Gespeichert in:
| Beteiligte Personen: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Santa Monica
Rand Corporation
2014
|
| Schlagwörter: | |
| Links: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027303727&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| Zusammenfassung: | In June 2013, the Afghan Taliban opened a political office in Qatar to facilitate peace talks with the U.S. and Afghan governments. Negotiations between the United States and the group that sheltered al-Qaeda would have been unthinkable 12 years ago, but the reality is that a negotiated settlement in Afghanistan is one of several possible end games under the current U.S. withdrawal plan. Negotiating an end to an insurgency can be a long and arduous process beset by false starts and continued violence, but a comprehensive review of historical cases that ended in settlement shows that these negotiations followed a similar path that can be generalized into a "master narrative." This research examines 13 historical cases of insurgencies that were resolved through negotiated settlement in which neither side (insurgents or counterinsurgents) unambiguously prevailed. Taken together, these cases reveal that the path to negotiated settlement generally proceeds in seven steps in a common sequence. Although this resulting master narrative does not necessarily conform precisely to every conflict brought to resolution through negotiation, it can serve as an important tool to guide the progress of a similar approach to resolving the conflict in Afghanistan as U.S. forces prepare to withdraw |
| Beschreibung: | "National Defense Research Institute.". - "Approved for public release; distribution unlimited"--Title page. - "RR-469-OSD"--cover Includes bibliographical references (pages 65-73) Preface -- Introduction -- How to reach a negotiated settlement in counterinsurgency warfare -- Methods: getting to a master narrative -- The master narrative -- Sequences in the individual cases -- Extended example: Northern Ireland, 1969-1999 -- Twelve additional cases of historical insurgency settled through negotiation -- Following the master narrative toward an end game in Afghanistan -- Conclusion |
| Umfang: | XVIII, 73 S. Ill. |
| ISBN: | 9780833082374 |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a From stalemate to settlement |b lessons for Afghanistan from historical insurgencies that have been resolved through negotiations |c Colin P. Clarke, Christopher Paul |
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| 500 | |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 65-73) | ||
| 500 | |a Preface -- Introduction -- How to reach a negotiated settlement in counterinsurgency warfare -- Methods: getting to a master narrative -- The master narrative -- Sequences in the individual cases -- Extended example: Northern Ireland, 1969-1999 -- Twelve additional cases of historical insurgency settled through negotiation -- Following the master narrative toward an end game in Afghanistan -- Conclusion | ||
| 520 | |a In June 2013, the Afghan Taliban opened a political office in Qatar to facilitate peace talks with the U.S. and Afghan governments. Negotiations between the United States and the group that sheltered al-Qaeda would have been unthinkable 12 years ago, but the reality is that a negotiated settlement in Afghanistan is one of several possible end games under the current U.S. withdrawal plan. Negotiating an end to an insurgency can be a long and arduous process beset by false starts and continued violence, but a comprehensive review of historical cases that ended in settlement shows that these negotiations followed a similar path that can be generalized into a "master narrative." This research examines 13 historical cases of insurgencies that were resolved through negotiated settlement in which neither side (insurgents or counterinsurgents) unambiguously prevailed. Taken together, these cases reveal that the path to negotiated settlement generally proceeds in seven steps in a common sequence. Although this resulting master narrative does not necessarily conform precisely to every conflict brought to resolution through negotiation, it can serve as an important tool to guide the progress of a similar approach to resolving the conflict in Afghanistan as U.S. forces prepare to withdraw | ||
| 648 | 7 | |a Geschichte 1960-2005 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Mediation, International | |
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| 650 | 4 | |a Insurgency / Afghanistan | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1819308325966184448 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
Preface
.............................................................................
iii
Figures
and Tables
...............................................................
vii
Summary
.......................................................................... ix
Acknowledgments
...............................................................xv
Abbreviations
...................................................................xvii
From Stalemate to Settlement: Lessons for Afghanistan from
Historical Insurgencies That Have Been Resolved Through
Negotiations
.................................................................. 1
Introduction
........................................................................ 1
How to Reach a Negotiated Settlement in Counterinsurgency Warfare
__2
The Notion of a Master Narrative
.............................................3
Methods: Getting to a Master Narrative
........................................5
Previous RAND Research: Paths to Victory
...................................5
Developing the Master Narrative
..............................................8
The Master Narrative
..............................................................8
Step
1:
Military Stalemate and War-Weariness
...............................9
Step
2:
Acceptance of Insurgents as Legitimate Negotiating
Partners or Non-Adversaries
..............................................10
Step
3:
Brokered Cease-Fires (Not Always Respected)
.....................11
Step
4:
Official Intermediate Agreements
....................................11
Step
5:
Power-Sharing Offers
..................................................12
Step
6:
Moderation of Insurgent Leadership
................................13
Step
7:
Third-Party Guarantors
...............................................13
Sequences in the Individual Cases
..............................................14
Extended Example: Northern Ireland,
1969-1999...........................16
vi
From Stalemate to Settlement
Step
1:
Military Stalemate and War-Weariness
..............................16
Step
2:
Acceptance of Insurgents as Legitimate Negotiating Partners.
... 18
Step
3:
Brokered Cease-Fires (Not Always Respected)
.................... 20
Step
4:
Official Intermediate Agreements
....................................21
Step
5 :
Power-Sharing Offers
................................................. 23
Step
6:
Moderation of Insurgent Leadership
................................25
Step
7:
Third-Party Guarantor
............................................... 26
Twelve Additional Cases of Historical Insurgency Settled Through
Negotiation
.................................................................. 28
Yemen,
1962-1970............................................................. 28
Philippines (MNLF),
1971-1996.............................................29
Lebanese Civil War,
1975-1990..............................................31
Western Sahara,
1975-1991...................................................32
Mozambique (RENAMO),
1976-1995..................................... 34
Indonesia (Aceh),
1976-2005................................................ 36
Kampuchea,
1978-1992...................................................... 38
Bosnia,
1992-1995.............................................................39
Tajikistan,
1992-1997..........................................................41
Burundi,
1993-2003.......................................................... 43
Chechnya
Ï,
1994-1996....................................................... 44
Democratic Republic of the Congo (An
ti-
Kabila),
1998-2003.......... 46
Following the Master Narrative Toward an End Game in
Afghanistan
.................................................................. 48
Step
2:
Acceptance of Insurgents as Legitimate Negotiating Partners
__49
Step
3:
Brokered Cease-Fires
..................................................51
Step
4:
Official Intermediate Agreements
....................................53
Step
5:
Power-Sharing Offers
................................................. 54
Step
6:
Moderation in Leadership
........................................... 56
Step
7:
Third-Party Guarantors
...............................................59
Conclusion
........................................................................ 60
References
.........................................................................65
|
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| era_facet | Geschichte 1960-2005 |
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| geographic | Afghanistan (DE-588)4000687-6 gnd |
| geographic_facet | Afghanistan |
| id | DE-604.BV041859455 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-12-20T16:56:40Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780833082374 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-027303727 |
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| physical | XVIII, 73 S. Ill. |
| publishDate | 2014 |
| publishDateSearch | 2014 |
| publishDateSort | 2014 |
| publisher | Rand Corporation |
| record_format | marc |
| spellingShingle | Clarke, Colin P. Paul, Christopher From stalemate to settlement lessons for Afghanistan from historical insurgencies that have been resolved through negotiations Mediation, International Peace-building Insurgency / Afghanistan Insurgency / History Geschichte Verhandlung (DE-588)4062875-9 gnd Friedensbemühung (DE-588)4155429-2 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4062875-9 (DE-588)4155429-2 (DE-588)4000687-6 |
| title | From stalemate to settlement lessons for Afghanistan from historical insurgencies that have been resolved through negotiations |
| title_auth | From stalemate to settlement lessons for Afghanistan from historical insurgencies that have been resolved through negotiations |
| title_exact_search | From stalemate to settlement lessons for Afghanistan from historical insurgencies that have been resolved through negotiations |
| title_full | From stalemate to settlement lessons for Afghanistan from historical insurgencies that have been resolved through negotiations Colin P. Clarke, Christopher Paul |
| title_fullStr | From stalemate to settlement lessons for Afghanistan from historical insurgencies that have been resolved through negotiations Colin P. Clarke, Christopher Paul |
| title_full_unstemmed | From stalemate to settlement lessons for Afghanistan from historical insurgencies that have been resolved through negotiations Colin P. Clarke, Christopher Paul |
| title_short | From stalemate to settlement |
| title_sort | from stalemate to settlement lessons for afghanistan from historical insurgencies that have been resolved through negotiations |
| title_sub | lessons for Afghanistan from historical insurgencies that have been resolved through negotiations |
| topic | Mediation, International Peace-building Insurgency / Afghanistan Insurgency / History Geschichte Verhandlung (DE-588)4062875-9 gnd Friedensbemühung (DE-588)4155429-2 gnd |
| topic_facet | Mediation, International Peace-building Insurgency / Afghanistan Insurgency / History Geschichte Verhandlung Friedensbemühung Afghanistan |
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