Durability of output and expected stock returns:
The demand for durable goods is more cyclical than that for nondurable goods and services. Consequently, the cash flow and stock returns of durable-good producers are exposed to higher systematic risk. Using the NIPA input-output tables, we construct portfolios of durable-good, nondurable-good, and...
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Main Authors: | , , |
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Format: | Book |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Cambridge, Mass.
National Bureau of Economic Research
2007
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Series: | Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research
12986 |
Links: | http://papers.nber.org/papers/w12986.pdf |
Summary: | The demand for durable goods is more cyclical than that for nondurable goods and services. Consequently, the cash flow and stock returns of durable-good producers are exposed to higher systematic risk. Using the NIPA input-output tables, we construct portfolios of durable-good, nondurable-good, and service producers. In the cross-section, a strategy that is long on durables and short on services earns a sizable risk premium. In the time series, a strategy that is long on durables and short on the market portfolio earns a countercyclical risk premium. We develop an equilibrium asset-pricing model that explains these empirical findings. |
Physical Description: | 61 S. graph. Darst. 22 cm |
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490 | 1 | |a Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research |v 12986 | |
520 | 8 | |a The demand for durable goods is more cyclical than that for nondurable goods and services. Consequently, the cash flow and stock returns of durable-good producers are exposed to higher systematic risk. Using the NIPA input-output tables, we construct portfolios of durable-good, nondurable-good, and service producers. In the cross-section, a strategy that is long on durables and short on services earns a sizable risk premium. In the time series, a strategy that is long on durables and short on the market portfolio earns a countercyclical risk premium. We develop an equilibrium asset-pricing model that explains these empirical findings. | |
700 | 1 | |a Kogan, Leonid |d 1974- |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)124834167 |4 aut | |
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776 | 0 | 8 | |i Erscheint auch als |n Online-Ausgabe |
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856 | 4 | 1 | |u http://papers.nber.org/papers/w12986.pdf |z kostenfrei |3 Volltext |
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illustrated | Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-12-20T13:23:19Z |
institution | BVB |
language | English |
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oclc_num | 255601438 |
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owner | DE-521 |
owner_facet | DE-521 |
physical | 61 S. graph. Darst. 22 cm |
publishDate | 2007 |
publishDateSearch | 2007 |
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publisher | National Bureau of Economic Research |
record_format | marc |
series2 | Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research |
spelling | Gomes, João Verfasser (DE-588)124541895 aut Durability of output and expected stock returns Joao F. Gomes ; Leonid Kogan ; Motohiro Yogo Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2007 61 S. graph. Darst. 22 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research 12986 The demand for durable goods is more cyclical than that for nondurable goods and services. Consequently, the cash flow and stock returns of durable-good producers are exposed to higher systematic risk. Using the NIPA input-output tables, we construct portfolios of durable-good, nondurable-good, and service producers. In the cross-section, a strategy that is long on durables and short on services earns a sizable risk premium. In the time series, a strategy that is long on durables and short on the market portfolio earns a countercyclical risk premium. We develop an equilibrium asset-pricing model that explains these empirical findings. Kogan, Leonid 1974- Verfasser (DE-588)124834167 aut Yogo, Motohiro Verfasser (DE-588)132879042 aut Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.> NBER working paper series 12986 (DE-604)BV002801238 12986 http://papers.nber.org/papers/w12986.pdf kostenfrei Volltext |
spellingShingle | Gomes, João Kogan, Leonid 1974- Yogo, Motohiro Durability of output and expected stock returns |
title | Durability of output and expected stock returns |
title_auth | Durability of output and expected stock returns |
title_exact_search | Durability of output and expected stock returns |
title_full | Durability of output and expected stock returns Joao F. Gomes ; Leonid Kogan ; Motohiro Yogo |
title_fullStr | Durability of output and expected stock returns Joao F. Gomes ; Leonid Kogan ; Motohiro Yogo |
title_full_unstemmed | Durability of output and expected stock returns Joao F. Gomes ; Leonid Kogan ; Motohiro Yogo |
title_short | Durability of output and expected stock returns |
title_sort | durability of output and expected stock returns |
url | http://papers.nber.org/papers/w12986.pdf |
volume_link | (DE-604)BV002801238 |
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