Economic growth and international trade with capital goods: theories and empirical evidence
Gespeichert in:
| Beteilige Person: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Tübingen
Mohr Siebeck
1998
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Kieler Studien
289 |
| Schlagwörter: | |
| Links: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008132500&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| Umfang: | XIII, 246 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 3161469224 |
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| 650 | 4 | |a International trade -- Econometric models | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Industrial equipment -- Econometric models | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Economic development -- Econometric models | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents
A. Overview: Economic Growth and International Trade with Capital
Goods 1
B. Economic Reasoning on Trade and Growth 4
I. The Old and the New Gains from International Trade 4
1. Historical Origins of Theories of International Trade 4
2. Basic Elements of the New and Old Theories of International
Trade 7
a. The Gains from Trade in the Old Theories of International
Trade 8
b. The Gains from Trade in the New Theories of International
Trade 9
II. International Trade in Solow Ramsey Growth Models 16
1. The One Sector Solow Ramsey Model: Intertemporal Trade .... 16
a. The Setup of the Solow Ramsey Model 16
b. The Autarky Steady State in the Solow Ramsey Model 19
c. The Free Trade Steady States in the Solow Ramsey Model 22
2. Trade Policy and the Price of Capital in the Solow Ramsey
Model 31
III. International Trade in Models of Endogenous Growth 34
1. Growth and International Integration: The Rivera Batiz Romer
Model 34
a. The Requirements for Endogenous Growth 34
b. The Analysis of the Dynamic Implications of International
Integration 38
2. Comparative Advantage for Growth? The Grossman Helpman
Analysis 48
3. Immobile Knowledge and Structural Hysteresis: The Worst
Case Scenario for Growth? On Low Tech and High Tech Traps 54
a. Structural Hysteresis in the Grossman Helpman Model 55
b. Structural Hysteresis in the Rivera Batiz Romer Model 58
VIII Contents
IV. Summary: Theoretical Interrelationships of International Trade and
Economic Growth 77
1. The Results of the Theoretical Analysis 77
2. Implications for the Empirical Analysis 80
C. Empirical Findings on Economic Growth and International Trade
with Capital Goods 81
I. The Time Series Behavior of Economic Growth 81
1. Just Good Luck or Does Policy Matter? 81
a. Low or High Persistence? The Easterly Kremer Pritchett
Summers Analysis 82
b. Testing for Unit Roots — Econometric Strategies 86
c. The Results of Unit Root Tests for Individual Countries 88
d. The Results of the Levin Lin Panel Data Unit Root Test 92
e. Do Structural Breaks Explain the Differences of Subperiod
Growth Rates? 93
f. Mean Reversion to What Mean? 95
g. Lessons from the Time Series Behavior of Economic
Growth 96
2. Do Trade Reforms Cause Structural Breaks in the Time
Series Behavior of Economic Growth? 98
a. Trade Liberalization Episodes and Growth Performance —
The Results of a World Bank Study 99
b. Time Series Tests for the Long Run and Short Run Impact
of Trade Liberalization Episodes on Economic Growth 101
c. Test for an Unknown Structural Break 105
II. The Impact of International Trade with Capital Goods on
Economic Growth 116
1. The Impact of Capital Goods Import Tariffs on Capital
Accumulation 116
a. Stylized Facts on International Trade with Capital Goods .... 116
b. A Simple Solow Swan Model with Differentiated
Capital Goods I23
c. Measures of Import Restrictions on Capital Goods 128
d. The Estimation Results 136
Contents IX
2. The Impact of International Trade with Capital Goods on Total
Factor Productivity 147
a. Theoretical Framework and Empirical Implementation 147
b. Data and Estimation Procedure 148
c. Estimation Results 150
d. The Quantitative Impact of the R D Activities of G7
Countries 155
D. Conclusions: The Role of International Trade with Capital Goods
in Economic Development 158
E. Appendices 162
Appendix 1: Determination of the Technical Elasticity of Substitution
for Differentiated Goods 162
Appendix 2: Determination of First Order and Second Order Effects
of a New Input in a General Neoclassical Function 163
Appendix 3: The Solow Ramsey Growth Model 164
Appendix 4: The Rivera Batiz Romer Model under Different
Assumptions Concerning International Patent Protection
and International Mobility of Techno logical Knowledge 172
Appendix 5: Trade Hysteresis in the Rivera Batiz Romer Model 185
Appendix 6: Results of Section C.I. 1 201
Appendix 7: How Important Are Mean Reverting Growth Rates if the
Level of Per Capita GDP Follows a Random Walk? 210
Appendix 8: Bayesian Criticism on Classical Unit Root Tests 216
Appendix 9: Results of Section C.I.2 220
Appendix 10: A Solow Swan Model with Differentiated Capital Goods 222
Appendix 11: Results of Section C.II. 1 231
References 239
Index 245
List of Tables
Table 1 — Growth and International Integration in the Rivera Batiz
Romer Model 42
Table 2 — Correlation Coefficients of Real Per Worker GDP Growth
Rates, 1960 1970/1970 1980 and 1970 1980/1980 1988 84
Table 3— Test Statistics for the Country Specific Unit Root Tests 90
Table 4 — Levin Lin Panel Data Unit Root Test for GDP Per Worker
Growth Rates, 1960 1985 93
Table 5 — Annual Real GDP Growth Rate Before and After a Trade
Liberalization Period 100
Table 6 — Tests for the Long Run Impact of Trade Liberalization
Episodes on the Time Series Behavior of Real Per Worker
GDP Growth Rates 102
Table 7— Sustainability of Liberalization Episodes 104
Table 8 — Cross Country OLS Regression of Relative Capital Goods
Price Index on Import Tariffs and Quantitative Restrictions .... 130
Table 9 — Cross Country OLS Regression of Relative Input Mix Value
on Import Tariffs and Quantitative Restrictions, 1965 1985.... 132
Table 10— Cross Country OLS Estimation Results for the Transitional
Version of a Solow Swan Model Based on the Macroversion
of f, 138
Table 11 — Cross Country OLS Estimation Results for the Transitional
Version of a Solow Swan Model Based on the Microversion
of f, 140
Table 12— Levin Lin Panel Data Unit Root Tests for all Variables 149
Table 13— Pooled Panel Cointegrating Regressions for 22 OECD
Countries 151
Table 14 — Pooled Panel Cointegrating Regressions for 16 OECD
Countries 152
Table 15 — Estimates of the Elasticities of Total Factor Productivity with
Respect to R D Capital Stocks in the G7 Countries, 1990 156
List of Tables XI
Table A.6.1 — Results of the Unit Root Tests for 120 Countries of the
Summers Heston World Table, 1950 1988 202
Table A.6.2 — Test Results for the Long Run Equilibrium Growth Rate
of 120 Countries of the Summers Heston World Table,
1950 1988 207
Table A.7.1 — Levin Lin Panel Data Unit Root Test for Per Worker GDP,
1960 1985 211
Table A.7.2 — Drift/Shock Ratios of Real Per Worker GDP, 1960 1985 .... 213
Table A.9.1 — Immediate Effects of Trade Liberalization Episodes on
Economic Growth 220
Table A. 11.1 — Estimation Results for the Steady State Version of a Solow
Swan Model Based on the Macroversion of V, 234
Table A. 11.2 — Estimation Results for the Steady State Version of a Solow
Swan Model Based on the Microversion of V, 235
Table A. 11.3 — Indicators of Import Tariffs and Quotas on Capital Goods
and Relative Capital Goods Prices and Input Ratios 236
List of Figures
Figure 1 —The Geometry of the New Gains from Trade 11
Figure 2 — The Standard Solow Ramsey Model with Exogenous
Productivity Growth 17
Figure 3 — The Autarky Steady States in Country A and B 20
Figure 4 — Free Trade Transition Path with Out of Steady State Starting
Position of Country B 24
Figure 5 — Free Trade Transition Path with Out of Steady State Starting
Position of Country A and B 26
Figure 6 — Free Trade Steady State with Out of Steady State Starting
Position of Country A 27
Figure 7 — Free Trade Steady State with Higher Rate of Time
Preference in Country A 29
Figure 8 — The Rivera Batiz Romer Model of Endogenous Growth 39
Figure 9 — The Grossman Helpman Model of Dynamic Comparative
Advantage 49
Figure 10 — The Grossman Helpman Model of Structural Hysteresis 56
Figure 11 — A Rivera Batiz Romer Type Model of Hysteresis 59
Figure 12 — Steady State (1): North and South Perform Manufacturing and
R D 62
Figure 13 — Steady State (2): The North Performs Manufacturing and
R D, the South Is Specialized in Manufacturing 66
Figure 14 — Steady State (3): The North Is Specialized in R D, the South
Is Specialized in Manufacturing 68
Figure 15 — Steady State (4): The North Is Specialized in R D, the South
Performs Manufacturing and R D 69
Figure 16 — Steady State (2): Ratio of Per Capita GDP North versus South
Depending on Labor Force Size 74
Figure 17 — Steady State (3): Ratio of Per Capita GDP North versus South
in Dependence of the Labor Force of the South 75
Figure 18 — Growth Rates of Per Worker GDP, 1960 1973 versus
1974 1988 84
Figure 19 — Paradigmatic Types of Time Series Behavior of Economic
Growth, 1951 1985 90
Figure 20 — Mean Deviaton and Posterior Probability of Structural Breaks
in Per Worker GDP Growth in Trade Reform Countries,
1950 1985 107
List of Figures XIII
Figure 21 — Structure of World Trade with Capital Goods, 1970 1990 117
Figure 22 — Structure of World Production of Capital Goods, 1970 1990... 119
Figure 23 — Shares of World R D Expenditures, 1980, 1985, and 1990 120
Figure 24 — Average Shares of Capital Goods Net Imports in Domestic
Capital Goods Absorption, 1970 1990 121
Figure 25 — Intraindustry Trade with Capital Goods, 1965 1990 122
Figure 26 — Import Tariffs on Capital Goods and Relative Capital Goods
Prices, 1985 134
Figure 27 — Import Tariffs on Capital Goods and Relative Input Mix
Values, 1985 135
Figure 28 — Estimates of the 1985 GDP Components Based on the Average
Actual Capital Goods Import Tariff 143
Figure 29 — Estimates of 1985 GDP Components Based on a Hypothetical
100 Percent Capital Goods Import Tariff 144
Figure 30 — Industry Shares in Total R D Expenditures of the Eight
Largest OECD Countries, 1980 1990 Averages 154
Figure 31 — National Shares in Total OECD R D Expenditures,
1980 1990 Averages 155
Figure A.6.1 — Growth Rates of Per Capita GDP, 1960 1973 versus
1974 1988 201
Figure A.8.1 — Probability Density Functions for p under p = 0.9 and
p = 1 and Posterior Probability Density for p under
p = 0.95 217
Figure A.8.2 — Probability Density Functions for p under p = 0.9 and
Posterior Probability Density for p under p=0.95 219
Figure A. 11.1 — Import Tariffs on Capital Goods and Relative Input Mix
Values, 1980 231
Figure A. 11.2 — Import Tariffs on Capital Goods and Relative Input Mix
Values, 1975 231
Figure A. 11.3 — Import Tariffs on Capital Goods and Relative Input Mix
Values, 1970 232
Figure A. 11.4 — Import Tariffs on Capital Goods and Relative Input Mix
Values, 1965 232
Figure A.I 1.5 — Import Tariffs on Capital Goods and Relative Capital
Goods Prices, 1980 233
|
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| id | DE-604.BV012015687 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-12-20T10:22:51Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 3161469224 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-008132500 |
| oclc_num | 231728615 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-739 DE-12 DE-M158 DE-N2 DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-703 DE-384 DE-20 DE-706 DE-521 DE-83 DE-188 |
| owner_facet | DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-739 DE-12 DE-M158 DE-N2 DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-703 DE-384 DE-20 DE-706 DE-521 DE-83 DE-188 |
| physical | XIII, 246 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 1998 |
| publishDateSearch | 1998 |
| publishDateSort | 1998 |
| publisher | Mohr Siebeck |
| record_format | marc |
| series | Kieler Studien |
| series2 | Kieler Studien |
| spellingShingle | Maurer, Rainer Economic growth and international trade with capital goods theories and empirical evidence Kieler Studien Développement économique - Modèles économétriques ram Economische groei gtt Equipement industriel - Industrie et commerce - Modèles économétriques ram Groeimodellen gtt Internationale handel gtt Kapitaalgoederen gtt Welthandel Wirtschaftsentwicklung Ökonometrisches Modell International trade -- Econometric models Industrial equipment -- Econometric models Economic development -- Econometric models Außenhandel (DE-588)4003832-4 gnd Wirtschaftswachstum (DE-588)4066527-6 gnd Investitionsgüterimport (DE-588)4246784-6 gnd Welthandel (DE-588)4065365-1 gnd Investitionsgut (DE-588)4027566-8 gnd Handel (DE-588)4023222-0 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4003832-4 (DE-588)4066527-6 (DE-588)4246784-6 (DE-588)4065365-1 (DE-588)4027566-8 (DE-588)4023222-0 |
| title | Economic growth and international trade with capital goods theories and empirical evidence |
| title_auth | Economic growth and international trade with capital goods theories and empirical evidence |
| title_exact_search | Economic growth and international trade with capital goods theories and empirical evidence |
| title_full | Economic growth and international trade with capital goods theories and empirical evidence Rainer Maurer |
| title_fullStr | Economic growth and international trade with capital goods theories and empirical evidence Rainer Maurer |
| title_full_unstemmed | Economic growth and international trade with capital goods theories and empirical evidence Rainer Maurer |
| title_short | Economic growth and international trade with capital goods |
| title_sort | economic growth and international trade with capital goods theories and empirical evidence |
| title_sub | theories and empirical evidence |
| topic | Développement économique - Modèles économétriques ram Economische groei gtt Equipement industriel - Industrie et commerce - Modèles économétriques ram Groeimodellen gtt Internationale handel gtt Kapitaalgoederen gtt Welthandel Wirtschaftsentwicklung Ökonometrisches Modell International trade -- Econometric models Industrial equipment -- Econometric models Economic development -- Econometric models Außenhandel (DE-588)4003832-4 gnd Wirtschaftswachstum (DE-588)4066527-6 gnd Investitionsgüterimport (DE-588)4246784-6 gnd Welthandel (DE-588)4065365-1 gnd Investitionsgut (DE-588)4027566-8 gnd Handel (DE-588)4023222-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Développement économique - Modèles économétriques Economische groei Equipement industriel - Industrie et commerce - Modèles économétriques Groeimodellen Internationale handel Kapitaalgoederen Welthandel Wirtschaftsentwicklung Ökonometrisches Modell International trade -- Econometric models Industrial equipment -- Econometric models Economic development -- Econometric models Außenhandel Wirtschaftswachstum Investitionsgüterimport Investitionsgut Handel |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008132500&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV000001650 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT maurerrainer economicgrowthandinternationaltradewithcapitalgoodstheoriesandempiricalevidence |