Fighting for credibility: US reputation and international politics
Gespeichert in:
| Beteiligte Personen: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Toronto ; Buffalo ; London
University of Toronto Press
[2016]
|
| Schlagwörter: | |
| Links: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029421737&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| Abstract: | "When Bashar al-Assad used chemical weapons against his own people in Syria, he clearly crossed President Barack Obama's "red line." At the time, many argued that the president had to bomb in order to protect America's reputation for toughness, and therefore its credibility, abroad; others countered that concerns regarding reputation were overblown, and that reputations are irrelevant for coercive diplomacy. Whether international reputations matter is the question at the heart of Fighting for Credibility. For skeptics, past actions and reputations have no bearing on an adversary's assessment of credibility; power and interests alone determine whether a threat is believed. Using a nuanced and sophisticated theory of rational deterrence, Frank P. Harvey and John Mitton argue the opposite: ignoring reputations sidesteps important factors about how adversaries perceive threats. Focusing on cases of asymmetric US encounters with smaller powers since the end of the Cold War including Bosnia, Kosovo, Iraq, and Syria, Harvey and Mitton reveal that reputations matter for credibility in international politics. This dynamic and deeply documented study successfully brings reputation back to the table of foreign diplomacy."-- |
| Umfang: | vii, 300 Seiten |
| ISBN: | 9781487500757 9781487520540 |
Internformat
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| 520 | 3 | |a "When Bashar al-Assad used chemical weapons against his own people in Syria, he clearly crossed President Barack Obama's "red line." At the time, many argued that the president had to bomb in order to protect America's reputation for toughness, and therefore its credibility, abroad; others countered that concerns regarding reputation were overblown, and that reputations are irrelevant for coercive diplomacy. Whether international reputations matter is the question at the heart of Fighting for Credibility. For skeptics, past actions and reputations have no bearing on an adversary's assessment of credibility; power and interests alone determine whether a threat is believed. Using a nuanced and sophisticated theory of rational deterrence, Frank P. Harvey and John Mitton argue the opposite: ignoring reputations sidesteps important factors about how adversaries perceive threats. Focusing on cases of asymmetric US encounters with smaller powers since the end of the Cold War including Bosnia, Kosovo, Iraq, and Syria, Harvey and Mitton reveal that reputations matter for credibility in international politics. This dynamic and deeply documented study successfully brings reputation back to the table of foreign diplomacy."-- | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
A cknou dedgmen ts ix
Introduction 3
Chemical Weapons in Syria, 2012-13 5
Credibility and International Politics: The Case for
Reputations 5
Credibility and International Politics: The Case against
Reputations 14
Coercive Outcome in Syria 21
Syria as a Deterrence/Compellence Success ? 23
Postscript 25
Outline and Objectives 28
1 Reputations Research and Premature Closure of Inquiry 30
The Press-Mercer-Hopf Consensus 31
1.1 Hopf (1994) Peripheral Visions 38
1.2 Press (2005) Calculating Credibility 41
1.3 Mercer (1996) Reputation and International Politics 46
Premature Closure of Inquiry: An Illustration 50
1.4 Application of P-M-H Consensus Excludes Important
Research on International Reputations 54
The Missing Scholarship 55
Conclusion 69
2 Reputations Matter; Rational Deterrence Theory and Credibility
Reconsidered 71
2.1 Four Core Prerequisites of Credible Coercive Threats 72
RDT and Necessity and Sufficiency 76
Reassessing Fearon 79
vi Contents
2.2 Reputations and Imperfect Information 82
2.3 Similarity and Transferability of Reputations and
Credibility 88
2.4 Reputations and Miscalculations 93
2.5 General versus Specific Reputations 96
2.6 Reputations, Credibility, and Transferability Are in the Eyes
of the Beholder 99
Conclusion 104
3 US Reputation Building in Deterrence Encounters, 1991-2(X)3 105
Case 1 - Bosnia-Herzegovina (1992-5) 108
Case 2 - Kosovo (1998-9) 120
Case 3 - Iraq (1991-2003) 135
Conclusion 148
4 The Strategic Logic of US Coercion: Explaining Deterrence Failures
and Successes in Syria, 2011-13 149
4.1 Defining Success in Syria 150
4.2 Syria: RDT versus P-M-H 157
US Reputations and Past Actions 162
Escalation and Mission Creep 164
4.3 Protracted Crises, Probes, and Tipping Points 168
Assad s Miscalculations 171
4.4 Credibility Paradox - Punishments and Promises 175
4.5 Summary and Conclusions 177
Extremes Are Wrong 177
Relevant Reputations (and Credibility) Are in the Eyes of the
Beholder 178
5
6
Similarities, Differences, and Relevant Cases 179
RDT, Domestic Politics, and Audience Costs 181
5.1 Domestic Politics, US Credibility, and the Eves of th,.
Beholder 185 y 4
Domestic Politics, Past Actions, and Reputations 187
Reputations, Credibility, and Transferability: Reconside
Relevance to Iran, North Korea, and Beyond 191
6.1 Why Transferability Matters 197
6.2 Complex Credibility and Transferability 202
Complex Credibility in Syria 202
6.3 Iran, Transferability, and the Credibility Par^
Revisited 210 y aclox
ring Syria s
Contents vii
7 Responding to Critics: Alternative Explanations and Competing
Policy Recommendations 212
7.1 Alternative Explanations for the Syria Disarmament
Deal 212
7.2 The Real Costs of Bluffing in Syria 216
P-M-H Consensus: Reputations Are Irrelevant, so Bluffing
Is Costless 217
7.3 Bluffing and Bad Poker Analogies: What the Critics
Miss 221
Why Bluffing Matters 221
When Bluffing Matters 224
Why Bluffing in International Politics Is Not Like Poker 225
Unintended Consequences of Congressionally Endorsed
Bluffing 229
8 Expanding Theory-Policy Gaps in International Relations 232
8.1 Theory-Policy Gap(s) and Confirmation Bias(es) 233
8.2 Theory-Policy Gaps and Confirmation Bias: The Case of
Post-Iraq Intelligence Reform 237
8.3 Theory-Policy Gaps and Confirmation Bias: The Case of
Coercive Diplomacy in Syria, 2013 240
Richard Price on Syria 241
Jonathan Mercer on Syria 244
Stephen Walt on Syria 246
Establishing Continuity in US Foreign Policy 251
8.4 From Policy to Theory: The MIT School and Syria 255
References 265
index 293
Contents vii
Ki- .fHmding to Critics: Alternative Explanations and Competing
l’ luv Recommendations 212
7 1 Alternative Explanations for the Syria Disarmament
Deal 212
’ 2 The Real Costs of Bluffing in Syria 216
I’-M-H Consensus: Reputations Are Irrelevant, so Bluffing
Is Costless 217
7 1 Bluffing and Bad Poker Analogies: What the Critics
Miss 221
Why Bluffing Matters 221
When Bluffing Matters 224
Why Bluffing in International Politics Is Not Like Poker 225
Unintended Consequences of Congressionally Endorsed
Bluffing 229
■ I panding Theory-Policy Gaps in International Relations 232
h 1 Theory-Policy Gap(s) and Confirmation Bias(es) 233
s 2 Theory-Policy Gaps and Confirmation Bias: The Case of
Post-Iraq Intelligence Reform 237
s 3 Theory-Policy Gaps and Confirmation Bias: The Case of
Coercive Diplomacy in Syria, 2013 240
Richard Price on Syria 241
lonathan Mercer on Syria 244
Stephen Walt on Syria 246
establishing Continuity in US Foreign Policy 251
M I rom Policy to Theory: The “MIT School and Syria 255
■ ■ 265
■m 2^3
|
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| author | Harvey, Frank P. 1962- Mitton, John |
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| discipline | Politologie |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV044014100 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-12-20T17:51:19Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781487500757 9781487520540 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-029421737 |
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| physical | vii, 300 Seiten |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| publishDateSearch | 2016 |
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| publisher | University of Toronto Press |
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| spellingShingle | Harvey, Frank P. 1962- Mitton, John Fighting for credibility US reputation and international politics Außenpolitik Diplomatische Beziehungen Außenpolitik (DE-588)4003846-4 gnd Glaubwürdigkeit (DE-588)4157500-3 gnd Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4003846-4 (DE-588)4157500-3 (DE-588)4072885-7 (DE-588)4078704-7 |
| title | Fighting for credibility US reputation and international politics |
| title_auth | Fighting for credibility US reputation and international politics |
| title_exact_search | Fighting for credibility US reputation and international politics |
| title_full | Fighting for credibility US reputation and international politics Frank P. Harvey and John Mitton |
| title_fullStr | Fighting for credibility US reputation and international politics Frank P. Harvey and John Mitton |
| title_full_unstemmed | Fighting for credibility US reputation and international politics Frank P. Harvey and John Mitton |
| title_short | Fighting for credibility |
| title_sort | fighting for credibility us reputation and international politics |
| title_sub | US reputation and international politics |
| topic | Außenpolitik Diplomatische Beziehungen Außenpolitik (DE-588)4003846-4 gnd Glaubwürdigkeit (DE-588)4157500-3 gnd Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd |
| topic_facet | Außenpolitik Diplomatische Beziehungen Glaubwürdigkeit Internationale Politik USA |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029421737&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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