Nonlinear dynamics, complexity and public policy:
Gespeichert in:
| Beteiligte Personen: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Commack, NY
Nova Science Publ.
1999
|
| Schlagwörter: | |
| Links: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008855923&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| Umfang: | XII, 200 S. graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 1560727071 |
Internformat
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Nonlinear dynamics, complexity and public policy |c Euel Elliott and L. Douglas Kiel |
| 264 | 1 | |a Commack, NY |b Nova Science Publ. |c 1999 | |
| 300 | |a XII, 200 S. |b graph. Darst., Kt. | ||
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| 650 | 4 | |a Chaos | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Sciences de la politique | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Théories non linéaires | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Chaotic behavior in systems | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Nonlinear theories | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Policy sciences | |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Nichtlineare Theorie |0 (DE-588)4251279-7 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
Biographical Sketches ix
Introduction 1
Chapter One Introduction 3
L. Douglas Kiel and Evel Elliott
Nonlinear Dynamics and Complexity Defined 4
New Methods and Lenses 7
Nonlinear Dynamics, Complexity and The Disciplines
of the Policy Sciences 8
Conclusion 11
Nonlinear Dynamics, Complexity and Economics 15
Chapter Two Economic Transition Coming of Age:
Lessons Learned in Complex Contexts. 17
Marina V. Rosser
ABSTRACT 17
Introduction 17
Nonlinear Nature of Economics and Politics during
the Transformation 19
Varieties of Nonlinear Complex Dynamics in Economic Transitions 24
Policy Options in the Presence of Nonlinearity:
Geneticism and Teleology Revisited 26
Conclusions and summary 29
Chapter Three Hysteresis, Bifurcation Structure,
and the Search for the Natural Rate of Unemployment 31
Stephen J. Guastello
Abstract 31
Economic Rationale 32
Taxonomy of Possible dynamics and Their assessment 33
True hysteresis 34
Periodic attractor 34
Logistic bifurcation 34
Hopf Bifurcation 34
Chaos 35
Noise 35
Analytic Method 35
vi Euel Elliott and L. Douglas Kiel
Linear Comparisons JO
Direct Analyses 37
Data 37
Results 38
IDENTIFICATION OF NATURAL RATES 39
Search for Natural Rates 39
Response to One Time Shock 41
BLEACHED DATA 42
Analysis 42
Simulations 43
Discussion 44
Chapter Four Has the Fed Reduced Chaos? 47
Brian J.L. Berry and Heja Kim
Abstract 47
introduction 47
The Time Series of Growth and Inflation 49
Alternative Insights into System Dynamics 53
Conclusions 54
Chapter Five Fiscal Policy and Nonlinear Interest
Rate Dynamics: The Log Utility Case 57
Roland Demmel
abstract 57
Introduction 57
Basic structure of the economy 60
Production and financial market structure 60
Decision problem of the representative household 62
Fiscal policy 64
Stochastic general equilibrium 65
ANALYSIS OF THE EQUILIBRIUM INTEREST RATE DYNAMICS 68
Derivation of the dynamics and boundary analysis 68
Analysis of the transitional behavior 74
Analysis of the asymptotic behavior 74
Summary and conclusions 77
Nonlinear Dynamics, Complexity, and Implications
for Public Policy and Evaluation 79
Chapter Six Environmental Regulation vs. Ecological
Self Regulation: Implications of Complex Adaptive
Systems Theory to Regulatory Policy 81
Rhonda Pherigo, MaryE. Lee, Gerald Nehman and Raymond A. eve
abstract 81
recent change in environmental policy 81
The Need for New Approaches 82
Traditional Environmental Policy 83
Nonlinear Dynamics, Complexity and Public Policy vii
The Ends of Traditional Environmental Policy 83
The Means of Traditional Environmental Policy 84
Environmental Policy and Contemporary Theory 85
Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS) Theory 85
CAS and the Ends of Environmental Policy 87
Bottom up Regulation and Environmental Intervention 88
Environmental Partnerships: Cases of Evolving
Cooperation in the U.S. 89
Primary Environmental Care: Cases of Evolving Cooperation
in the Third World 92
Application of CAS Theory to Environmental Planning 94
Chapter Seven Scaling of Complex Social Phenomena
Such as Births to Teens: Implications for Public Policy 97
Patti Hamilton and Bruce J. West
Abstract 97
Changing Ideas about Teen pregnancy 98
Teen Pregnancies and Their Effects in the U.S. 99
History of National Policy to Influence Patterns of Reproduction 100
Welfare Reform Act of 1996 100
Nonlinear Dynamics Applied to Teen Pregnancy and Birth 101
Results of Nonlinear Dynamical Analysis of Teen Births 102
Transient Peak in Births in 1982 105
Relative Dispersion and Fractal Scaling 106
Conclusions 109
Chapter Eight The Chaos of Program Evaluation 113
Kaenan Hertz
Abstract 113
Introduction 113
Chaos Theory and Nonlinear Dynamics 115
The Application of Chaos Theory to Social Inquiry 116
Why Apply Chaos Theory Techniques To Program Evaluation? 117
A Heuristic Example 118
The Evaluation Challenge 118
The Model 119
Systemness 120
Public Support 121
Cost 122
Numerical Simulations 123
The Impact Of Funding 128
Alternative Representations 129
Stability Analysis 130
Conclusions 133
Appendix A: Parameter Estimates 134
viii Euel Elliott and L. Douglas Kiel
Appendix B: Estimation Techniques 134
Nonlinear Dynamics, Information Technology, and the
Challenge of Time 137
Chapter Nine Nonlinear Dynamics in Disaster Response:
The Northridge, California Earthquake, January 17,1994 139
Louise K. Comfort
abstract 139
Disaster Response Systems as Complex Adaptive Systems 140
Complex Adaptive Systems In Theory 141
Nonlinear Methods of Measurement 142
Complex Adaptive Systems in Practice 143
Mobilization of the Disaster Response System 144
Investment in Information Technology 145
Dynamic processes in requests for Assistance 146
Expansion of Tasks and arenas for performance
in Disaster Operations 148
Interpretation of Findings 150
Conclusions 151
Chapter Ten The Time Compacted Globe and the
High Tech Primitive At the Millennium 153
Gus Koehler
abstract 153
Time Ecology and Complexity Theory 154
realigning and confounding global timings 159
The Time Compact globe and the High tech Primitive 167
Public Policy Implications 170
References 175
Index 195
|
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| dewey-ones | 320 - Political science (Politics and government) |
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| dewey-tens | 320 - Political science (Politics and government) |
| discipline | Politologie |
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| id | DE-604.BV012996128 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-12-20T10:39:48Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 1560727071 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-008855923 |
| oclc_num | 42040926 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-12 |
| owner_facet | DE-12 |
| physical | XII, 200 S. graph. Darst., Kt. |
| publishDate | 1999 |
| publishDateSearch | 1999 |
| publishDateSort | 1999 |
| publisher | Nova Science Publ. |
| record_format | marc |
| spellingShingle | Elliott, Euel W. 1951- Kiel, L. Douglas 1956- Nonlinear dynamics, complexity and public policy Chaos Sciences de la politique Théories non linéaires Chaotic behavior in systems Nonlinear theories Policy sciences Nichtlineare Theorie (DE-588)4251279-7 gnd Chaostheorie (DE-588)4009754-7 gnd Politische Wissenschaft (DE-588)4076229-4 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4251279-7 (DE-588)4009754-7 (DE-588)4076229-4 |
| title | Nonlinear dynamics, complexity and public policy |
| title_auth | Nonlinear dynamics, complexity and public policy |
| title_exact_search | Nonlinear dynamics, complexity and public policy |
| title_full | Nonlinear dynamics, complexity and public policy Euel Elliott and L. Douglas Kiel |
| title_fullStr | Nonlinear dynamics, complexity and public policy Euel Elliott and L. Douglas Kiel |
| title_full_unstemmed | Nonlinear dynamics, complexity and public policy Euel Elliott and L. Douglas Kiel |
| title_short | Nonlinear dynamics, complexity and public policy |
| title_sort | nonlinear dynamics complexity and public policy |
| topic | Chaos Sciences de la politique Théories non linéaires Chaotic behavior in systems Nonlinear theories Policy sciences Nichtlineare Theorie (DE-588)4251279-7 gnd Chaostheorie (DE-588)4009754-7 gnd Politische Wissenschaft (DE-588)4076229-4 gnd |
| topic_facet | Chaos Sciences de la politique Théories non linéaires Chaotic behavior in systems Nonlinear theories Policy sciences Nichtlineare Theorie Chaostheorie Politische Wissenschaft |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008855923&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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