilderness of Mirrors is Paul's unique insight into how Australia saw the threat from the Soviet Union during the Cold War era and beyond. This insider's account of Australian defence strategy reveals the crucial importance of the US-Australian base at Pine Gap and why Moscow targeted it for nuclear attack, and how it felt to be an expert on the Soviet Union at a time when those who dared to study the Soviet Union were necessarily subject to suspicion from their Australian colleagues. 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| geographic | Australien (DE-588)4003900-6 gnd Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 gnd |
| geographic_facet | Australien Russland |
| id | DE-604.BV045189018 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-12-20T18:20:16Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780522873962 0522873960 9780522874150 0522874150 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-030578186 |
| oclc_num | 1061550918 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-12 |
| owner_facet | DE-12 |
| physical | xvii, 173 Seiten |
| publishDate | 2018 |
| publishDateSearch | 2018 |
| publishDateSort | 2018 |
| publisher | Melbourne University Press |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | Defence studies |
| spellingShingle | Dibb, Paul 1939- Inside the wilderness of mirrors Australia and the threat from the Soviet Union in the Cold War and Russia today Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd Ost-West-Konflikt (DE-588)4075770-5 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4072885-7 (DE-588)4075770-5 (DE-588)4003900-6 (DE-588)4076899-5 |
| title | Inside the wilderness of mirrors Australia and the threat from the Soviet Union in the Cold War and Russia today |
| title_auth | Inside the wilderness of mirrors Australia and the threat from the Soviet Union in the Cold War and Russia today |
| title_exact_search | Inside the wilderness of mirrors Australia and the threat from the Soviet Union in the Cold War and Russia today |
| title_full | Inside the wilderness of mirrors Australia and the threat from the Soviet Union in the Cold War and Russia today Paul Dibb |
| title_fullStr | Inside the wilderness of mirrors Australia and the threat from the Soviet Union in the Cold War and Russia today Paul Dibb |
| title_full_unstemmed | Inside the wilderness of mirrors Australia and the threat from the Soviet Union in the Cold War and Russia today Paul Dibb |
| title_short | Inside the wilderness of mirrors |
| title_sort | inside the wilderness of mirrors australia and the threat from the soviet union in the cold war and russia today |
| title_sub | Australia and the threat from the Soviet Union in the Cold War and Russia today |
| topic | Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd Ost-West-Konflikt (DE-588)4075770-5 gnd |
| topic_facet | Internationale Politik Ost-West-Konflikt Australien Russland |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=030578186&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=030578186&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT dibbpaul insidethewildernessofmirrorsaustraliaandthethreatfromthesovietunioninthecoldwarandrussiatoday |