Inflation and recession in the US economy in the 1970s: price, profit and business cycles in theory and practice
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | Hungarian English |
| Published: |
Budapest
Akad. Kiadó
1990
|
| Subjects: | |
| Links: | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=002700594&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| Item Description: | Aus d. Ungar. übers. |
| Physical Description: | 296 S. |
| ISBN: | 9630547805 |
Staff View
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | CONTENTS
Preface 11
PART ONE
PROLEGOMENA CONCERNING HIGH LEVEL U. S. ECONOMIC
POLICY AND ITS INSTRUMENTS
Chapter One: Was the economic policy of the United States Keynesian? 15
1.1 Some distinguishing features of Keynes conceptual system 15
1.2 On the prehistory of Keynes and the Keynesians theory 18
1.3 Fiscal and monetary policy 19
1.4 The relationship between economic policy and economic theory 20
Chapter Two: Monetary policy as one of the instruments of high level economic policy 22
2.1 Instruments of monetary policy 22
2.2 The first instrument: the system of bank reserves 22
2.3 A brief theoretical digression on the rate of interest of securities (For those to whom this is
new) 23
2.4 Continuation of the theoretical digression: supply of and demand for securities 25
2.5 Another instrument of monetary policy: open market policy, presented through its
development 26
2.6 Monetary policy in practice 28
Chapter Three: Fiscal policy: another instrument of high level economic policy 32
3.1 The beginning of the fiscal revolution: Roosevelt and his relationship to Keynesianism . 32
3.2 Roosevelt s turn in 1938. The Second World War: the Employment Act 34
3.3 The Keynesian categories of the Kennedy economists 36
3.4 Difficulties of the active— discretionary —fiscal policy 39
Chapter Four: Bourgeois critiques of the effectiveness of fiscal policy 43
4.1 Arthur M. Okun on the difficulties of economic policy, nearing full employment 43
4.2 R. A. Gordon on the problematic nature of discretionary fiscal policy and monetary policy
and on the necessity of employing non traditional instruments 44
4.3 Epilogue 46
5
PART TWO
ANALYSIS OF THE INTERRELATIONS BETWEEN THE PRICE LEVEL
AND THE EFFECTIVE CONSUMER AND GOVERNMENT DEMAND
Chapter Five: On the interpretation of the pc formula and its variants as well as the conclusions they
lead to 51
5.1 The original form of the pc formula and the one used in the present work 51
5.2 The form of the pc formula used in this book 53
5.3 The Apc formula and the Apc diagram 54
5.4 Prices under perfect and oligopolistic competition 56
5.5 The Janus faced nature of the Apc diagrams 57
5.6 On the mutual adjustment of the price level and the volume of commodities sold 59
5.7 Interrelation between the volume of consumer goods sold and the profit margin 60
5.8 Paradoxical relationship between the price trend of consumer goods and the volume of
profit that can be earned from their sale 62
5.9 The Apc diagram which also takes into account government purchases 64
5.10 The profit margin in the United States in the years under examination 67
Chapter Six: Some characteristics of price movements in the United Sates in the 1969 1978 period 70
6.1 Qualitative characterization of the price level modifying effect of the factors in the Apc
and Ap* formulae 70
6.2 Analysis of the price changes between the two end points of the 1968 1978 period .... 72
6.3 Comparison of price changes in boom and in bust periods 78
6.4 Oligopoly, price trends, accelerating inflation 82
PART THREE
ON PROFIT
Chapter Seven: Profit and paper profit 95
7.1 The components of profit 95
7.2 Material and paper profit 96
7.3 A more precise explanation of the origin of paper profit 99
7.4 Profit taxes, deficit financing and idle capital 102
7.5 The share of profit and its components in GNP 104
7.6 Factors influencing the components of paper profit 107
7.7 The components of profit are not independent of each other 108
7.8 The special role played by the savings of wage earners 118
7.9 Trendlike, cyclical and anti cyclical components of profits 120
7.10 A few concluding remarks 122
6
I
PART FOUR
ECONOMIC POLICY AND BUSINESS CYCLE
(CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE THEORY OF BUSINESS CYCLES)
Phase 1: THE RECESSION OF 1969 1970 137
Chapter Eight: A few words about the antecedents 137
Chapter Nine: The year 1969 141
9.1 Inflation or unemployment 141
9.2 The economic policy for 1969, or an ulterior explanation of a report card 142
9.3 The fiscal and monetary restrictions 143
9.4 The rising prices of consumer goods 144
9.5 Production of and demand for goods and services 145
9.6 Some reasons why the classic model of the business cycle became obsolete 148
9.7 The lag in the private investment cycle 151
Chapter Ten: The year 1970 153
10.1 The liquidity crisis at the beginning of the year 153
10.2 Monetary and fiscal policies are becoming more expansionist 155
10.3 Production of and demand for goods and services 156
10.4 Employment and unemployment 159
10.5 Profits in 1969 and 1970 160
10.6 Concluding remarks 162
Phase 2: 1971 1973: THE END OF THE BRETTON WOODS ERA—THE PERIOD OF PRICE
AND WAGE CONTROL—THE EVE OF THE RECESSION 164
Chapter Eleven: General characteristics of the period and developments in the first two years 164
11.1 Some contradictions of the period under review 164
11.2 The economy and Nixon s economic policy before the announcement of the New Economic
Policy (January August, 1971) 166
11.3 The collapse of the Bretton Woods system 168
11.4 Measures of the New Economic Policy . GNP and prices (February 1971—January 1972) 171
11.5 The actual 1972 figures 174
11.6 Critique of the economic policy followed in 1972 178
Chapter Twelve: 1973: The approaching recession 180
12.1 Some indicators of real processes in a quarterly breakdown 180
12.2 A new dollar crisis: Accelerating inflation, relaxation of price and wage controls 183
12.3 The whole of 1973: Fiscal and monetary policies, prices and profits 186
12.4 Ill boding forecasts for 1974. Official scepticism regarding price and wage controls and
our own views 191
7
Phase 3: THE 1974 1975 ECONOMIC RECESSION 196
Chapter Thirteen: 1974: The unfolding of the recession 196
13.1 Comparison of the economic structures of 1957 and 1973 196
13.2 Topical problems at the turn of 1973/1974 200
13.3 Monetary policy in 1974 201
13.4 Fiscal policy, built in stabilizers and the market stabilizing role of government in 1974 . 203
13.5 The development of production and demand in 1974 207
13.6 Deterioration in the position of wage earners 210
13.7 New president—old economic policy 210
Chapter Fourteen: 1975: The trough and turn in the recession 213
14.1 Assessment of the situation by the Ford Administration at the beginning of the year and
economic policy ideas for 1975 213
14.2 A roundabout turn in fiscal policy: the 1975 tax reduction and support of the turn by
monetary policy 214
14.3 Reflection of the 1975 turn in the development of output and demand 217
14.4 Impact of the turn on unemployment and real wages 223
Chapter Fifteen: Distinguishing features of the 1974 1975 recession and some lessons 224
15.1 The main distinguishing feature of the recession: intertwining of inflation with recession 224
15.2 A few further characteristics of the recession 229
15.3 Changes in profits. Assertion of the anti cyclical role of paper profit during the recession 231
15.4 A historical survey: the anti cyclical role of paper profit in 1957 1958 and in the Great
Depression 238
15.5 Comparison of a few properties of the 1974 1975 and the 1957 1958 recessions 240
15.6 Major factors in the severity of the 1974 1975 recession 244
Phase 4: FROM RECESSION TO DECLINE AMIDST INFLATION (1976 1979) 246
Chapter Sixteen: General characteristics of the period 246
Chapter Seventeen: The economic situation in 1976 1977 253
17.1 Production and demand 253
17.2 Profits and prices in 1976 1977 255
Chapter Eighteen: 1978 1979: Slackening upswing and accelerating inflation—at the threshold of
recession 259
18.1 Economic policy ending in recession 259
18.2 Production and demand in 1978 1979 262
18.3 Profits and prices in 1978 1979 265
8 j
Chapter Nineteen: A few concluding remarks 268
19.1 Our new achievement in price and profit theory 268
19.2 Some contributions to the theory of contemporary business cycles 269
19.3 Political cycle and Keynesian economic policy 272
APPENDIX
A METHOD FOR THE ESTIMATION OF THE INCOMES,
CONSUMPTION AND SAVINGS OF SOCIAL CLASSES,
BASED ON THE STATISTICAL DATA
OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
A. 1 Introductory remarks 277
A.2 On the difficulties of the problem 278
A.3 The assumed scheme of behaviour 280
A.4 The substance of our procedure 280
A.5 Detailed description of the procedure 281
A.6 The equation used for estimation 286
A.7 Our final conclusion 287
References 295
9
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| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Erdös, Péter Molnár, Ferenc 1923-1994 |
| author_GND | (DE-588)132028166 |
| author_facet | Erdös, Péter Molnár, Ferenc 1923-1994 |
| author_role | aut aut |
| author_sort | Erdös, Péter |
| author_variant | p e pe f m fm |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV004345875 |
| callnumber-first | H - Social Science |
| callnumber-label | HC106 |
| callnumber-raw | HC106.7.E73 1990 |
| callnumber-search | HC106.7.E73 1990 |
| callnumber-sort | HC 3106.7 E73 41990 |
| callnumber-subject | HC - Economic History and Conditions |
| classification_rvk | QG 620 QN 200 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)243450730 (DE-599)BVBBV004345875 |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| era | Geschichte 1969-1979 gnd Geschichte 1970-1979 gnd |
| era_facet | Geschichte 1969-1979 Geschichte 1970-1979 |
| format | Book |
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| geographic_facet | USA United States -- Economic conditions -- 1971-1981 United States -- Economic policy -- 1971-1981 |
| id | DE-604.BV004345875 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-12-20T08:16:54Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9630547805 |
| language | Hungarian English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-002700594 |
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| physical | 296 S. |
| publishDate | 1990 |
| publishDateSearch | 1990 |
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| publisher | Akad. Kiadó |
| record_format | marc |
| spellingShingle | Erdös, Péter Molnár, Ferenc 1923-1994 Inflation and recession in the US economy in the 1970s price, profit and business cycles in theory and practice Wirtschaft Wirtschaftspolitik Inflation (Finance) -- United States Rezession (DE-588)4177966-6 gnd Konjunkturzyklus (DE-588)4032134-4 gnd Inflation (DE-588)4026887-1 gnd Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4177966-6 (DE-588)4032134-4 (DE-588)4026887-1 (DE-588)4066493-4 (DE-588)4078704-7 |
| title | Inflation and recession in the US economy in the 1970s price, profit and business cycles in theory and practice |
| title_alt | Infláció és válságok a hetvenes évek amerikai gazdaságában |
| title_auth | Inflation and recession in the US economy in the 1970s price, profit and business cycles in theory and practice |
| title_exact_search | Inflation and recession in the US economy in the 1970s price, profit and business cycles in theory and practice |
| title_full | Inflation and recession in the US economy in the 1970s price, profit and business cycles in theory and practice Péter Erdös and Ferenc Molnár |
| title_fullStr | Inflation and recession in the US economy in the 1970s price, profit and business cycles in theory and practice Péter Erdös and Ferenc Molnár |
| title_full_unstemmed | Inflation and recession in the US economy in the 1970s price, profit and business cycles in theory and practice Péter Erdös and Ferenc Molnár |
| title_short | Inflation and recession in the US economy in the 1970s |
| title_sort | inflation and recession in the us economy in the 1970s price profit and business cycles in theory and practice |
| title_sub | price, profit and business cycles in theory and practice |
| topic | Wirtschaft Wirtschaftspolitik Inflation (Finance) -- United States Rezession (DE-588)4177966-6 gnd Konjunkturzyklus (DE-588)4032134-4 gnd Inflation (DE-588)4026887-1 gnd Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 gnd |
| topic_facet | Wirtschaft Wirtschaftspolitik Inflation (Finance) -- United States Rezession Konjunkturzyklus Inflation USA United States -- Economic conditions -- 1971-1981 United States -- Economic policy -- 1971-1981 |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=002700594&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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